NASA Finds Family of Habitable Planets 184
coondoggie writes "NASA's star-gazing space telescope continues to find amazing proof that there are tons of habitable planets in space and we have only scratched the surface of what's out there. The space agency said today its Kepler space telescope spotted what it called its first Earth-size planet candidates and its first candidates in what it considers to be the habitable zone, a region where liquid water could exist on a planet's surface. Kepler also found six confirmed planets orbiting a sun-like star, Kepler-11. This is the largest group of transiting planets orbiting a single star yet discovered outside our solar system."
Overlords (Score:2)
Re:Overlords (Score:4, Funny)
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Consider 170 billion galaxies out there, assume one per galaxy to come to the conclusion: E_N_O_U_G_H.
CC.
Re:Overlords (Score:5, Funny)
There were 10, but I just got an instruction saying "Spawn more overlords!"
Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:5, Insightful)
Can we call them "potentially habitable planets" instead of going all the way to "habitable" that quickly? I think I'd like to make sure of certain things before being so definite -- for instance: water, temperature, oxygen levels, lack of poisonous gases making the oxygen-level issue moot, edible flora and/or fauna, radiation levels ... hmmm, could be here awhile ...
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Right... because if they had edible flora... oh wait! *face palm*
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Venus, with its temperature above 400ÂC fails the "liquid water could exist on a planet's surface" requirement.
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:5, Informative)
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character encoding fail
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It's only that hot -- hotter than the surface of Mercury -- because of its atmosphere.
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:4, Informative)
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"On Venus, a global resurfacing event may have shut down plate tectonics and led to a reduced heat flux through the crust. This caused the mantle temperature to increase, thereby reducing the heat flux out of the core. As a result, there is not an internal g
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Lack of carbon cycle, lack of working carbon sinks OTOH... (perhaps)
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Yeah Its a start but living on a system with 3 "earth-like" planets where only 1 of them attained a stable echosystem shows us that the
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Hold up ... I've never heard anyone claim that it's the magnetic field which keeps hydrogen from escaping. AFAIK it's simple gravity which keeps our atmosphere in place. Given a large enough planetary body, I'm having a hard time imagining hydrogen atoms reaching escaping velocity, regardless of what kind of radiation they're being bombarded with. You got a source for that?
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Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:4, Informative)
Hold up ... I've never heard anyone claim that it's the magnetic field which keeps hydrogen from escaping. AFAIK it's simple gravity which keeps our atmosphere in place. Given a large enough planetary body, I'm having a hard time imagining hydrogen atoms reaching escaping velocity, regardless of what kind of radiation they're being bombarded with. You got a source for that?
This is pretty well known. Here [nasa.gov] is one reference of many: "Our neighboring planet, Mars, which has little or no magnetic field, is thought to have lost much of its former oceans and atmosphere to space. This loss was caused, at least in part, by the direct impact of the solar wind on Mars' upper atmosphere. Our other close planetary neighbor, Venus, has no appreciable magnetic field, either. Venus is also thought to have lost nearly all of its water to space, in large part owing to solar wind-powered ablation."
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The magnetic field deflects solar wind. Solar wind strips hydrogen out of the atmosphere. Since water molecules are polarized, I wonder if floods of charged particles from mass ejections can excite them enough to fly off into space? I probably don't know enough about this to speculate. Of course, a good portion of the solar wind is hydrogen, so solar wind would also deposit it into the atmosphere. It's going to be a matter of equilibrium, like firing a high pressure hose into an already full glass of water,
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Some strong enough gravity can keep hydrogen from escaping. That seems to happen on the larger gaseous planets. But no rocky planet has a gravity strong enough to keep pure hydrogen (or even helium) inside. We have a lot of it here on Earth just because it isn't pure, most of it is in water.
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Do you have any backing for that? This sounds completely bollocks to me.
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:5, Interesting)
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Venus is basically the same size as the Earth.
Earth's mean radius is 6,371 km. Venus' mean radius is 6052 km.
The masses are also similar, as are their compositions.
A more likely control on whether plate tectonics may be initiated is the existence of liquid water at the surface and within the lithosphere of the planet in question. Water greatly reduces the yield strength of plates (by as much as 62% when going from low to moderate temperatures compared with a drop of only 39% for dry olivine). So, while p
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The moon is essential (Score:2)
But I remember watching a number of science documentaries that credit the moon for the persistence of life on Earth
And the moon, with the solid tides it causes on the earth lithosphere, may be the reason why there are plate tectonics on earth.
Besides, the tides on the oceans may be one reason why life arose on earth. When the moon was closer, tides were much higher, hundreds of meters. That caused increased erosion that may have been the origin of the clays that many theories consider essential scaffold for the first self-reproducing complex molecules.
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Venus can't hold hydrogen because at that temperature a sufficiently high percentage of hydrogen atoms have velocities above the escape velocity of the planet.
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:4, Funny)
Can we call them "potentially habitable planets" instead of going all the way to "habitable" that quickly? I think I'd like to make sure of certain things before being so definite -- for instance: water, temperature, oxygen levels, lack of poisonous gases making the oxygen-level issue moot, edible flora and/or fauna, radiation levels ... hmmm, could be here awhile ...
I don't see how that would help Nasa get more funding.
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Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:4, Funny)
We've known about hydrocarbon seas on Titan for a couple years now and we have yet to invade...
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We've known about hydrocarbon seas on Titan for a couple years now and we have yet to invade...
You just wait for us to finish the mess in Afghanistan and we'll discover some terrorist/WMD on Titan.
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We haven't invented the planet cracker yet. Once we do, we'll test it on Titan. Then we'll set up the Sprawl to act as a hub for all extra-solar planet cracking activities.
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Thank you. All they've found is a certain wobble in light from a distant star. They have inferred lots and lots but *know* practically nothing about these planets. I'm getting really tired of all different branches of science saying with exact certitude what they can only guess at.
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It's amusing seeing people do this. Somehow they think their opinion is more informed than someone who has dedicated a life to astronomy and the science behind it.
Maybe they should meet some astronomers and give their opinions... then they will learn why their opinions are incorrect and ill-informed.
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Actually, these planets were discovered because they transit between their star and us (not by the star wobbling).
I would be surprised if they were habitable, given that they're all less that .5 AU from their star (which is 95% as big as the sun). See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kepler-11 [wikipedia.org]
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And since they transit between us and the star they can see changes in the spectroscopy of the star, and by extension what kind of atmosphere, etc, those planets have.
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:5, Informative)
It's not that hard to understand.
If you can observe a planet with a few different methods, you can reliably calculate it's mass and radius from the size it appears, it's orbital period and inclination, the effect it exerts on the star, and other data points.
Once you have the mass and radius, you can calculate the density, which allows you to speculate on whether it is rocky or gaseous. This in turn opens up other informed analyses of the conditions that might be present given it's distance to the star and other factors.
It's atmospheric composition can also be determined with spectroscopy.
If you really think astronomers are just guessing, you couldn't be more wrong. It's true that there is a lot that we don't know about these planets, but what we do is built on a solid mathematical foundation.
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I understand the difference between a WAG (wild assed guess) and a scientific hypothesis. But you used the word speculate yourself. At the very least this could have been couched with a "might" or a "maybe". I didn't read TFA, maybe they did and it wasn't in the synopsis. I just get bothered when there is a report of exact certitude when there could be multiple explanations for what they have observed.
Another example, the people telling us the world's weather is going to be a specific number of degrees hott
Re:Okay, hold on a minute. (Score:4, Insightful)
Another example, the people telling us the world's weather is going to be a specific number of degrees hotter or colder in a decade. They can't even accuratly predict a week out.
Your ignorance of the scientific process doesn't invalidate it.
The example you mentioned is a straw man argument based on ignorance. There's a huge difference between climate and weather prediction. The former is like trying to predict the temperature at which a pot of water will boil, the latter is like predicting the location on the surface of the water where the steam bubbles will appear. One of those is predictable and depends on simple thermodynamics that is well understood, the other is full of randomness and uncertainty, and is difficult to predict far into the future.
Either way, none of that has anything to do with astronomy, which is about as precise, non-random, and rigorous as any science gets. The measurements these guys are making are just simple intensity measurements over time. There's no need to develop hugely complex models with trillions of unknowns and interacting nonlinear feedbacks and systems that require supercomputers to solve to a useful level of precision. The equations astronomers work with can be solved on the back of a napkin.
To give you an idea of the kind of precision that astronomers are used to working with, the Gaia Mission [wikipedia.org] will create a star catalogue with position measurements as accurate as 20 microarcseconds. If you think of that as a fraction of a circle, that is 15 parts per trillion! The Kepler spacecraft has a rather pedestrian precision of only 20 parts per million, which is still orders of magnitude better than what any climatologist has ever had to work with.
On top of that, this mission is not making a prediction about the future, but making a straightforward measurement that can be trivially verified later. There's no uncertainty to speak of.
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Believe it or not, predicting the tomorrow weather is much much more complicated than predicting the climate in 10 years. It is like sitting on a hill and rolling a ball down. You wont know exactly where it stops. But you know FOR CERTAIN that it will be lower than the top of the hill.
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Believe it or not, predicting the tomorrow weather is much much more complicated than predicting the climate in 10 years.
This is in fact not true. Yes predicting weather and predicting climate is *different* but thats not the same as easier, and is most definitely *not* easier. In fact many climate models do model weather in about 20min intervals IIRC generally on a coarser grid with simpler local models to ease the computational burden. Even the idea of ensemble averages is used in both fields, and typically anyone who studies weather also has studied climate and visa versa to some extent ( often even wider geosciences in ge
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At the very least this could have been couched with a "might" or a "maybe"
Blame the journalist who wrote the article, not the scientist. Scientific papers always give the exact range of confidence one can have on its conclusions and usually the raw data is available so you can draw your own conclusions.
No matter how accurately we can observe an exoplanet from Earth, at this distance, most of that interpreted data is not much better than a guess.
More accurate observations are no better than inaccurate observations, is that what you mean? Do you think that if the distance is big enough then there's absolutely no way you can improve the accuracy of your observations? That notion has been disproved long ago [cnx.org].
I've got some news
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Scientific papers always give the exact range of confidence one can have on its conclusions.
No they don't. Read them yourself if you don't believe me.
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I'm far more concerned that due to temperature changes & desalination of the oceans certain water-& wind flows change globally then i am with putting the blame on something, heck, we don't even know what the impact would be on a global scale if the desalination of the ocean continues...
The article != the actual NASA press release (Score:5, Informative)
The NASA press release [nasa.gov] described a system of at least 6 larger -than-earth planets, all much closer to their sun than Earth is. Late in the release, they mention that "Kepler will continue conducting science operations until at least November 2012, searching for planets as small as Earth, including those that orbit stars in the habitable zone, where liquid water could exist on the surface of the planet. Since transits of planets in the habitable zone of solar-like stars occur about once a year and require three transits for verification, it is predicted to take at least three years to locate and verify an Earth-size planet. "
Then Michael Cooney appears to have invented from whole cloth the title, "NASA Kepler finds family of habitable, Earth-size planets". I do have to admit that the Slashdot title is pretty close to the Cooney source, but the article is... not even close to what it claims to be its source material.
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It's not NASA's fault, the actual press release says nothing of the sort.
They should have linked to the press release not some blog by some Network guy. For the job he did on this one might speculate blogger Michael Cooney might be sent to a less habitable planet by civilisations less forgiving than ours.
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No, the definition of "habitable zone" is the zone around a star where liquid water can exist on the surface of the planet. Thats it.
What we know from life on Earth is that liquid water was/is absolutely essential to the development of life as we know it. If life can arise here, it can arise elsewhere. You just need the right conditions and elements/chemicals.
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Can we call them "potentially habitable planets" instead of going all the way to "habitable" that quickly? I think I'd like to make sure of certain things before being so definite -- for instance: water, temperature, oxygen levels, lack of poisonous gases making the oxygen-level issue moot, edible flora and/or fauna, radiation levels ... hmmm, could be here awhile ...
You aren't wrong, but with the exception of a Mars-style magnetic field failure causing no atmosphere, the following are true:
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How about "within a nominal range on at least one attribute necessary for habitability of life of the sort we theorize we are".
Sometimes you have to wonder if before the Internet there was a broadsheet version of /. sold on streetcorners by dirty-faced, loud-voiced kids in plus-fours, suspenders, and snap-brim caps.
But no, couldn't be. It would have been tabloid...
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Did anyone say anything about the planets being HUMAN habitable?
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Can we call them "potentially habitable planets" instead of going all the way to "habitable" that quickly?
No. The IAU [wikipedia.org] can get cranky with designations.But even so, the original NASA announcement claims nothing of the sort- it is the attention-craving journalist that came up with his own interpretation of the announcement, and coined the title of TFA this way to hype it and get your attention.
Like that other time the paper had a sentence on its end mentioning something along the lines of "The possibility of biological origin [for methane observed in the Martian atmosphere] cannot be excluded" and the next day th
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Can we call them "potentially habitable planets" instead of going all the way to "habitable" that quickly?
Because, if we think they are habitable, we can safely continue to abuse the Earth?
Map of the Kepler-11 system (Score:3)
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CC.
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We absolutely HAVE NOT found 5 Earth-size planets (Score:3, Informative)
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They've found 5 earth sized planet candidates in what they believe to be the habitable zone. That's pretty exciting to me whether they're confirmed or not.
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What it takes three years to find is a planet orbiting a star once a year, ie: in an earth-like orbit. They've found a bunch of earth-sized planets orbiting much closer than that.
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Learn to read. It is not EART SIZE but EARTH ORBIT (that means 1 transition roughly every year) that is to be confirmed 3 times (aka 3 years in total) to get an idea if the planet is in the habitable zone.
That has nothing to do with the size of the planet as that is conducted from the brightness drop of the star when the planet passes in front of the star.
Best Regards
angel'o'sph
Selection effects (Score:5, Informative)
Surveys such as this tend to find lots of large planets close to their stars. It is worth pointing out that this is at least partly because such planets are easier to detect, and does not necessarily mean they are a high proportion of planets in the galaxy.
Kepler detects changes in stellar brightness due to transiting planets. The closer a planet is to its star, the less precise the alignment has to be for us to observe a transit. Also, the closer it is, the faster it orbits, and the more likely we observe a transit in the limited time we're observing that star. This second factor will become less restrictive as the Kepler mission runs for a longer time. (I presume they need at least two, possibly more, transits before they claim a detection.) Large planets will also give a larger, easier to detect change in brightness.
The other major way of detecting planets is spectroscopically: the planet wobbles the star slightly, and we observe the Doppler shift. This favours massive planets (they wobble the star more) and close planets (they wobble the star faster.)
There have I think also been a few cases where clever interferometry has allowed direct imaging of extrasolar planets. I don't know what the selection effects on this are - further away means easier to separate from the star (good) but less bright (bad.)
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There are billions and billions (Score:2)
(exaggerated paraphrase of mis-attributed quote of the One (Carl Sagan) MHRIP
-CF
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In an infinite universe, there are infinite habitable planets
Really? Even in an empty-but-infinite universe? How about an infinite universe that only has one habitable planet? Or twelve? Or nothing but blueberry preserves? In an infinite number of infinite universes, all these things must exist! :)
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And apparently our universe is 500 times infinity.
Kepler Confirms there are Lots of Planets (Score:3)
That should be more like the title of the news story. We already had found hundreds of planet candidates by other means. Now with this report we have added a bunch more using the transit method. Kepler is only scanning one patch of the sky, and only catches planets whose orbits are edge on, so they pass in front of their star (transit). So it's a pretty small sample percentage wise. Extrapolating the Kepler results to the whole sky, and all orbit angles, means there's a LOT of planets out there, millions of them. That's probably the most important news - that there are lots of planets out there. The details of orbits, masses, temperature, etc will come eventually with better instruments, but from sheer random statistics, some of them will end up with the right mass, and distance from their star to be "possibly Earthlike".
Note that by the time we could visit such planets, we won't need them. We will have learned to live on the Moon, Mars, the Asteroids, and other non-Earthlike places long before we attempt an interstellar mission. All we really need is raw materials and sunlight. Habitable planets just make for cool news stories.
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by the time we could visit such planets, we will have learned we can't live on Earth...
NASA has produced the greatest... (Score:3)
and if that's not ridiculous enough, you can click on 'Enlarge' for a better look at it.
And so close.. (Score:3)
So only a few thousand generations and we are so there...
150,000 Samples (Score:3)
And only 1200 so far may look reasonable.
Still a good ratio.
But, pay attention to the report, in that a large number, almost half have GAS giants in the zone...more than likely with Earth sized moons or smaller.
You could literally have Multiple Earths around a single body...I wonder how that affects the odds of life in general?
Compare that to the situation we are in, where a rocky planet has its own orbit. That so far is a very small percentage.
We could very well have a very unique situation.
I find it odd that Pandora as a movie of science fiction may in fact be much more common than a rocky planet in its own orbit about the sun that has life.
Very exciting though that we are starting to get ratios of stars to planets with habitable zones and even what sort they are.
In another 20 years we should have a trend line to plot!!!
All within my lifetime, which is very exciting!!!
(Well...God willing!!)
-Hack
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And only 1200 so far may look reasonable.
Still a good ratio.
Considering that out of the 150,000 stars, there are 1200 planetary systems that are both oriented such that the planets pass directly in front of their stars as seen from our solar system, and did so over a period of about 4 months, that's a *very* good ratio. The whole point of Kepler is to gather statistics on planetary systems. There's no need to wait 20 years. Trend lines are being plotted now.
Great!! So..... (Score:5, Insightful)
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can we stop killing each other and focus on space exploration now?
No. Get back to work. - The Management
Kepler (Score:2)
The Kepler space telescope found six planets around Kepler-11? Sounds a bit self-involved if you ask me. ;)
Call me when they find a Kemplerer rosette; then I'll be impressed.
Come on, SERIOUSLY?! (Score:2)
"NASA Finds Family of Habitable Planets"
So, they have now determined there are a bunch of habitable planets by a telescope that
"looks for the data signatures of planets by measuring tiny decreases in the brightness of stars when planets cross in front of, or transit, them. The size of the planet can be derived from the change in the star's brightness. The temperature can be estimated from the characteristics of the star it orbits and the planet's orbital period."
NOTHING in the actual NASA article said these
2000 light years away (Score:2)
how far.... (Score:2)
If it is too far for us to reach within this life time (100 light years away or something)...it is useless to worry too much about it...log them for later, once we accomplish warp drive.
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In one billion years (what you almost certainly meant), Earth itself will be most likely uninhabitable (if nature takes its course). But it shouldn't take us that long to reach the stars at which Kepler is looking (few hundred light years away, iirc), assuming we'll ever venture out - even with a gradual approach of slowly spreading throughout the Oort cloud (one of more likely ones, IMHO), and with some groups eventually hitching a ride via clouds of passing s
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They are 2000 light years away which, considering we're having trouble even getting things into orbit of our own planet, puts them absolutely out of reach. While perhaps some people will take comfort becoming extinct in the knowledge of what we could have done had the laws of physics been different, unless someone invents a magical way to bridge such distance I doubt the human race will ever
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Whether we'll do it or not - we can't know of course. But when not being obsessed about inner planetary systems, when thinking in timescales of civilization (and not of human life) - many things become much more plausible.
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And I really don't think anyone suggests it would be comparably straigh
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the stargate takes just a few seconds to get ther (Score:3)
the stargate takes just a few seconds to get there.
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Light years measures distance not time..
Of course... ever since we learnt about Golden Falcon, everybody knows that time is measured in parsecs.
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Where's your sense of fairness? (Score:2)
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It is called sampling bias. They have nothing to rewrite yet (altough, they may have in the future).
The Earth is the center of the Solar System (Score:2)
The Earth was made as an Eden for us in God's image. There is no proof to dispute this statement. Theories, hopes and dreams do not equal proof. The Earth exists for the sole purpose to test humanity for sin.
-or-
The Earth is Flat
Look left and right: it's flat. There is no proof to dispute this statement. Theories, hopes and dreams do not equal proof. The flatness of the earth is as plain as my hand in front of my face.
etc.
The idea that there is only one Earth, knowing what we know about how the Earth was fo