Al writes "The arXiv physics blog reports that researchers from HP Palo Alto studied videos uploaded to YouTube and found that popularity has little to do with quality or persistence. Researchers Fang Wu and Bernardo Huberman studied the hit rates of 10 million videos uploaded by 600,000 users up to 30 April 2008 and they classified a success as a video that was among the top 1 per cent of those viewed. "The more frequently an individual uploads content the less likely it is that it will reach a success threshold," they conclude, adding that this may be because "when a producer submits several videos over time, their novelty and hence their appeal to a wide audience tends to decrease". Interesting, the researchers speculate that unsuccessful users carry on uploading because (like gammblers) "they overestimate the odds of success"."
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