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Facebook Knows When You'll Get Dumped

CmdrTaco posted more than 3 years ago | from the wait-what-now dept.

Facebook 474

Pickens writes "Cnet reports that according to a graphic making the rounds online that uses Facebook status updates to chart what time of year people are splitting up, there are three big spikes on the calendar for breakups — just after Valentine's Day, just before spring break and two weeks before Christmas. British journalist and graphic designer David McCandless, who specializes in showcasing data in visual ways, compiled the chart after scraping 10,000 Facebook status updates for the phrases 'breakup' and 'broken up.' 'Might I suggest that, immediately after Valentine's, some women might be casting men from their sight, appalled that their lovers could think of nothing more romantic than roses from the supermarket and dinner at Outback Steakhouse,' writes Chris Matyszczyk. 'Continuing with this obviously accurate analysis, perhaps it's men who do more of the dumping just before spring break, as for some —however unfairly — their main concern lies in how their girl will look on the beach.'"

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474 comments

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I read slashdot (5, Funny)

masmullin (1479239) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125426)

I read slashdot... I dont have to worry about this.

Re:I read slashdot (3, Insightful)

gandhi_2 (1108023) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125438)

No joke. Wake me up when it tells me when I'll get hooked up in the first place.

Re:I read slashdot (5, Insightful)

daid303 (843777) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125720)

Wake me up when it tells me when I'll get hooked up in the first place.

You will if you really wanted to. But what I noticed with most geeks is that they don't care. They wouldn't mind it, but don't care enough to really go for it.

Re:I read slashdot (5, Insightful)

master0ne (655374) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125812)

your not reading between the lines here.... if you read between the lines it says to do something REALLY romantic for a chick right AFTER V-Day or before spring break... or 2 weeks before X-Mas, and you can steal her away from that Jock asshole..... (a side note, you may consider renewing your health/life insurance as well before you do this)

So do I... (4, Funny)

eln (21727) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125440)

right after I take my girlfriend back to my place and she sees my extensive collection of hand-painted D&D figurines.

Re:So do I... (5, Funny)

spun (1352) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125554)

Somewhere, out there, there is a woman who has all the same interests you do. She's a lesbian.

Re:So do I... (5, Funny)

dintech (998802) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125642)

That's awesome. I like lesbians almost as much as I like D&D.

Re:So do I... (1)

HateBreeder (656491) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125956)

Real lesbians are not "as seen on TV"..

or on the computer monitor in Slashdot's case ;)

Re:So do I... (3, Funny)

TheThiefMaster (992038) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125684)

Somewhere out there is a woman who loves you for who you are, regardless of the D&D figurines (or warhammer, or computers, or model railway...).

Re:So do I... (4, Funny)

Beyond_GoodandEvil (769135) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125752)

Somewhere out there is a woman who loves you for who you are
Yes, she's called your mother. Oh, you meant someone not related?

Re:So do I... (3, Interesting)

TheThiefMaster (992038) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125828)

I was actually implying that I'd found such a person, and extrapolating it to mean that anyone could. That's probably flawed.

Re:So do I... (0, Troll)

corbettw (214229) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126070)

Yes, it is flawed, you haven't found such a person. Trust me, all women want men to change, some are just more subtle about it than others.

Re:So do I... (1)

ByOhTek (1181381) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126162)

So... You're dating your mother...?

ewwww...

Re:So do I... (1)

$RANDOMLUSER (804576) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126030)

Somewhere out there is a woman who loves you for who you are, regardless of the D&D figurines (or warhammer, or computers, or model railway...).

My mom's already married!

Re:So do I... (1)

Mongoose Disciple (722373) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125688)

My wife is straight, attractive, shares most of my interests, and, yes, sometimes paints D&D minis.

Somebody has to win the nerd lottery, right?

Re:So do I... (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125806)

I note you didn't mention anything about sex. Looks like you won the nerd lottery and got a nice roommate.

Re:So do I... (1)

Mongoose Disciple (722373) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125918)

Our kids would seem to provide physical evidence otherwise. :)

Re:So do I... (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34126018)

Hey, you could have adopted!

Re:So do I... (1)

ThatMegathronDude (1189203) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126126)

The only thing you know for sure is that they are her kids.

Re:So do I... (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34126144)

Time for a paternity test? :P

Re:So do I... (2, Interesting)

boxxertrumps (1124859) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125898)

The first time I had my now-girlfriend over, I dumped a load of comic in her lap, then left her alone while I took a shower.
She was still there when I got out.
This "awesome girlfriend" litmus test is 100% accurate so far. :3

Re:So do I... (2, Funny)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125988)

The first time I had my now-girlfriend over, I dumped a load of comic in her lap, then left her alone while I took a shower.

I'm glad you didn't take a dump in her lap and then leave her to shower whilst you read your comics.

Re:So do I... (1)

tehcyder (746570) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126052)

The first time I had my now-girlfriend over, I dumped a load of comic in her lap, then left her alone while I took a shower. She was still there when I got out.

I've never heard it called that before.

Re:So do I... (1)

rakuen (1230808) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125750)

There's a second girl. Unfortunately, she's already taken. Sorry bro, my bad.

Re:So do I... (1)

ByOhTek (1181381) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126142)

I wish I could tell you how many women I know who aren't lesbians who like D&D (or, in most cases, Warhammer) minis...

Only one of them would be worth anyone's time though.

Re:So do I... (1)

Syberz (1170343) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125686)

right after I take my girlfriend back to my place and she sees my extensive collection of hand-painted D&D figurines.

Mine is definitely a keeper because she didn't run for the hills after seeing my collection of Queen of the Damned, Total Recall, Resident Evil 1 and 2 and X-Files movie props. She was rather keen of my Han Solo frozen in carbonite bust and thought that it was cool that it was cast using the original mold.

No, I'm not talking about my mom or a WoW clan mate. I really do have a girlfriend.

Re:So do I... (1)

Nidi62 (1525137) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125854)

No, I'm not talking about my mom or a WoW clan mate. I really do have a girlfriend.

My girlfriend is my WoW clan mate, you insensitive clod!

Seriously, we met playing WoW

Re:So do I... (1)

tehcyder (746570) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126114)

No, I'm not talking about my mom or a WoW clan mate. I really do have a girlfriend

Have you ever heard the phrase "the lady doth protest too much"?

Re:So do I... (1)

boxxertrumps (1124859) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125702)

Now, I'm going to make your silver pants, blue!

Picky, picky, picky (5, Insightful)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125462)

So, what did YOU do for your man this Valentines, ladies?

Give him a present he both needs and loves: FRIGGING DIRECTION.

DON'T go "if you really knew me, you'd know what I want". ASK FOR WHAT YOU WANT.

OK?

ffs...

Re:Picky, picky, picky (3, Informative)

gstoddart (321705) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125506)

DON'T go "if you really knew me, you'd know what I want". ASK FOR WHAT YOU WANT.

Someone sounds bitter. ;-)

Re:Picky, picky, picky (3, Insightful)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125590)

It's 2010. Women are supposed to be equal to men. It's your turn to take your boyfriend out, ladies. You've demanded equality. You got it. Now act like it!

Re:Picky, picky, picky (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125696)

My girl actually insists on paying for things for me. Because we both want to treat the other one, we just rotate who picks up the tab. It all averages out in the end, and we're both happy we can do something for the other.

Re:Picky, picky, picky (5, Insightful)

ElectricTurtle (1171201) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125804)

Dude, seriously. Nothing bothers me like women who have a princess complex and want to be given all of the deference for none of the cost. I have no problem treating women as equals, they are equals, but with that comes opening doors for yourself, sharing bills, registering for the draft (which should happen but doesn't), competing for lifeboats and all the rest. You can't have equality and special treatment both.

Re:Picky, picky, picky (0, Flamebait)

countSudoku() (1047544) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126004)

:) Sounds like someone who does not have a taste for the Hot Chicks. The average HC needs WAY more attention and gifts than does your average Fat Chick, and that can be discouraging. Now a FC will put out on a dime, a HC must be worked before the payoff, unless she's a whore, then youse takes yours chances. Take your pick, I choose the Hot Chick, non-slutty version. I choose... wisely. Still, I've had my fair share of the FCs too. There's something to be said for a gal who'll go down on you for nothing more than good conversation, and a nice dinner.

On the topic of the article that I'll not be clicking on; do you really need a social network graph to tell you that people break up before xmas to get out of giving a gift to someone they no longer care for? Or right before summer (swimsuit look), and after the most dreaded day of all; Valentine's Day when your great gift turned out to not be so great after all? Life's a game, sometimes you win, sometimes you lose...

Re:Picky, picky, picky (1, Redundant)

m2shariy (1194621) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126092)

All people are equal, but some are more equal then others

Re:Picky, picky, picky (1)

tehcyder (746570) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126132)

And another nerd hits the day-after-Valentine's barrier.

Re:Picky, picky, picky (1)

Hatta (162192) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126040)

If your GF needs anything more than a small box of fine chocolates and a good romp in the sack, she's too high maintenance anyway.

Could that possibly be any more misleading? (4, Interesting)

clone53421 (1310749) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125466)

Facebook doesn’t “know” when I’ll get dumped. Aggregated data, which happened to be obtained from facebook, revealed that the average person is more likely to get dumped at certain times of the year, but that’s useless when making a prediction for an individual.

Besides which, I’d need a girlfriend first.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (3, Funny)

gstoddart (321705) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125546)

Facebook doesn’t “know” when I’ll get dumped

Oh, sure they do.

Jane heard it from Wanda who read it on Judy's Facebook page that according to Robert who spoke with Susie, you're SO getting dumped this weekend. Totally.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

BrokenHalo (565198) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125810)

Right. So unlike the submission's claim that "Continuing with this obviously accurate analysis, perhaps it's men who do more of the dumping just before spring break, as for some--however unfairly--their main concern lies in how their girl will look on the beach", in fact their ladies have realised that the guys are immature douchebags and flushed them. Sounds fair enough to me, but then I've been married for over 20 years.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (5, Insightful)

Tackhead (54550) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125852)

Facebook doesn't "know" when I'll get dumped

Oh, sure they do.

Jane heard it from Wanda who read it on Judy's Facebook page that according to Robert who spoke with Susie, you're SO getting dumped this weekend. Totally.

...who saw the original poster pass out 31 Flavors last night! I guess it's pretty serious.

Actually, it's not even that complicated. I'm not sure whether adding in third- and fourth-order effects would increase accuracy or just muddy the waters, so let's take the simplest possible option: our old friends Alice, Bob, and Charlie.

Suppose we start with Alice and Bob, who are presumed to be in a relationship with each other by virtue of frequent affectionate (as defined by keywords/scoring) communications with each other (both public and "private"). (e.g. "Alice u were so hot last nite!" "Luv u BOB"!)

Then, observe a slight dropoff in affectionately-loaded keywords in the communications between Alice and Bob, and a spike in communications between Alice and Charlie. Furthermore, observe that Alice and Charlie's communications patterns have gone from "all/mostly in public, no/few affectionate keywords" to "no/minimal change in public communications, but a spike in 'private' communications".

Furthermore, weight the language and tone in Alice and Charlie's public and private communications separately: If she's saying "'sup charlie" in public, and "OMG so good to see u again missed u so much" in private, the difference between the emotional tone of the Alice/Charlie public conversation and the Alice/Charlie private conversation is yet another big red flag.

Facebook knows damn well when someone's about to get dumped. It's just not telling. (Unless it wants to monetize it by feeding Bob more ads for dating services the week before Valentine's Day, and Alice and Charlie start getting ads for restaurant reservations.)

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (2, Informative)

gstoddart (321705) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126082)

That's a stunningly deep analysis of information sharing/leakage between two parties as inferred by an outside observer in response to a joke about my perception of Facebook being more or less the functional equivalent of the high-school rumor game.

Bravo, sir. :-P

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (5, Interesting)

sakdoctor (1087155) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125560)

Has anyone made a bot that "plays" facebook yet?
I bet a bot could be very socially successful on facebook, given the depth of the interaction. We could approach machine intelligence by lowering the standard for the Turing test.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (3, Interesting)

cupantae (1304123) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125796)

I think it wouldn't be too difficult to do one for /. either. All it would have to do is post immediately after the article hits the front page, and say:

"The analysis here is hugely flawed. Sure, they say [something from the summary], but clearly haven't taken into account [something taken into account halfway through the article], so it can hardly be confirmed that [title]."

That's a Score:5, Insightful comment right there.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

websitebroke (996163) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125896)

Don't forget the "First Post!"

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34126104)

...and the "Correlation is not causation", which is thrown out with depressing frequency.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

countSudoku() (1047544) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126096)

We have those already, they are called "bored sys admins." I think he was referring to a bot that poses as a facebook user; collecting friends, pretending to stay in touch, ignoring some posts, posting some nonsense and anti-facebook messages... oh wait, that's me again. Sorry! Sorry for the extra post and all. Terribly sorry. Won't happen again!

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125588)

Even the aggregated data merely confirms well and easily understood phenomenon, esp. among Facebook's demographic (callow youth).

Better headline: "Facebook users are mundane."

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

MayorOfTuesday (1911042) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125726)

Despite their success in predicting long term change in human populations, the laws of psychohistory are notoriously ineffective when applied to the individual.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

tehcyder (746570) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126160)

You insensitive clod!

Signed, Hari Sheldon.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (1)

Capt James McCarthy (860294) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125944)

Besides which, I’d need a girlfriend first.

You sir, have just hurt your hands feelings.

Re:Could that possibly be any more misleading? (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34126098)

isn't it more likely that girls think it'd be cruel to break up with you right before Valentine's? I've known to put off breaking up with a girl for months because each moment seems unnecessarily harsh. First they get chastised at work, then they lose their job, then it's Thanksgiving, then their birthday, then Xmas, then a billion other holiday- etc, etc..

I know it seems wrong, but there never really seems to be a good time that's not overly cruel. Valentine's is simply the end of the holiday season.

So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (1)

spun (1352) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125516)

Valentines is totally understandable. Spring is too, and not because of the beach, but because of what spring is and what it represents. "Spring cleaning" generally means "Throwing out old stuff we don't want anymore" and spring is when most of nature thinks about hooking up, so it seems natural. But right before Christmas? Who wants to be alone on Christmas? I mean, that seems like a particularly bad time for a breakup, both for the dumper and the dumpee.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (5, Insightful)

stillnotelf (1476907) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125592)

If you aren't that into her/him, you don't want to spend the holidays with her/him. You don't want to visit your parents with her in tow, or visit his parents. You don't want to spend a bunch of money on a gift. You don't want to deal with a long-distance relationship for winter break, if you're in college. If there's a spring break spike then there will be a winter break spike.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125710)

They typical Facebook user is heading home from school to spend Chirstmas break with their family and does not want to be encumbered "long distance" relationship.

That, and they are not at a point in their life where they want to introduce anyone they are seeing to their family.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (1)

arivanov (12034) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125856)

Quite clearly you never had to deal with the question of "whose parents are we visiting this Christmas".

Once you have dealt with it a few times you will definitely understand that.

That and coming back from the office party all smelling of perfume and having lipstick all over your shirt usually does not help your relationship.

So the stats are probably correct.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (1)

Nadaka (224565) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126068)

That and coming back from the office party all smelling of perfume and having lipstick all over your shirt usually does not help your relationship.

If you have the right kind of girl she will be upset because you didn't share.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (1)

wjousts (1529427) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125890)

Christmas gifts are expensive. If you don't really like the person and you're convinced that their gift to you is unlikely to be something you want, you might as well cut the tie before the holiday. Plus it gives you a free hand for the drunken office holiday party.

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125984)

Maybe they saw the totally unromantic / unwanted present like rechargable batterys... not wait that may be acceptable?

Re:So why the Pre-Christmas Spike? (1)

nedlohs (1335013) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126080)

Because you know you just can't one more Christmas with that damn family.

Christmas (1)

wcrowe (94389) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125528)

There is a theory that young men break up with their girlfriends right before Christmas because they want to avoid having to buy a gift.

Re:Christmas (1)

clone53421 (1310749) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125610)

There is another theory that young women wait to break up with their boyfriends until right after Christmas so he’ll have to get them something.

Re:Christmas (1)

thijsh (910751) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125652)

You got Christmas confused with Valentine, apparently.

Re:Christmas (1)

dkleinsc (563838) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126016)

Another very likely reason for the breakup spike in mid-December: First-year college students come back to their hometowns and decide that their long-distance relationship with their high school sweetheart is unworkable. Any decent adult caretaker of a soon-to-be college student ought to make sure they know that, because plenty of first-year students spend a lot of time and money traveling to see their long-distance SOs.

The corollary is,,, (1)

Tokolosh (1256448) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125532)

... that Facebook knows when you get hooked-up.

Useful info for the sellers of kleenex in the first case, and condoms in the second.

Re:The corollary is,,, (1)

asukasoryu (1804858) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125618)

The Kleenex are good for the second case if you skip the condoms. Double win!

Re:The corollary is,,, (3, Funny)

ElectricTurtle (1171201) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125654)

Somebody doesn't know how a cervix works, but I suppose that's par for the course.

Re:The corollary is,,, (1)

binarybits (11068) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125800)

Someone doesn't know what he's talking about, but I don't think it's @asukasoryu.

Re:The corollary is,,, (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34126184)

What does a cervix have to do with it? You finish on her face, right?

I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Chris (1)

flyboy974 (624054) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125566)

I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Christmas. I don't use Facebook but my fiancée does. Perhaps I need to start monitoring her status. ;-)

Re:I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Ch (0, Troll)

2names (531755) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125630)

If your girlfriend/wife/whatever is using Facebook and you are not, you need to get an account. Trust me on this.

Re:I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Ch (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125874)

If you are distrusting to the point that you need an account to monitor your mate, one of you has a problem. Hint: not your mate.

Re:I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Ch (1)

Nadaka (224565) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126134)

I really really wish that was the case. I needed a facebook account to keep track of my ex, but I didn't have one because everything seemed ok. I got a facebook account after we broke up to get back in touch with old friends and its amazing the shit my ex was keeping from me.

Re:I'm getting married exactly two weeks before Ch (1)

BrokenHalo (565198) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126054)

I've been married for over 20 years, and my wife uses Facebook to keep in contact with her various friends, cronies and relations. Some of her Facebook friends are actually my siblings and other relations. I, on the other hand, have no interest whatsoever in flushing my time away on Facebook, and don't have an account.

If my wife wants to bitch about me, she can (and does, at length and maximum Db) to my face. Or better, from several rooms away... :P

What I do know is that I don't need to keep tabs on her, which is both a matter of trust and our familiarity with each other's character, including defects. I would contend that if you need to watch your partner's Facebook posts to check that you are still attached, then you shouldn't be married in the first place.

Bloomin' onions! (3, Funny)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125582)

Any woman who doesn't appreciate the fine cuisine of an Outback Steakhouse isn't worth a man's time, anyhow. The ambiance and food quality are second only to Olive Garden.

this article is sooo three days ago (1)

regularjack (1934844) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125598)

this article is sooo three days ago

Men less dumping (1)

dudeanand (1866916) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125622)

It is also obvious that men do less dumping then woman do...

look at the bright side... (1)

digitaldc (879047) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125660)

...the upshot is that now you know the right times to ask people out with a higher chance of success.

facebook still won't replace the value of actual face-to-face conversation and interaction, and this is something it will never achieve.

Re:look at the bright side... (1)

hoggoth (414195) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125900)

> ...the upshot is that now you know the right times to ask people out with a higher chance of success.

You should already know this.

All. The. Time.

Interesting (1)

f.ardelian (1931920) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125692)

I would like to see this graph correlated with age.

Lest there be any confusion (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125774)

Lest there be any confusion, this is not about Facebook analyzing YOU specifically and predicting a breakup. It's an analysis of a big group by averages.

Valentine's biggest affair discovery day. (1)

Maxo-Texas (864189) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125820)

I've seen it happen. Something symbolic about that day makes people out others in affairs and for discrete affairs to become indiscreet.

Re:Valentine's biggest affair discovery day. (4, Insightful)

wjousts (1529427) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125940)

Exactly this. If you've been juggling two or more affairs all year, it's bound to come to a head on Valentine's day. Try explaining to the person who thinks you are their exclusive lover that you are aren't going to spend Valentine's with them. Christmas is easier because you can always use your family as an excuse.

Before Christmas? (2, Insightful)

segedunum (883035) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125824)

I always thought the traditional breakup time was after Christmas, when you'd spent far too much time with her and her family and ended up never wanting to see them again and the only reason she was with you over the festive period was to avoid being alone?

Re:Before Christmas? (1)

smithbob2 (956162) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126064)

I always thought the traditional breakup time was after Christmas, when you'd spent far too much time with her and her family and ended up never wanting to see them again and the only reason she was with you over the festive period was to avoid being alone?

I've broken up with girls before the holidays because I wasn't up to dealing with her family for another holiday season. I suspect there's something to be said for that rationale.

Re:Before Christmas? (1)

chrisj_0 (825246) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126078)

Before Christmas so you don't have to buy a present for her.

My theories (1)

GodfatherofSoul (174979) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125844)

* Valentine's Day: people don't want to be alone for the holiday; at least without enough time to find a replacement!
* Spring Break: people want to pick up new and exciting mates on vacation.
* Christmas: going home for the holidays and know you'll get your space for at least a couple of days.

I'd also guess the numbers are slanted towards younger people where these time periods have more of a common significance (kids going home for college breaks, even having a Spring break, etc.).

Re:My theories (1)

Maitri (938818) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126076)

You can see the original presentation the article is based on here (so you are looking at the original not a summary of a summary): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pLqjQ55tz-U [youtube.com]

The section with this data starts at 6:18 and ends around 7:50.

The higher break up period was actually during summer break not spring break - so college students not managing to keep long distance relationships going over the summer seems like a reasonable supposition...

There was also a peak around April Fools Day - wonder if that was from bad jokes causing break ups or if the break up was the bad joke?

Quote Sources! (4, Informative)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125858)

Come on, Slashdot. This information (and the graph to go with it) is originally by David McCandless and Lee Bryon in this book [amazon.com] back in 2008 and was copied by someone. See Peak Break-Up Times On Facebook [informatio...utiful.net] .

Matsksskskskskk (3, Funny)

box4831 (1126771) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125868)

appalled that their lovers could think of nothing more romantic than roses from the supermarket and dinner at Outback Steakhouse?" write Chris Matyszczyk

Im more appalled at my attempts to pronounce that last name

Re:Matsksskskskskk (4, Funny)

$RANDOMLUSER (804576) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126154)

appalled that their lovers could think of nothing more romantic than roses from the supermarket and dinner at Outback Steakhouse?" write Chris Matyszczyk

Im more appalled at my attempts to pronounce that last name

If you can trick him into saying his name backwards, it will return him to his own dimension [wikipedia.org] for at least 90 days.

Good Riddance (4, Insightful)

Lumpy (12016) | more than 3 years ago | (#34125878)

"Might I suggest that, immediately after Valentine's, some women might be casting men from their sight, appalled that their lovers could think of nothing more romantic than roses from the supermarket and dinner at Outback Steakhouse?"

If your Girl is that shallow.... It was a GOOD THING(tm) that she "dumped you".

Honestly, some guys cant afford more than that on a silly holiday created by a greeting card company. IF she wants Diamonds on Valentines day, Kick that gold digger to the curb pronto!

Re:Good Riddance (1)

AnonymousClown (1788472) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126190)

My wife has a friend that wants the "best" of everything and she's not rich. If she takes a cooking class, she's got to have the top of the line Henkel knives. She wants a "Benz". She buys a purse, it's a Gucci. etc....

She's always broke. She says that one day she'll be making six figures - she's a paralegal so it's doubtful she'll get even close. Anyway, I tell my wife, even if she made seven figures, she'd still be broke all the time. Why? Because she's a poor slob who thinks like a poor slob. She doesn't think on how to make her money work for her - just about crap she can buy.

Gold diggers are the same. They're people who believe that "fancy" things will make them happy. They believe being married to someone "successful" will make them happy.

Yes, if she wants diamonds on Valentine's Day definitely - have your fun and then get rid of her. She's just trouble down the road.

I see that (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125882)

She didn't think you did enough for V-Day, it would have been fine except her close girlfriend got engaged in a very romantic way and all you did was rent a movie. You did at least rent a movie, didn't you?

And you were so excited to go with your buds to spring break because of all the hot chick on the beach. No wonder she was bitchy.

Then for Christmas one of you were expected to attend the family gathering and the other didn't see it as such a big deal because you just spent Thanks giving with them, and the 4th, and labor day, and presidents day, and Christmas last year.

 

Weekends (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 3 years ago | (#34125910)

There appears to be a weekly period to the data as well. People breaking up right for the weekend so they can hookup with that new hottie at the party on Saturday night.

For obvious reasons (0, Offtopic)

sunking2 (521698) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126026)

This doesn't apply to this crowd.

Is there an app for that? (3, Interesting)

Animats (122034) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126044)

There's potential for a great Facebook app here - the Dump-O-Meter. This would monitor messages to and from someone you're in a relationship with. Tally the positive and negative adjectives, and the response timing. If you send to your SO, how long does it take to get a response, and vice versa? How has that response time changed over time?

Collect this data for a large number of users, and observe when the "In a relationship" status changes. Dump the data into a machine learning algorithm like a support vector machine and build a predictive model. To analyze messages, repurpose a spam filter program.

Provide the user with warning messages when the predictor says the risk of being dumped is climbing. Attach ads for flowers, candy, travel, etc.

Generate revenue by selling lists of people just dumped to dating services.

Context (4, Interesting)

SteveAyre (209812) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126058)

The guy's completely ignored context though.

What about school/college university terms breaking up? They all break up for spring break and christmas.

I expect more people round those times were blogging things like 'I can't wait until we break up for christmas'' than were saying they were dumped. Which makes the entire chart meaningless.

Graph looks funny (1)

jfengel (409917) | more than 3 years ago | (#34126158)

A graph like this should be cyclical, with a smooth curve between the far right and the far left. It shows a big rise in late December, the highest point in the year, followed by an instantaneous drop-off in early January to one of the lowest points.

Is there some sudden function that occurs on New Year's Day that makes people stay in love? One that just happens to occur at the same time as the arbitrary graph endpoints?

I suspect what's going on is that Facebook grows through the year, and that there needs to be a scaling factor applied. That would imply that the peak at the far right is not nearly so tall in reality, exaggerated by a rapidly expanding Facebook.

Or maybe it's something else. But that's just the first thing to leap out at me. If they're not correcting for that, or at least trying to posit an explanation, what else is wrong with their methodology?

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