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All of Nate Silver's Presidential Predictions Proved True

kkleiner (1468647) writes | about a year and a half ago

Politics 2

kkleiner writes "For the last few months, the political pundit class has been at war with NYT/FiveThirtyEight blogger Nate Silver. Joe Scarborough of MSNBC called him a “joke,” while an op-ed in the LA Times accused him of running a “numbers racket.” But last night, Silver triumphed: every one of his state-level presidential predictions proved true. Statistics FTW!"
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totally bad premise (1)

poetmatt (793785) | about a year and a half ago | (#41920491)

The point here is not that he was accurate or not, and it's not statistics FTW. He acknowledged his estimates could be wrong:

the point is that he used accurate statistics to provide reasonable estimates, which the news and the pundits simply disregarded entirely as they made up numbers and false controversies.

So it's more like pundits fail at statistics.

Ratings are built on exciting news (0)

Anonymous Coward | about a year and a half ago | (#41920999)

It's similar to a weather reporter saying its 'possible' we could be in for a blizzard compared to the other guy saying there's a 5% chance of a major snowstorm.

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