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Skeptics Would Like Media To Stop Calling Science Deniers 'Skeptics'

LynnwoodRooster Re:Established science CANNOT BE QUESTIONED! (633 comments)

Agreed, and this is what happens. Anyone who tries to publish a paper can tell you how much fun it is, even for papers that follow the current thinking in a particular field. I work with a couple scientists that published a paper in regards to climate change, and it took two years of sometimes colorfully worded review comments and re-submissions before it as accepted.

Other times, complete gibberish is accepted into a journal. Getting published is by no means a guarantee of the quality of the work; all it indicates is that the work fits within the world-view of the publisher. The quality of the work depends upon the data and the methods/algorithms used, and the transparency of both. When data or the process is hidden (or both, as the case with much of the early AGW work), then the quality should immediately be suspect.

2 days ago
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Verizon "End-to-End" Encrypted Calling Includes Law Enforcement Backdoor

LynnwoodRooster Re:It's required (166 comments)

Actually, CALEA means that it's basically illegal to deliver a full end-to-end encrypted system that does not have a back door. Now, if Verizon simply passed encrypted data between endpoints, and let a 3rd party app developer create the endpoints which encrypted/decrypted the data, then Verizon could not offer a backdoor - it has no way of intercepting/decrypting the data. But by doing the full chain (encrypt, transport, decrypt) it simply has to offer a back-door per CALEA because it is obviously possible for them to do so (they see the raw data prior to encryption, and know the encryption scheme and keys - they did the endpoints).

4 days ago
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Verizon "End-to-End" Encrypted Calling Includes Law Enforcement Backdoor

LynnwoodRooster Re:It's required (166 comments)

False.

CALEA only requires the backdoor to exist if it's technically possible. TFA is pretty clear that other manufacturers and carriers have chosen to implement end-to-end encryption that doesn't have the ability to be backdoored, and as such, there's no need to provide the (non-existent) backdoor to the feds.

Can you design a system you would solely supply for encrypted end-to-end communications that could NOT have a backdoor implemented? If you implement the end-points, then a back-door is automatically possible - you control the encryption/decryption on the ends.

4 days ago
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Verizon "End-to-End" Encrypted Calling Includes Law Enforcement Backdoor

LynnwoodRooster It's required (166 comments)

See the CALEA Act passed in 1994. Telecom providers HAVE to provide that backdoor. If not - they are subject to fines of up to $10,000 per day per connection not in compliance, and having their network shut down until it comes into compliance.

Your indignation should not be directed at Verizon - it should be directed at Washington, DC.

4 days ago
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Linking Drought and Climate Change: Difficult To Do

LynnwoodRooster Re:Why don't they ever try to "link" good stuff? (212 comments)

Please try reading the article with the graph. Dr. Easterbrook gives a pretty convincing argument of why this type of graph (ice cores) tend to be more accurate than the mish-mash of multiple proxies all packaged together. The former gives you higher resolution, the latter tends to average over long, multi-century periods (eliminating known events like the Minoan, Roman, and Medieval Warm Periods).

5 days ago
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Linking Drought and Climate Change: Difficult To Do

LynnwoodRooster Re:Why don't they ever try to "link" good stuff? (212 comments)

Well, it seems over the last 11,000 years we've had considerably warmer periods - and our species survived and even flourished! The Minoan warm period, the Roman warm period, the Medieval warm period - all were good for worldwide cultures. We're not "headed" anywhere our species hasn't been, and our species has done pretty darn well when it's warmer as opposed to when it's colder.

5 days ago
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Linking Drought and Climate Change: Difficult To Do

LynnwoodRooster Re:The drought is bullshit (212 comments)

We in California have all the water we could ever want. We just do not have the political willpower to access it. It's called the Pacific Ocean, and the process is desalination. Which, if it cost us as much as it does Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other desert nations to run, would result in LOWER water costs that what we pay in Southern California (I live in Ventura). Plenty of water - just no willingness to create the necessary desalination plants - and accompanying power plants - to make the water desired.

5 days ago
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Jaguar and Land Rover Just Created Transparent Pillars For Cars

LynnwoodRooster Re:Or just make the A-pillar narrower. (191 comments)

I don't have stereo vision, you insensitive clod!

You're not supposed to be watching your stereo...

5 days ago
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Jaguar and Land Rover Just Created Transparent Pillars For Cars

LynnwoodRooster Re:Driver in video was unfamiliar with the car (191 comments)

That's how it is in Thailand, at least. The Nissan and Toyota trucks I drive there have the turn signal on the right. For the first 3 days I typically end up using wipers to signal a turn and blinkers to clear the windshield. It's not that effective.

5 days ago
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Last Three Years the Quietest For Tornadoes Ever

LynnwoodRooster Re:Time to openly admit... (187 comments)

Climate IS weather. Climate is the integral of weather over some pre-determined time window. Want to know the climate for the last week? Last month? Last 10 years? Look at the weather over those times. Climate IS weather. The claim otherwise makes as much sense as saying bread isn't flour, water, and yeast...

about a week ago
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Airbus Attacked By French Lawmaker For Talking To SpaceX

LynnwoodRooster Re:So it is official. (168 comments)

Doesn't that $200M first COME from the taxpayers, then is processed through Government/business interests, then the remainder trickle down to those same taxpayers who ponied up the $200M in the first place? Wouldn't it be better to simply leave the money with the taxpayers to start with?

about a week ago
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Monochromatic Light As a Species-selective Insecticide

LynnwoodRooster Re:I bet evolution wins within two years (44 comments)

Well that depends... If it's 100% effective, then NONE will survive and propagate genes that provide appropriate resistance.

about two weeks ago
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Court Orders Uber To Shut Down In Spain

LynnwoodRooster Re:Greasing Palms. (280 comments)

Ummm, no. Please see the relevant laws. A black car - a car hired to pick you up from one location to another - is not limited as a taxi. A taxi can pick you up from the street (wave for the cab). A black car is what Uber is - you contract for a ride from one location to another, ahead of time, not "spur of the moment" like flagging down a cab.

about two weeks ago
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Court Orders Uber To Shut Down In Spain

LynnwoodRooster Re:Unlicensed taxi broker (280 comments)

My firearms have NEVER killed another person. Nor will they EVER kill another person. In fact, I don't know ANY firearm that has ever killed another person.

However, there are PLENTY of people who seek to kill others, either through negligence or malice. The choice of tool is irrelevant; the user of the tool is what matters.

about two weeks ago
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Court Orders Uber To Shut Down In Spain

LynnwoodRooster Re:Wait. Are gov't regs good or bad? (280 comments)

My ownership (or lack thereof) of a firearm in no way infringes on the rights of another individual. The termination of another individual's life most definitely infringes on the rights of that individual.

about two weeks ago
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How Relevant is C in 2014?

LynnwoodRooster Re:First post (641 comments)

Line 4 of your code fails to compile... Sigh...

about two weeks ago
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Bluetooth Gains Direct Internet Access, Security Enhancements

LynnwoodRooster Re:BT is the worldbeater it was billed as! (47 comments)

Precisely. I have a cell phone, a smart watch, a car, a motorcycle headset, a stereo headset, a tablet, a keyboard, a mouse, and a half-dozen other Bluetooth capable devices here. Two billion Bluetooth devices shipped in 2012, and they're expecting over 20 BILLION total devices by 2017 - about 3 per person on the face of the Earth. How is that not a "worldbeater"?

about two weeks ago
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Chromebooks Overtake iPads In US Education Market

LynnwoodRooster Re:Tablet fad is finally over (193 comments)

Really? I guess their increasing revenues and profit margins that are consistently higher than Apple or Google are signs of stagnant and shrinking markets then! I know it's all 2010ish to talk about the death of the desktop and Microsoft, but the numbers simply don't support such a claim.

about two weeks ago

Submissions

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Your flat panel is causing global warming

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 6 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "ABC News reports on a new study by Professor Michael Prather of UC which addresses the gas nitrogen trifluoride (NF3), a key component in the manufacture of flat panel displays. Also turns out this gas is 17,000 times worse that CO2 from a global warming perspective, is the next gas to be considered for Kyoto treatment.

The professor states "We don't know what's emitted, but what they're producing (of NF3) every year dwarfs these giant coal-fired power plants that are like the biggest in the world... It dwarfs two of the Kyoto gases. So the real question we don't know is how much is escaping and getting out."

Does this mean we have to go back to CRTs (oops, can't do that — lead and power consumption), or all the way back to punch cards (oops, trees needed)? What's an environmentally sensitive geek to do?"
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Google not evil? Not when it comes to money...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  about 7 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "A local blogger writes: "So I was minding my own business Tuesday morning when I got an email from Google Adsense telling me they were disabling the ads on my site and my account with the company."



Seems something at Google thought he was "posing a risk" to their advertisers, and not only is he suspended but they're keeping the $600 he's earned in the last 4 months."
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Counterfeit Visa rate half that of XP

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  about 7 years ago

LynnwoodRooster (966895) writes "Channel Register in the UK reports that counterfeit Vista deployments are half that of XP. Maybe the "phone home" feature of Vista actually works to reduce software piracy. If this is the case, we can expect to see a hard, second look at including this feature in many more applications from most software companies."
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New carbon-based paper stronger than nanotubes

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago

LynnwoodRooster writes "Science Magazine reports that a group from Northwestern University in Illinois has a new process for creating carbon-based paper that's stronger than nanotubes, and incredibly easy to use to make sheets of any desired sizes. Huge implications for aircraft, automobiles, and the ever-sought-after space elevator? Forget that, I want to make some new speaker cones with this technology..."
Link to Original Source

Journals

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There is no "consensus" on Anthropogenic Global Warming...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago A review of the last few years of published climate change papers show that just 7% - seven percent! - of the 528 published papers explicitly support AGW. A nearly equal 6% explicitly DENOUCE AGW. And in fact, the vast majority of actual climate scientists are neutral - not sure if global warming is caused by man or not!

We need to take a LONG HARD LOOK at the whole pro-AGW cartel. And I use that word cartel appropriately - they are pushing to use laws, under the guise of "helping the environment", to mandate a massive transfer of wealth via carbon offsets, mandatory funding of new technologies and the like. Billions of dollars are being dedicated to AGW-mania with apparently little confidence by the scientists.

Apparently, Al Gore's "The Science is Settled!" is far from reality...

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Fun with GDP Figures...

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago Much has been made of the Wikipedia entries showing relative GDP per capita; many point to the high GDP of Ireland and Norway as indicative that the the US economic engine really isn't that good and that a socialist approach is inherently superior.  However, I believe that rating really isn't worth much.  Making a lot is one thing; GETTING a lot is another!

Rather than just look at the GDP, or GDP per capita, I think a better index is what I call the Prosperity Index - factoring in purchasing power with that GDP.  It's one thing to make a ton of cash; it's another to pay very little.  I've seen this effect first-hand, when a friend left his $80K/year engineering job here in Seattle for a $145K/year job in San Jose.  His actual cost of living more than doubled, and after two years he moved back.  Why?  He actually keeps more by living here, paying less!

There's a VERY convenient measure of purchasing power: the Economist magazine's Big Mac Index - the BMI (see http://www.economist.com/markets/indicators/displaystory.cfm?story_id=8649005).  This index uses the price of a Big Mac to equalize the purchasing power of a dollar throughout the world.  It's been used for many years, and is actually a pretty good indicator of the cost of living throughout the world.

Taking that into account, we can divide the GDP per capita by the BMI and end up with the Prosperity Index - a measure of the buying power (essentially relative effective income) per person.

Without further ado, here's the table for selected countries (significant political/development countries where I could find individual ratings for both GDP and the BMI):

Country        GDP        BMI   Prosperity
-------     ----------   -----  -----------
Japan       $34,188.00   $2.31  14800.00000
USA         $44,190.00   $3.22  13723.60248
Australia   $36,553.00   $2.67  13690.26217
Canada      $38,951.00   $3.08  12646.42857
Norway      $72,306.00   $6.63  10905.88235
Denmark     $50,965.00   $4.84  10529.95868
Switzerland $51,771.00   $5.05  10251.68317
Britain     $39,213.00   $3.90  10054.61538
Sweden      $42,383.00   $4.59   9233.76906
EU          $29,476.00   $3.82   7716.23036
Iceland     $54,858.00   $7.44   7373.38709
South Korea $18,392.00   $3.08   5971.42857
Russia       $6,856.00   $1.85   3705.94594
Malaysia     $5,718.00   $1.57   3642.03821
Chile        $8,864.00   $3.07   2887.29641
China        $2,001.00   $1.41   1419.14893

Of interest is that Japan leads the way; the Yen is really quite strong, and the GDP is quite healthy.

The US comes in at number 2, probably not a shock to many.

What will be shocking is that the EU and European countries in general fall so far.  Well down the list, well past Canada and Australia.  For example, Norway - mighty in the GDP ratings - tumbles to nearly 21% below the US, and 14% below Canada.  So that high GDP really doesn't bring a lot of economic purchasing power; it simply takes more money to live in Norway.

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The myth of Anthropogenic Global Warming

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago or How I learned to stop worrying and understand it's the big Mr. Fusion in the sky.

The current "consensus" is that climate change - what used to be known as Global Warming, until it was found that the globe, in fact, was not warming - is a result of man. Our use of fossil fuels is the problem. Our use of electricity via hydro/wind/solar is the problem. Our mere existence is the problem. As Dave Forman, founder of Earth First! states: Phasing out the human race will solve every problem on earth, social and environmental. Or, a Pogo put it, we have met the enemy and he is us .

So I got to thinking. I took a stroll outside one day, and as I leaned back in the grass, a bright idea popped into my head. Maybe the Sun, that Mr. Fusion in the sky, is really the source of the problem?

So I went looking, and lo and behold found out this little nugget: the Sun's output has increased by 0.05% per decade since the late 1970s.

Now, that may not sound like a lot; in fact, a 0.05% change is downright tiny! But being the engineer that I am, and having some free time with my ancient-but-functional HP28S calculator, I started to figure out some numbers (follow along with the RPN calculations).

For starters, how much output does the Sun really give to the Earth? Well, apparently the Sun puts out about 1400W per square meter here on this ball we call home. Meaning an increase of 0.05% per decade amounts to (1400 0.05 100 / *) 0.7W per square meter additional over that decade. Not much, eh?

Well, let's see what that is when spread over the entire Earth. How big is that? Well, the surface are of the Earth is about 510 million square kilometers. But of course we DO have night, so that at any time half of that is radiated by the sun. Meaning we have (510 2 /) 255 million square kilometers of surface that's irradiated by the Sun. Oh, and there are 1 million square meters per square kilometer (a kilometer being 1000 meters, a square kilometer is 1000 meters long by 1000 meters wide - (1000 1000 *).

So, we have 1 million square meters per square kilometer. And we have 0.7W more output per decade per square meter. Meaning we have (0.7 1000 1000 * *) 700 kW more output per square kilometer per decade. Note that this is about the same as 700 US households. Or to use a more interesting reference, about 35 Goreholds.

Now, take that 0.7 MW of power increase per square kilometer, and multiply it by the 255 million square kilometers illuminated by the sun. We end up with (0.7 1000000 255 1000000 * * *) about 1.8 million Mega Watts of additional power; this is actually 1.8 Tera Watts of power, a rather rarely used prefix for a REALLY BIG NUMBER. For those in the Pacific Northwest, this is about 285 Grand Coulee Dams (with the dam doing 6300 MW peak output). That's a LOT of extra power.

And of course, that increase has happened for the last three decades, meaning that what we're receiving now is about 5.4 Tera Watts more power than we received in the late 1970s. Suddenly that little 0.05% change doesn't seem so innocuous, does it?

But how does that shape up compared to what the Evil Homo sapiens do? Surely we're a LOT worse! I mean, 5.4 TW is a lot of power, so how do we rate? Well, apparently not as good... Even with 6 billion of us doing our thing, we only consumed an average of 1.7 TW of power in 2001, meaning we're about 30% of what the Sun puts out. Oh, and that's TOTAL ELECTRICAL USAGE of the WORLD.

So apparently the Sun's small increase just over the last three decades has more than TRIPLED the total power delivered to the Earth than the evil Mankind uses. And note that there was considerable electrical usage prior to 1975 as well, so our actual increase since 1975 is a LOT less than what the Sun's done.

So leaning back on the grass as the warm rays of the Mr. Fusion in the sky fell on my pasty white skin (I am an engineer, after all), it became pretty clear to me. I guess we can argue about the CO2 belching cars or volcanoes or the number of termite farts, be my guest, but me? I think I'll just sit here and enjoy the extra output from the Sun right now and feel a little bit more at ease knowing that, barring some evil billionaire's attempts to block out the sun, it's that Mr. Fusion up there, and there's not much we can do about it.

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Thoughts on the Middle East conflict

LynnwoodRooster LynnwoodRooster writes  |  more than 7 years ago The current "conventional wisdom" is that the whole Middle East issue is the fault of the US. We created it, we're the source of the Arab/Israeli conflict, we're the creator of Al Qaeda, we're the fountainhead of all ills in that troubled region. Any action on our part can do nothing but further foment hatred toward the US.

In essence, we're damned if we do, we're damned if we don't.

We're hated for not continuing support of the Afghanistan government after the threat of the USSR went away, letting a civil war erupt.

We're hated because we're still in Iraq at the behest of their government to try to avoid a civil war.

We're hated for letting Saddam invade Kuwait and threaten Saudi Arabia.

We're hated for staying in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait after the first Gulf War to protect from Saddam repeating his invasion of Kuwait.

We're hated for having an official policy of regime change in Iraq.

We're hated for not helping the locals change the regime in Iraq.

We're hated for finally executing regime change in Iraq.

Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Seems to me that no matter what we do we're hated. That's the central thread we're dealing with - irrational hatred of anything "Western" or "non-Arabic Muslim". And when we abide by the customs of their country - women covered up, no alcohol, stop work 5 times a day, no images of people, even leaving Bibles at home - we're still hated as infidels and invaders.

As far as the whole Israel/Palestine conflict goes, why isn't the hatred directed at the UN? They set up Israel, and didn't follow through on setting up an Arab state of Palestine. Israel would NOT EVEN EXIST if it wasn't for the UN's resolutions. So why not direct their hatred at the UN, rather than Israel, or the US?

For example, when Ehud Barak offered as a STARTING POINT a full 95% of what the Palestinian appologists demanded, the PLO, Hamas, and most Arab states STILL REFUSED to even ACKNOWLEDGE the existence of Israel. One side is talking about leaving most of the disputed territories immediately, and complete withdrawals over a short time, going back to the pre-1967 borders, and the other side doesn't even acknowledge the existence of the first.

I think the wishful thinking that "if the US would just leave the Middle East all would be good!" is seriously flawed. We're hated for interfering by protecting mulsims in Bosnia and Somalia, and hated for not protecting muslims in Iraq or Kuwait.

Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Essentially, we're hated for not what we've done, but for what we are - we're not muslim. We have different values and a different culture. We have tolerance. We allow individual freedoms. We believe ALL men AND women - of every race and creed - are created equal. We represent what they despise. It's not our actions, it's our very NATURE that is the source of their hatred. The very freedoms that we take for granted - and are used every day by those protesting the US' current involvement in the Middle East - are the source of the hatred against the US.

Here we have parades celebrating the gay lifestyle. They stone not just gays, but if you're even raped by a gay man you're sentenced to that grisly death.

We allow people to live together ourside of marriage. They will stone a woman for simply talking to a man.

We have women heading up some of our largest corporations, leading countries. They forbid women from even opening a book.

We encourage families to share their values and go to church together - they force families apart, even in worship.

We allow you to choose your own path to spiritual enlightenment, even if that means no path. They will behead you if you do not submit to every written word of Mohammed.

We will let you make a movie criticizing religions, governments, companies, cultural values, even the legal system. They will kill you for simply drawing an image of Mohammed.

We protect and honor religious and cultural shrines, artwork, and buildings because of the history and knowledge they provide. They blow up anything from a different culture or religion.

We allow political dissent, free speech, and provide the right to a trial by a jury of your peers. They summarily execute any who speak against the leadership, and your right to trial is a right to have a cleric decide whether you're shot, hung, or stoned.

In light of this we might as well just do what the heck we want strictly for our own interests, because whatever we do it's obviously not going to change the radical Arab-muslim's view of the US.

Because we're damned if we do, and we're damned if we don't.

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