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Comments

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Greenpeace: Amazon Fire Burns More Coal and Gas Than It Should

LynnwoodRooster Re:Objective Assessment (285 comments)

Well, if it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck... Their actions do tend to look a lot like Jesse Jackson's "Rainbow Coalition", in that righteous indignation is aimed at a given highly valuable entity until said entity donates a lot of money, and then another entity is targeted - regardless of any real changes.

2 days ago
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Greenpeace: Amazon Fire Burns More Coal and Gas Than It Should

LynnwoodRooster Re:Objective Assessment (285 comments)

But that misses the point: trying to publicly shame Amazon into making a pro-Greenpeace statement and giving them a few hundred thousand dollars as penance...

3 days ago
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Amazon's Ambitious Bets Pile Up, and Its Losses Swell

LynnwoodRooster Re:I will invest in that. (168 comments)

It's a sad state of affairs in the USA that almost every public company, without question only looks as far as their next quarterly report, and no further down the road. This is why all these businesses are run by idiots that can't even tell you what their company even *does*, because they are so focused on manipulating the stock price and their personal bonuses.

One reason the Japanese kicked our asses in the 1980's is that they were looking at 10-year plans while the USA looked only to the next quarter. Now the Chinese are doing the same, with long-term strategies, and we continue to have not learned our lessons.

I don't doubt that long-term strategy is important, but focusing exclusively on that is the sure road to ruin. For example, the Japanese were kicking our asses in the 1980s. How did that turn out? To win at business, you need to maximize your current position without harming your future growth. It's a tough line to walk, but you need both - or you either kill your future for the present, or simply cannot survive to the future.

4 days ago
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Lawrence Krauss: Congress Is Trying To Defund Scientists At Energy Department

LynnwoodRooster Re:Price of using scientists as political pawns (292 comments)

Taxes are down? The corporate tax rate hasn't changed in 20+ years in the US. Wages are definitely down, and tax receipts are down, but that's what happens when the entire economy turns down. But corporate tax rates are stable (and the highest in the G20).

4 days ago
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Lawrence Krauss: Congress Is Trying To Defund Scientists At Energy Department

LynnwoodRooster Re:Price of using scientists as political pawns (292 comments)

Not thriving? The energy industry in the US is insanely profitable.

Interesting. How profitable is the US energy industry? Looking at the latest tax returns of ExxonMobil, Chevron, Texaco, it looks like they make about 7% return. I wouldn't call that insanely profitable at all...

5 days ago
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White House Approves Sonic Cannons For Atlantic Energy Exploration

LynnwoodRooster Re:Even regular sonar wreaks havoc on marine life (272 comments)

Decibels used in SONAR are referenced to 1 microPascal; deciBels used in audio are referenced to 20 microPascals. Thus there is a 26 dB difference in level. A level of 140 dB underwater is the same as 114 dB SPL (in air). About a mid-level peak at an EDM club. Source: designing SONAR systems for scientific and fisheries research for the better part of a decade...

about two weeks ago
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US House Passes Permanent Ban On Internet Access Taxes

LynnwoodRooster Re:do you read? (148 comments)

Replying just about your signature...

about two weeks ago
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US House Passes Permanent Ban On Internet Access Taxes

LynnwoodRooster Re:This will die in the senate (148 comments)

The money that has been taken has been backed with T-bills. Financially, it's as if the money was never taken out in the first place. Nevertheless, Social Security is now running in the red (drawing down on those T-bills) and will continue to do so until it's out of cash sometime in the next 20-25 years. Thus the talk about raising the tax rate, or lifting other exemptions (without raising the equivalent max benefit), or other means to increase funding without increasing expenses.

Social security is, in fact, behaving as a classic Ponzi scheme, except to keep the scheme going the schemer (US Federal Government in this case) is planning to charge late entries even higher rates to invest in the scheme. The problem is not use of funds now - the problem is structural. It will not survive long term without restructuring because it promises to pay out more than it receives - like a Ponzi scheme.

about two weeks ago
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Home Depot Begins Retail Store Pilot Program To Sell MakerBot 3-D Printers

LynnwoodRooster Re:I wonder (127 comments)

I'll take one that is *missing* a few parts for a fraction of the price.

You bet! Buy a 'bot, find the parts that are missing, print new ones, and...

Oh wait...

about two weeks ago
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Predicting a Future Free of Dollar Bills

LynnwoodRooster Re:Why? (753 comments)

The Powers That Be have never frozen any of my accounts, but thugs have burglarized my house more than once.

Interestingly enough, I've had the TPTB freeze all my accounts, but have never had my house burglarized.

about two weeks ago
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FCC Approves Subsidy Plan to Upgrade School and Library Networks

LynnwoodRooster Why - why $1 billion a year? (70 comments)

Seriously - why? There are less than 100,000 K-12 schools in the US, we're talking about $10,000 PER SCHOOL in the US, each year. I just upgraded my office (12 Ubiquiti access points, covering 45,000 square feet - probably about the average size of a school campus) to 150 Mbps down/65 Mbps up FiOS for $250 per month. Should cost less than $1000 for the hardware, and less than $3000 per year for the service. Where does the other $6,000 go - for the first year? And what about all the following years?

about two weeks ago
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Study: Global Warming Solvable If Fossil Fuel Subsidies Given To Clean Energy

LynnwoodRooster Re: How about (385 comments)

I see. We can't buy oil from other companies, nor alternate OSes. AT&T? That was Federally regulated monopoly until it was broken up.

about three weeks ago
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FDA: We Can't Scale To Regulate Mobile Health Apps

LynnwoodRooster Re:Charge what it costs to certify (123 comments)

When you do your work, do you routinely cut corners, lie, and make stuff up just to get your next paycheck? That's what you're claiming pretty much everyone else in private industry does...

about three weeks ago
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Study: Global Warming Solvable If Fossil Fuel Subsidies Given To Clean Energy

LynnwoodRooster Re:How do you solve a problem that doesn't exist? (385 comments)

So adjustments on the scale of what the IPCC is warning us about aren't anything to worry about? Hokay....

For the last 18 years, it was well established by the pro-AGW crowd that 17 years was needed for a signal. We have 18 years - and no signal. Not to mention the pro-AGW side likes to ignore the Medieval warm period, or the little ice age (the former being as warm - or warmer - than now).

As far as Professor Easterbrook, that "Skeptical Science" site has about as much reliability as the old Enzyte site pushing penis pills. A lot of handwaving and ignoring of facts... His predictions from the late 1990s were spot-on. He correctly predicted the current pause, and calls for us to enter a period of cooling. Well, we've got the pause - now to see if we get the cooling.

about three weeks ago
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Study: Whales Are Ecosystem "Engineers"

LynnwoodRooster I don't know about whale engineers (64 comments)

But I have met some engineers large enough to qualify as whales... Excessive Mountain Dew and Cheetos consumption builds blubber pretty darn fast!

about three weeks ago
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When Beliefs and Facts Collide

LynnwoodRooster Re:Not surprising. (725 comments)

Null hypothesis: Does human activity have no impact on the environment?

That's not the claim, however. The claim is that human activity impacts climate specifically, not just the environment (which can be as much as cutting your grass impacts the environment).

about three weeks ago
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Study: Global Warming Solvable If Fossil Fuel Subsidies Given To Clean Energy

LynnwoodRooster Re:all for ending subsidies (385 comments)

I usually ignore ACs, but your post is the standard rebuttal about "what subsidies?" and it's totally wrong...

1. Tax credit for paying foreign taxes. This is a "subsidy" as far as EVERY SINGLE COMPANY gets the same thing. If you pay $1 in income tax overseas, you do not have to pay that same $1 on the same income. It applies to profits earned overseas, and already taxed. ALL companies get this; if you want to call this an energy subsidy, then you can also call it a subsidy for renewables/solar/wind - because they get it as well (oh, and you can also say that every overseas US worker gets the subsidy because when they pay taxes on their overseas income, they get to deduct those paid taxes from the US taxes they owe).

2. Credit for alternative fuel production. Uhhh, you mean ALTERNATIVE energy credits? Yep - there's that dastardly Big Oil stealing the money from alternative energy to, uh, fund traditional oil/gas? Nope. It's for GREEN initiatives, like ethanol and the like. Fuels that would NOT be competitive on the market unless they are subsidized, fuels that are "green" and alternative. Why this is not included in the alternative energy subsidies I don't know - guess something had to stick somewhere?

3. Oil and gas exploration and expensing. I guess R&D for technology shouldn't be deductible. That land prep for farmers shouldn't be deductible. That planting new trees for tree farms shouldn't be deductible. That clearing land for solar and wind shouldn't be deductible. It's a standard business expense - R&D - that ALL BUSINESSES get to deduct.

Yep, some great list! Now, I wonder about those who shout about "Big Oil doesn't pay tax!" I wonder if they realize ExxonMobil paid over $31 BILLION in taxes last year, the most by any US company. Followed by Chevron? With Apple a distant 3rd?

about three weeks ago
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Study: Global Warming Solvable If Fossil Fuel Subsidies Given To Clean Energy

LynnwoodRooster Re:How do you solve a problem that doesn't exist? (385 comments)

Some temperature records are constantly adjusted in the past. Given that the history is constantly being revised - how do we know what the actual trends are?

The RSS data set is about the most accurate we have, given it has a constant reference background (deep space), and covers the entire globe equally with the same set of instruments, and has done so for the last 35 years. And that record shows no warming for nearly 18 years.

One scientist, Don Easterbrook got it right. His model - based upon the cycles of the oceans - appears to fit the current pause quite nicely as well as matches the past. Perhaps he's on to something, in that his model more accurately tracks historical records AND the current situation than the IPCC/CO2 driven models.

about three weeks ago
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Study: Global Warming Solvable If Fossil Fuel Subsidies Given To Clean Energy

LynnwoodRooster Re: How about (385 comments)

Here in the US, the rail monopoly is established by the Federal Government. Cable provider monopolies are established by the local utility districts. In most cases, monopolies are established and enforced by the Governments, not by the businesses.

about three weeks ago

Submissions

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Your flat panel is causing global warming

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  about 6 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "ABC News reports on a new study by Professor Michael Prather of UC which addresses the gas nitrogen trifluoride (NF3), a key component in the manufacture of flat panel displays. Also turns out this gas is 17,000 times worse that CO2 from a global warming perspective, is the next gas to be considered for Kyoto treatment.

The professor states "We don't know what's emitted, but what they're producing (of NF3) every year dwarfs these giant coal-fired power plants that are like the biggest in the world... It dwarfs two of the Kyoto gases. So the real question we don't know is how much is escaping and getting out."

Does this mean we have to go back to CRTs (oops, can't do that — lead and power consumption), or all the way back to punch cards (oops, trees needed)? What's an environmentally sensitive geek to do?"
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Google not evil? Not when it comes to money...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 6 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "A local blogger writes: "So I was minding my own business Tuesday morning when I got an email from Google Adsense telling me they were disabling the ads on my site and my account with the company."



Seems something at Google thought he was "posing a risk" to their advertisers, and not only is he suspended but they're keeping the $600 he's earned in the last 4 months."
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Counterfeit Visa rate half that of XP

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 6 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "Channel Register in the UK reports that counterfeit Vista deployments are half that of XP. Maybe the "phone home" feature of Vista actually works to reduce software piracy. If this is the case, we can expect to see a hard, second look at including this feature in many more applications from most software companies."
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New carbon-based paper stronger than nanotubes

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  about 7 years ago

LynnwoodRooster writes "Science Magazine reports that a group from Northwestern University in Illinois has a new process for creating carbon-based paper that's stronger than nanotubes, and incredibly easy to use to make sheets of any desired sizes. Huge implications for aircraft, automobiles, and the ever-sought-after space elevator? Forget that, I want to make some new speaker cones with this technology..."
Link to Original Source

Journals

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There is no "consensus" on Anthropogenic Global Warming...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 6 years ago A review of the last few years of published climate change papers show that just 7% - seven percent! - of the 528 published papers explicitly support AGW. A nearly equal 6% explicitly DENOUCE AGW. And in fact, the vast majority of actual climate scientists are neutral - not sure if global warming is caused by man or not!

We need to take a LONG HARD LOOK at the whole pro-AGW cartel. And I use that word cartel appropriately - they are pushing to use laws, under the guise of "helping the environment", to mandate a massive transfer of wealth via carbon offsets, mandatory funding of new technologies and the like. Billions of dollars are being dedicated to AGW-mania with apparently little confidence by the scientists.

Apparently, Al Gore's "The Science is Settled!" is far from reality...

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Fun with GDP Figures...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago Much has been made of the Wikipedia entries showing relative GDP per capita; many point to the high GDP of Ireland and Norway as indicative that the the US economic engine really isn't that good and that a socialist approach is inherently superior.  However, I believe that rating really isn't worth much.  Making a lot is one thing; GETTING a lot is another!

Rather than just look at the GDP, or GDP per capita, I think a better index is what I call the Prosperity Index - factoring in purchasing power with that GDP.  It's one thing to make a ton of cash; it's another to pay very little.  I've seen this effect first-hand, when a friend left his $80K/year engineering job here in Seattle for a $145K/year job in San Jose.  His actual cost of living more than doubled, and after two years he moved back.  Why?  He actually keeps more by living here, paying less!

There's a VERY convenient measure of purchasing power: the Economist magazine's Big Mac Index - the BMI (see http://www.economist.com/markets/indicators/displaystory.cfm?story_id=8649005).  This index uses the price of a Big Mac to equalize the purchasing power of a dollar throughout the world.  It's been used for many years, and is actually a pretty good indicator of the cost of living throughout the world.

Taking that into account, we can divide the GDP per capita by the BMI and end up with the Prosperity Index - a measure of the buying power (essentially relative effective income) per person.

Without further ado, here's the table for selected countries (significant political/development countries where I could find individual ratings for both GDP and the BMI):

Country        GDP        BMI   Prosperity
-------     ----------   -----  -----------
Japan       $34,188.00   $2.31  14800.00000
USA         $44,190.00   $3.22  13723.60248
Australia   $36,553.00   $2.67  13690.26217
Canada      $38,951.00   $3.08  12646.42857
Norway      $72,306.00   $6.63  10905.88235
Denmark     $50,965.00   $4.84  10529.95868
Switzerland $51,771.00   $5.05  10251.68317
Britain     $39,213.00   $3.90  10054.61538
Sweden      $42,383.00   $4.59   9233.76906
EU          $29,476.00   $3.82   7716.23036
Iceland     $54,858.00   $7.44   7373.38709
South Korea $18,392.00   $3.08   5971.42857
Russia       $6,856.00   $1.85   3705.94594
Malaysia     $5,718.00   $1.57   3642.03821
Chile        $8,864.00   $3.07   2887.29641
China        $2,001.00   $1.41   1419.14893

Of interest is that Japan leads the way; the Yen is really quite strong, and the GDP is quite healthy.

The US comes in at number 2, probably not a shock to many.

What will be shocking is that the EU and European countries in general fall so far.  Well down the list, well past Canada and Australia.  For example, Norway - mighty in the GDP ratings - tumbles to nearly 21% below the US, and 14% below Canada.  So that high GDP really doesn't bring a lot of economic purchasing power; it simply takes more money to live in Norway.

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The myth of Anthropogenic Global Warming

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago or How I learned to stop worrying and understand it's the big Mr. Fusion in the sky.

The current "consensus" is that climate change - what used to be known as Global Warming, until it was found that the globe, in fact, was not warming - is a result of man. Our use of fossil fuels is the problem. Our use of electricity via hydro/wind/solar is the problem. Our mere existence is the problem. As Dave Forman, founder of Earth First! states: Phasing out the human race will solve every problem on earth, social and environmental. Or, a Pogo put it, we have met the enemy and he is us .

So I got to thinking. I took a stroll outside one day, and as I leaned back in the grass, a bright idea popped into my head. Maybe the Sun, that Mr. Fusion in the sky, is really the source of the problem?

So I went looking, and lo and behold found out this little nugget: the Sun's output has increased by 0.05% per decade since the late 1970s.

Now, that may not sound like a lot; in fact, a 0.05% change is downright tiny! But being the engineer that I am, and having some free time with my ancient-but-functional HP28S calculator, I started to figure out some numbers (follow along with the RPN calculations).

For starters, how much output does the Sun really give to the Earth? Well, apparently the Sun puts out about 1400W per square meter here on this ball we call home. Meaning an increase of 0.05% per decade amounts to (1400 0.05 100 / *) 0.7W per square meter additional over that decade. Not much, eh?

Well, let's see what that is when spread over the entire Earth. How big is that? Well, the surface are of the Earth is about 510 million square kilometers. But of course we DO have night, so that at any time half of that is radiated by the sun. Meaning we have (510 2 /) 255 million square kilometers of surface that's irradiated by the Sun. Oh, and there are 1 million square meters per square kilometer (a kilometer being 1000 meters, a square kilometer is 1000 meters long by 1000 meters wide - (1000 1000 *).

So, we have 1 million square meters per square kilometer. And we have 0.7W more output per decade per square meter. Meaning we have (0.7 1000 1000 * *) 700 kW more output per square kilometer per decade. Note that this is about the same as 700 US households. Or to use a more interesting reference, about 35 Goreholds.

Now, take that 0.7 MW of power increase per square kilometer, and multiply it by the 255 million square kilometers illuminated by the sun. We end up with (0.7 1000000 255 1000000 * * *) about 1.8 million Mega Watts of additional power; this is actually 1.8 Tera Watts of power, a rather rarely used prefix for a REALLY BIG NUMBER. For those in the Pacific Northwest, this is about 285 Grand Coulee Dams (with the dam doing 6300 MW peak output). That's a LOT of extra power.

And of course, that increase has happened for the last three decades, meaning that what we're receiving now is about 5.4 Tera Watts more power than we received in the late 1970s. Suddenly that little 0.05% change doesn't seem so innocuous, does it?

But how does that shape up compared to what the Evil Homo sapiens do? Surely we're a LOT worse! I mean, 5.4 TW is a lot of power, so how do we rate? Well, apparently not as good... Even with 6 billion of us doing our thing, we only consumed an average of 1.7 TW of power in 2001, meaning we're about 30% of what the Sun puts out. Oh, and that's TOTAL ELECTRICAL USAGE of the WORLD.

So apparently the Sun's small increase just over the last three decades has more than TRIPLED the total power delivered to the Earth than the evil Mankind uses. And note that there was considerable electrical usage prior to 1975 as well, so our actual increase since 1975 is a LOT less than what the Sun's done.

So leaning back on the grass as the warm rays of the Mr. Fusion in the sky fell on my pasty white skin (I am an engineer, after all), it became pretty clear to me. I guess we can argue about the CO2 belching cars or volcanoes or the number of termite farts, be my guest, but me? I think I'll just sit here and enjoy the extra output from the Sun right now and feel a little bit more at ease knowing that, barring some evil billionaire's attempts to block out the sun, it's that Mr. Fusion up there, and there's not much we can do about it.

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Thoughts on the Middle East conflict

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago The current "conventional wisdom" is that the whole Middle East issue is the fault of the US. We created it, we're the source of the Arab/Israeli conflict, we're the creator of Al Qaeda, we're the fountainhead of all ills in that troubled region. Any action on our part can do nothing but further foment hatred toward the US.

In essence, we're damned if we do, we're damned if we don't.

We're hated for not continuing support of the Afghanistan government after the threat of the USSR went away, letting a civil war erupt.

We're hated because we're still in Iraq at the behest of their government to try to avoid a civil war.

We're hated for letting Saddam invade Kuwait and threaten Saudi Arabia.

We're hated for staying in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait after the first Gulf War to protect from Saddam repeating his invasion of Kuwait.

We're hated for having an official policy of regime change in Iraq.

We're hated for not helping the locals change the regime in Iraq.

We're hated for finally executing regime change in Iraq.

Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Seems to me that no matter what we do we're hated. That's the central thread we're dealing with - irrational hatred of anything "Western" or "non-Arabic Muslim". And when we abide by the customs of their country - women covered up, no alcohol, stop work 5 times a day, no images of people, even leaving Bibles at home - we're still hated as infidels and invaders.

As far as the whole Israel/Palestine conflict goes, why isn't the hatred directed at the UN? They set up Israel, and didn't follow through on setting up an Arab state of Palestine. Israel would NOT EVEN EXIST if it wasn't for the UN's resolutions. So why not direct their hatred at the UN, rather than Israel, or the US?

For example, when Ehud Barak offered as a STARTING POINT a full 95% of what the Palestinian appologists demanded, the PLO, Hamas, and most Arab states STILL REFUSED to even ACKNOWLEDGE the existence of Israel. One side is talking about leaving most of the disputed territories immediately, and complete withdrawals over a short time, going back to the pre-1967 borders, and the other side doesn't even acknowledge the existence of the first.

I think the wishful thinking that "if the US would just leave the Middle East all would be good!" is seriously flawed. We're hated for interfering by protecting mulsims in Bosnia and Somalia, and hated for not protecting muslims in Iraq or Kuwait.

Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Essentially, we're hated for not what we've done, but for what we are - we're not muslim. We have different values and a different culture. We have tolerance. We allow individual freedoms. We believe ALL men AND women - of every race and creed - are created equal. We represent what they despise. It's not our actions, it's our very NATURE that is the source of their hatred. The very freedoms that we take for granted - and are used every day by those protesting the US' current involvement in the Middle East - are the source of the hatred against the US.

Here we have parades celebrating the gay lifestyle. They stone not just gays, but if you're even raped by a gay man you're sentenced to that grisly death.

We allow people to live together ourside of marriage. They will stone a woman for simply talking to a man.

We have women heading up some of our largest corporations, leading countries. They forbid women from even opening a book.

We encourage families to share their values and go to church together - they force families apart, even in worship.

We allow you to choose your own path to spiritual enlightenment, even if that means no path. They will behead you if you do not submit to every written word of Mohammed.

We will let you make a movie criticizing religions, governments, companies, cultural values, even the legal system. They will kill you for simply drawing an image of Mohammed.

We protect and honor religious and cultural shrines, artwork, and buildings because of the history and knowledge they provide. They blow up anything from a different culture or religion.

We allow political dissent, free speech, and provide the right to a trial by a jury of your peers. They summarily execute any who speak against the leadership, and your right to trial is a right to have a cleric decide whether you're shot, hung, or stoned.

In light of this we might as well just do what the heck we want strictly for our own interests, because whatever we do it's obviously not going to change the radical Arab-muslim's view of the US.

Because we're damned if we do, and we're damned if we don't.

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