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Michael Mann: Swiftboating Comes To Science

MacDork Re:Predictions have been pretty good, actually (786 comments)

So, you've basically said that anything that relies on observations of nature is not a science.

What I'm saying is very simple. Science is the application of the scientific method. The scientific method is very well defined. Forming a hypothesis and then claiming your statistical model predicts what your hypothesis says is not an application of the scientific method. That misses several key steps.

Feel free to react with further hostility, logical fallacies, and sticking words in my mouth if you like.

about two weeks ago
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Michael Mann: Swiftboating Comes To Science

MacDork Re:Stop trying to win this politically (786 comments)

You are talking about one small vein of climate science -- and creating and testing models is actually science.

Nope. It is statistics. Science involves experimentation with a control group. Building statistical models is not science.

about three weeks ago
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Michael Mann: Swiftboating Comes To Science

MacDork Re:Predictions have been pretty good, actually (786 comments)

Comparing it to the data, from 1967 on... looks like the experimental result matches the prediction.

Nice, an experiment. So if you could just show me where your control group is. You know, the control group that had no increase in CO2 and no increase in warming? Because, if you don't have one, how do I know some other factor didn't cause the warming you observed?

That's not science at all. That's little more than a statistical model. These guys believe they have their answer and are trying to fit all observations to it.

That's a description of deniers. That's not the way climate science is done.

The reason we believe that the model is more or less accurate is that there are terabytes of data confirming it. The reason we don't believe that alternative models are accurate is that there aren't any.

This is exactly what I pointing out. You feed data into a statistical model and call it science. You haven't conducted an experiment with a control group. You have no scientific proof. You have nothing but a statistical correlation.

about three weeks ago
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Michael Mann: Swiftboating Comes To Science

MacDork Re:Stop trying to win this politically (786 comments)

She missed the "reasoned hypothesis" step.

And you missed the scientific experiment step. Your assertion that (hypothesis + prediction + observation = science) is wrong.

about three weeks ago
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Michael Mann: Swiftboating Comes To Science

MacDork Re:Stop trying to win this politically (786 comments)

Feed in past climate data and see if your climate model can predict the past or the present accurately.

While I agree with most of your post, what you describe here is not science. That approach turns science on its head. The scientific method begins with a reasoned hypothesis, followed by a prediction based on the hypothesis, and an experiment to prove or disprove this prediction. Climate "science" on the other hand does exactly what you describe here. It looks at past data and attempts to fit it to a hypothesis. That's not science at all. That's little more than a statistical model. These guys believe they have their answer and are trying to fit all observations to it.

The most non-science part of Climate "science" is the regular refrain that "There's a consensus, therefore, anthropogenic global warming is proven." If anyone so much as expresses doubt about this form of proof, that person is attacked. I believe this sums up my opinion of that succinctly.

about three weeks ago
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Porn Companies Are Going After GitHub

MacDork Re:any repercussions? (165 comments)

nobody is removing projects or any IP from Github

In this specific instance perhaps, but I wouldn't say nobody. Remember Popcorn Time?

about three weeks ago
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Bill Would Ban Paid Prioritization By ISPs

MacDork Re:This is what's wrong... (216 comments)

I don't think it's realistic at this point to expect much change from the government. Unarmed black men die by cop in the streets and that's all part of the plan it seems. Even the black president appears to do nothing but pay lip service to the problem. Internet freedom seems downright secondary when unarmed kids are being shot by cops regularly.

To the point, I think what we are witnessing is the end of what we currently understand as the internet. Net neutrality wouldn't be an issue if it weren't for the ISP monopolies in the first place. NSA spying and weakening encryption standards leaving the whole system backdoored. DMCA is the icing on the cake, destroying free speech one github repo at a time.

I fully expect wireless mesh networks to be the next generation of internet. People will laugh about the days when we were so stupid to trust Facebook servers with so much as a password. They will of course, use something similar to SSH, where the client holds the key and the password. The idea that one company could have stood as a gatekeeper between you and your pizza order from the shop on the corner will seem like pure stupidity.

It is stupidity. There's absolutely no reason those pizza order packets need to travel thousands of miles from my handset, up to a cloud server, where it's intercepted and inspected by the NSA before it is passed down another wire belonging to another ISP who's going to charge a fee or slow the order down, just to reach a pizza shop a mile or two down the road. (assuming that pizza shop didn't get an illegitimate DMCA takedown over a photo of a cheese pizza). It is simply ridiculous when every square mile of modern civilization is saturated with wireless radios. I'm sitting in range of 16 wifi access points right now. Everyone I know carries a phone with not only wifi, but bluetooth, and LTE too.

This is dumb. And when enough of us developers step back, and think, and see how very dumb it is... we will create a new solution. The dim witted management in the form of government will proceed to try to screw up our new internet as best they can, until they succeed and we start the process all over again.

about three weeks ago
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Last Three Years the Quietest For Tornadoes Ever

MacDork Re:And where are all the hurricanes? (187 comments)

I don't recall anybody ever predicting "the coasts scoured down to bedrock by hurricanes, the interior a hell of violent weather".

You must be new here :)

about a month and a half ago
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Canadian Police Recommend Ending Anonymity On the Internet

MacDork Re:ROFL (231 comments)

Re: RCMP.

What anonymity?

-- NSA

about 3 months ago
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UN Climate Change Panel: It's Happening, and It's Almost Entirely Man's Fault

MacDork Re: Obviously. (695 comments)

In reality, most of the heat goes in the oceans

I think you missed a memo. While it may be that most of the heat does go into the oceans, not enough of it has been going in there to explain the recent global warming 'pause' that climatologists are unable to explain.

about 3 months ago
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Will HP's $200 Stream 11 Make People Forget About Chromebooks?

MacDork Re:Yo Mama (232 comments)

lol. Says the moron who couldn't figure out Acrobat runs on neither ChromeOS or Linux.

You go ahead and take several screenshots of partial pages and then go into an image editor to stitch them together though. Hey, maybe you can even break out your iPhone and take pictures of your screen. That'll be even better, because you'll add an extra step or two between you and a final product.

I'll just print them, thanks.

about 3 months ago
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Will HP's $200 Stream 11 Make People Forget About Chromebooks?

MacDork Re:Yo Mama (232 comments)

Screenshot what? A blank form? You can't even fill the form on a Chromebook because it requires Acrobat Reader.

about 3 months ago
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Will HP's $200 Stream 11 Make People Forget About Chromebooks?

MacDork Re:Yo Mama (232 comments)

Many states have locked PDF forms that can only be filled with Adobe Acrobat. The PDF can't even be saved once filled, so an electronic backup is out. The only backup available is a printed one. You're not going to be able to fill and print them on a Chromebook, even with Linux.

Sorry. I don't trust other people with my tax returns.

about 3 months ago
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Will HP's $200 Stream 11 Make People Forget About Chromebooks?

MacDork Yo Mama (232 comments)

Is computer illiterate? Buy her or pops a Chromebook and they can't do their taxes on it.

Anyway, computer illiterate parents are not the market where Chromebooks are selling. Most are landing in the hands of computer illiterate children via schools looking for a "cheap laptop." Schools love them. They are inexpensive and low maintenance. You don't need IT with Chromebooks and that's exactly what schools want to hear. Too bad the kids can't really use Chromebooks to learn anything about computers.

20 years ago, Microsoft sold US education policy makers on the concept that "learning computers" meant learning the MS Office suite. That has produced a generation which is completely deficient in general computer knowledge. Tech giants are now flailing around trying to encourage kids to code now, because of the rarity of truly educated computer users.

Chromebooks will be the final nail in the coffin for US tech labor. "Computer people" in the US will be even more rare. Doing anything beyond web browsing and email is difficult on a Chromebook. I've used one as a daily driver for more than a year now. My C720 is my only laptop. I've installed Chrubuntu and chroots using Crouton. I've done Android development on it. You might think that would serve as proof that kids *can* use them to learn, but it is not the case.

My productivity has easily been a quarter of what it was on a 'real' laptop. I rarely do anything in linux on it, because every time I boot it up, I have a chrome window with my top 8 websites staring at me. Oh, hey, let me check the news on (HN | CNN | Slashdot | etc) really quick before I start work. 3 hours later, I'm bored with laughing at stupid pictures on imgur and wondering what it was I had planned to work on today. Even when you do want to work, the hardware is cheap, so everything takes just a little longer. Let me switch back to chrome and check email really quick while this thing compiles... Okay, that was funny cat picture... well, will you look at the time! I guess I will work some tomorrow instead.

And then there's the problem with Chrome's habit of autoupdating itself. Every auto update has the potential to hose your chroot environment. Meaning, oops, that autoupdate just blew your afternoon. Time to spend several hours reinstalling ubuntu and all the developer tools that took ages to set up properly.

In short, I wouldn't recommend a Chromebook as a real computer any more than I'd recommend an iPad. It is not a producer device. It's designed to allow passive consumption of whatever garbage lies on the web. I'll be getting myself a new 'real' laptop for xmas.

about 3 months ago
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UN Climate Change Panel: It's Happening, and It's Almost Entirely Man's Fault

MacDork Re:Obviously. (695 comments)

1. Climate change is mostly man-made;

AC claims climate barely changed before man evolved. Who is woowoo anti-science again?

about 3 months ago
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ISPs Violating Net Neutrality To Block Encryption

MacDork Re: Voting for the right people (149 comments)

To which such people are you referring as voting for?

He didn't bring up republicans. You did. He merely indicated he didn't vote for Obama. As far as anyone knows, when he voted for "the right people" he voted for himself.

I'm seriously sick of you fuckers with your D/R myopia.

about 3 months ago
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Google Rejects 58% of "Right To Be Forgotten" Requests

MacDork Re:Google crawls and indexes the public Internet (144 comments)

Your examples are flawed. There isn't a database with a complete record of all license plate movements.

LOL. I stopped reading here. You are so naive. There are multiple different databases with a complete record of all license plate movements.

about 4 months ago
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Pentagon Unveils Plan For Military's Response To Climate Change

MacDork Re:Systems perpetuate themselves (228 comments)

Because it's already too late. Even if we stopped CO2 production entirely, today, all of this stuff would still happen.

Got any proof of that? Last I checked, there were metric fucktons of CO2 disappearing into unknown sinks. If "the real climate scientists" can't even tell us where all the CO2 is going, how do you know it's too late for remediation efforts?

about 4 months ago
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Silk Road Lawyers Poke Holes In FBI's Story

MacDork Perjury (191 comments)

So does this mean they go to jail for perjury?

about 4 months ago

Submissions

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NSA does not deny spying on Congress

MacDork MacDork writes  |  1 year,25 days

MacDork (560499) writes "In a statement released in response to Sen Bernie Sanders the NSA did not deny spying on Congress. It would appear that the Obama administration has been peeking at the playbook of the opposing party. Or does the NSA expect us to believe that members of Congress are targeted for investigation into terrorism? This comes just days after Snowden documents revealed the NSA is automatically deploying exploits and malware against visitors to blacklisted websites. Such terrorist havens include websites like yahoo.com and cnn.com."
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NSA does not deny spying on Congress

MacDork MacDork writes  |  1 year,25 days

MacDork (560499) writes "In a statement released in response to Sen Bernie Sanders the NSA did not deny spying on Congress. It would appear that the Obama administration has been peeking at the playbook of the opposing party. Or does the NSA expect us to believe that members of Congress are targeted for investigation into terrorism? This comes just days after Snowden documents revealed the NSA is automatically deploying exploits and malware against visitors to blacklisted websites. Such terrorist havens include websites like yahoo.com and cnn.com."
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Passive spying? NSA launching automated malware attacks.

MacDork MacDork writes  |  1 year,29 days

MacDork (560499) writes "Jacob Applebaum detailed the latest revelations on the NSA at 30c3 wherein he describes software to launch automated malware attacks "designed for at scale explotation" which is being used for "fishing expeditions, it's more like fishing crusades ... targeting Muslims." He describes NSA drones being used to wirelessly compromise wifi routers from a distance of 8 miles. Also mentioned, the NSA is shipping compromised American hardware ordered online including iPhones, Dell PowerEdge servers, HP servers, Solaris servers, and more. He wraps up the talk mentioning "a specialized technology for beaming energy into you and the computer systems around you" to compromise systems. Up to 1KW of energy specifically. It's clear from his presentation that what the NSA is doing is not just passive collection. It is not the digital equivalent of a wiretap. It is the digital equivalent of a drone firing a hellfire missle on you. The NSA has militarized the internet."
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Iron Maiden makes millons playing for pirates

MacDork MacDork writes  |  about a year ago

MacDork (560499) writes "A band finds pirates downloading their work for free on BitTorrent. How do you expect them to react? If you're Iron Maiden, you go to where the pirates are and have a concert. The result? Massive sellouts. The São Paolo show alone grossed $2.5 million. The concerts also attracted millions more fans."
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Prominent Environmentals Changes Opinion On Climate

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 2 years ago

MacDork (560499) writes "Dr James Lovelock, author of "The Revenge Of Gaia," no longer claims IPCC computer model predictions are inevitable. Once a man who preached runaway global warming, he has since tempered his opinions. He states in an interview, "There's no great certainty about what the future is going to be so legislation based on green pressure to say 'in 2050 the temperature will be so much' is not really very good science at all." This stands in stark contrast to radicals in government claiming climate change is a national security issue."
Link to Original Source
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1 million bank customer records? About $70

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago

MacDork (560499) writes "Man buys computer on eBay, finds 1 million bank customer records... hilarity ensues. Just reading the article, it doesn't even sound like the drive was formatted, much less zeroed or wiped in any fashion."
Link to Original Source
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Target.com pays $6M settlement to the blind

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago

MacDork (560499) writes ""Target Corp. has agreed to pay $6 million in damages to plaintiffs in California unable to use its online site as part of a class action settlement with the National Federation of the Blind, a leading advocacy group for blind people.

As part of the settlement, announced Wednesday, Target will place $6 million in an interest-bearing account from which members of the California settlement class can make claims. Furthermore, the settlement requires Target to implement internal guidelines to make its site more accessible to the blind by Feb. 28, 2009, with assistance from the NFB."

So... how are you building your websites? Will Silverlight displace Flash on accessibility concerns? How many other irrelevant, non-sequitur, or 'hot button' questions do you need to be goaded into replying? Our ad department wants to know! (^_^)"

Link to Original Source
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Comcast tech gets medieval on Halo 3 griefer

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago

MacDork (560499) writes "Think twice before griefing on Comcast. An outsourced vigilante tech might call your dad, who will come down to the basement, smack you around and smash your Xbox. Of course, the story contains a more ominous warning. The only security preventing outsourced techs from stealing your credit card number is ... Comcast policy."

Journals

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Lenovo notebooks to come with a kill switch

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago First the Apple iPhone, now Lenovo notebooks? TGDaily is reporting that Lenovo will be shipping notebooks will kill switches. Specifically, you will be able to kill a notebook remotely via a SMS text message. The capability will be built into the BIOS. Although I'm not sure how this stops a determined attacker with control of the hardware, I do see how this might cause issues with the US military. They seem to live in a continuously growing state of fear that a stealthy Chinese attack will remotely disable their military prowess. No word on how they feel about the Chinese funding the US military though...

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Charges filed against "how to make a baby fly" videographer

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago Last week, felony charges were filed against a 16 year old in Georgia for launching an 8 month old baby across a room with a pillow. He was arrested after video of the baby launch showed up on YouTube. The teen behind the camera has now been charged as well. A second video was discovered after the search of a PC turned up additional footage. He initially avoided arrest because investigators did not think he knew what his friend was planning to do. As a side note, the original and presumably legal video has been pulled from YouTube, while the copyright infringing news report is still available.

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DHS wants airline passengers to wear shock collar

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago The Washington Times is reporting that the DHS wants to replace your boarding pass with a GPS enabled shock bracelet. Plans for the device include subduing passengers remotely as well as onboard interrogation. There's even a promotional video.

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eBay'er arrested for attempting to sell his vote

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 6 years ago

The Associated Press reports that Max P. Sanders, 19 is charged with a felony for attempting to auction off his vote in the upcoming presidential election on eBay. From the article:

"Fundamentally, we believe it is wrong to sell your vote," said John Aiken, a spokesman for the office. "There are people that have died for this country for our right to vote, and to take something that lightly, to say, 'I can be bought.'" ... "It's a real shame"

Yes, that is a terrible shame, isn't it. Perhaps we should arrest, prosecute, and imprison everyone who sells their vote. The boy says it was all a joke, but prosecutors aren't laughing. Max faces up to 5 years in prison and $10,000 in fines if he is convicted.

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Sony rootkit settlement website is now open

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 8 years ago As of Wednesday Feb. 15, Sony's rootkit settlement website has gone live. The site has instructions for settlement filings by class members of the class action lawsuit taking place in New York state. The settlement [PDF] grants those who purchased one of the affected CDs a rootkit-free replacement CD and either a) $7.50 USD cash payment and a free DRM'ed CD download or b) three DRM'ed CD downloads. Customers who purchased MediaMax CD's will be entitled to one additional DRM'ed CD download.

If you are a member of the class and you feel that pocket change and a few crippled sound files are not adequate restitution for Sony's actions, the settlement website also has information on how to a) file an objection to the terms of the settlement and b) file for exclusion from the settlement so that you may pursue Sony in court yourself. The options are mutually exclusive, and your right to exercise either option expires on May 1, 2006. Doing nothing will not only get you nothing, but it also precludes you from bringing your own suit against Sony in the future. Sony has reserved the right to abandon the settlement if more than 1000 class members file for exclusion from the settlement.

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Courts accept Sony settlement

MacDork MacDork writes  |  about 9 years ago The court has approved Sony's proposed settlement in the class action lawsuit taking place in New York state. The settlement [PDF] grants those who purchased one of the affected CDs a rootkit-free replacement CD and either a) $7.50 USD cash payment and a free DRM'ed CD download or b) three DRM'ed CD downloads. Customers who purchased MediaMax CD's will be entitled to one additional DRM'ed CD. Sony has also reserved the right to back out of the settlement "if the number of timely and valid requests for exclusion from the Settlement Class exceeds 1,000." Although plenty of coverage has been given to security holes opened by the rootkit, it seems Sony is being let off scot-free for committing computer trespass. Since the MediaMax software installs itself even if the customer declines the EULA, it seems it would be rather difficult for Sony to claim in court that customers agreed to be spied on. A single instance of computer trespass is a Class E Felony in the state of New York. There are an estimated 20 Million CDs in circulation. "At least 568,200 nameservers have witnessed DNS queries related to the rootkit", and yet months later no one has launched a criminal investigation into what information Sony may have surreptitiously stolen from its victims. Additionally, it's well documented that Sony has committed copyright infringement by including GPL'ed software without adhering to the license. In the face of such grievous, numerous, and willful violations of US law, where are all the politicians who are tough on crime? Does such a massive breach of computer security pose national security risks to a country dependent on its high tech infrastructure? I wouldn't be surprised if more than a few people would like to file for exclusion until the persons responsible at Sony face criminal charges. For those interested, the EFF is providing instructions to members of the class who would like to file for exclusion from Sony's NY settlement. Those filing for exclusion might also want to contact NY Attorney General Eliot Spitzer and let him know exactly why your filing was made.

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Power to cost more than hardware?

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 9 years ago C/Net is reporting that Apple isn't the only company concerned about performance per watt. Google engineer Luiz Andre Barroso is quoted as saying "If performance per watt is to remain constant over the next few years, power costs could easily overtake hardware costs, possibly by a large margin." CMP (chip multiprocessing technology) is hailed as a stopgap rather than a panacea. According to Barroso, "Fundamental circuit and architectural innovations are still needed to address the longer-term trends."

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MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 9 years ago Sweet! I have my first two freaks. Users 926212 and 599415. Awesome! What earned me such hatred and derision? Why this post of course. Wow! I did it all without a swear word. So do I really care? Nope. Why document it? Reference material.

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Rejected again... War-Porn Webmaster Arrested

MacDork MacDork writes  |  more than 9 years ago Well, I'm tired of getting rejected, so I'll just start putting this stuff in the journal no one will ever read.... What happens when you mix war and porn online? According to the Detroit Free Press you get arrested. Christopher M. Wilson of Lakeland, FL was arrested on 300 obscenity related charges involving pornographic content on his website Friday. Polk County sheriff Grady Judd claimed the arrest had nothing to do with the pictures of war dead, though he confirmed that detectives met with the U.S. Army Criminal Investigation Division before making the arrest. Descriptions of the pornographic pictures, according to Judd, are so offensive that they are unfit to even describe for reporters. In the meantime, the site in question still appears to be up and soliciting funds for a legal defense on its BBS.

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