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Hollywood's Love of Analytics Couldn't Prevent Six Massive Blockbuster Flops

Oswald Re:The day human beings become rational ... (1029 comments)

I think your parent means thirty minutes since sitting down fifteen minutes before showtime. And I will add that every one of the half-dozen cinemas I have frequented since forever (in both Atlanta and Raleigh) has routinely showed a full 15 minutes of previews after the supposed start time. So having to wait 30 minutes after sit-down sounds about right to me.

And they are that loud. Count yourself lucky, wherever you are.

about 8 months ago
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Julian Assange Says Google's Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen Are "Witch Doctors"

Oswald Re:Book review (253 comments)

4-digit octal (who came up with that?)

People (okay, men) who had twelve bits to work with. It's a very old system, and flying computers were pretty rare at the time.

Anyway, I can see this conversation is going nowhere. You provided no evidence to support your position, you don't seem able to decide if you're claiming that the system is vulnerable to spoofing (super hard) or jamming (easy, until the cops show up), and telling me that "timing itself could be spoofed" doesn't give confidence that you have a working mental model of how the system operates. Thanks for playing.

about a year ago
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Julian Assange Says Google's Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen Are "Witch Doctors"

Oswald Re:Book review (253 comments)

There's a pretty good chance that I have more experience with the FAA than you do, and I think you're wrong about it being easy to deceive current radar-based systems. Airplanes transmit 'locally unique' 4-digit octal integers when interrogated by radar sites. Timing is critical to determining both range and direction. Sounds hard to spoof to me. Got any evidence otherwise?

about a year ago
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Password Protection Act: Bans Bosses Asking For Facebook Passwords

Oswald Re:10 Amendment (247 comments)

I suppose it's the catch-all "necessary and proper" thing. Honestly, you're not going to get anywhere with this argument--that ship has sailed. Congress does whatever it wants except when the executive decides just to ignore them or the courts decide to overturn them. One of the worst drawbacks to judicial review is that by relieving Congress of final responsibility for the constitutionality of laws, it promotes an attitude of "pass it, brag to the folks back home about it, and if the Court overturns it, we get to do it all over again."

about 2 years ago
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NY Times: 'FBI Foils Its Own Terrorist Plots'

Oswald Re:It's not Entrapment. (573 comments)

you'll end up with fewer people willing or able to buy the real stuff

True in a very general sense, but it misses why these stings waste time and money. To continue with your metaphor, these fakes--though of reasonable quality--are priced so low that only boobs would be taken in by them. So you're not taking legitimate buyers off the street; you're enticing idiots who were probably never going to be buyers of the genuine item into grasping for a "bargain".

about 2 years ago
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Fly-By-Wire Contributed To Air France 447 Disaster

Oswald Re:Attention, screeching children (319 comments)

To another responder who also felt I might be overlooking The Telegraph's bias, I said this. Perhaps you missed that, or perhaps you read it and considered it an insufficient admission of my own ignorance, but it's about all I can say on the subject. I'm actually quite a bit more qualified to comment on both the aviation aspects of the situation and the team dynamics involved than I have said. I omitted all that because I didn't want to muddy the waters with my own opinions when I was only making a plea for civilized, rational discourse. But the politics? I don't claim to know.

I do know that where there's a legitimate question, you can't just shout down the questioner because his motives are suspect.

about 2 years ago
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Fly-By-Wire Contributed To Air France 447 Disaster

Oswald Re:Attention, screeching children (319 comments)

I'm aware of the "special relationship." I don't see a lot of signs here of its influence, but who knows? It seems clear to me that some speculation about the role of the Airbus controls in this crash is warranted. That's all I was trying to say. Not that there are no politics involved, not that there's no room for disagreement about causes and blame--just that a crash occurred, there are multiple mechanical and human factors involved, and it's not helpful for people to just shout each other down. This is serious business.

about 2 years ago
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Fly-By-Wire Contributed To Air France 447 Disaster

Oswald Attention, screeching children (319 comments)

Red herring #1: This isn't news.
--Maybe not to some of us. But TFA is new, and in a more general publication than the sources many of you have cited.

Red herring #2: This is an American anti-Airbus hit piece.
--Probably not. The Telegraph is a UK publication, and the title seems deliberately designed NOT to call out Airbus. See #3...

Red herring #3: The title blames FBW, that is a separate issue from back-driven controls.
--Quite right. Perhaps the author wished to avoid seeming anti-Airbus; perhaps he just wasn't precise in his phrasing. You sure don't have to read far to find out the truth.

Red herring #4: This is bullshit. The pilots fucked up.
--Perhaps you're not familiar with the English phrase "contributed to." It doesn't mean the same as "caused." In any safety-critical occupation, a piece of equipment that obscures the actions of one of the team members impedes the type of cross-checking that was a major reason for using a team in the first place.

No system is perfect. People are perfectly free to say that they think this is a minor issue which will only come up in very rare circumstances, more than compensated for by merits of the side-stick. Others might argue that the risks outweigh the benefits. I am smart enough to know that I am not qualified to have an opinion on the issue.

I'm just tired of the hysteria here.

about 2 years ago
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Fly-By-Wire Contributed To Air France 447 Disaster

Oswald Re:Boooo Airbus.... USA! USA! (319 comments)

Are you under the impression that The Telegraph is an American publication?

about 2 years ago
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TSA Defends Pat Down of 4-Year-Old Girl

Oswald Re:Of course. (1174 comments)

This +5 Insightful communication operates at pretty much the same level as my dogs' communication when they see a stranger out the front window. The bad news: you're not as tough as you think you are. The good news: you're probably not as reckless and violent as you want to think you are, either.

Here's hoping it's all fantasy, and you don't actually have a daughter to expose to these kinds of "Insight".

about 2 years ago
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Scientists Clone Sheep With 'Good' Fat

Oswald Re:Genetically Modified Hogs next? (233 comments)

When chickens are raised on a diet or worms that grow in fresh cow dung, the consistency, flavor, and overall health of their eggs is substantially higher than what is generally available in the supermarket.

For some reason, the more you talk up animal products, the more I want to become a vegan.

about 2 years ago
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Is Middle Age Evolution's Crowning Achievement?

Oswald Re:How is that different from simply old age? (140 comments)

I would agree that any attempt to define middle age solely in terms of calendar age is bound to be arbitrary. But the summary hits the important distinctions with "resilient, healthy, energy-efficient and productive." At some point for each person (who lives long enough) the advantages of experience can't make for the physical decline, and we transition from "middle age" to "old age."

Of course these terms are pathetically vague, and we need better ones that say what we mean, but the distinction itself is real.

about 2 years ago
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IBM Creates 'Breathing' High-Density Lithium-Air Battery

Oswald Re:Gasoline-like energy density (582 comments)

See, I seldom drive a car when I'm asleep.

Lunesta script run out?

about 2 years ago
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Ellison Doesn't Know If Java Is Free

Oswald Re:Good answer (393 comments)

Warned by who?

Robert A. Heinlein.

about 2 years ago
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Snoozing Pilot Mistakes Venus For Aircraft; Panic, Injuries Ensue

Oswald Re:Shame they don't have cabin video (307 comments)

Yeah, but the composition is a bit off because the baby was holding the camera.

about 2 years ago
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Whistleblower In Limbo After Reporting H-1B Visa Fraud At Infosys

Oswald Re:Was he really naive enough to expect otherwise? (276 comments)

Jesus and Superman didn't fight the Romans and Lex Luther without expecting some backlash, you know.

Damn, I can't believe I missed that issue. I'll bet the story kicked ass. Who drew it?

about 2 years ago
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Mandatory Brake-Override Proposed For All Cars

Oswald Re:Just turn off the car? (911 comments)

First, your sig is funny. Second, I've always wondered how fast you had to be rolling to "push" start an automatic. Thanks for doing it to your car instead of mine. Third, I think you're wrong about how your car's steering wheel lock works. I know that in my cars, if I turn the wheel until it locks, I can unlock it by inserting the key and turning it to 'on'. But that's in Park. I've never tried it when the car was in gear. Are you really sure that makes any difference?

about 2 years ago
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Major Textbook Publishers Sue Open-Education Textbook Start-Up

Oswald Re:The crux of the matter (278 comments)

Seems like an honest question; I'll take a shot, giving my own interpretation of TFA:

In essence, the plaintiffs are saying that, due to the aforementioned creative, scholarly, and aesthetic judgments, their textbooks present a whole that is greater than the sum of its parts. Boundless is, in their view, reproducing (perhaps I should say "echoing") not just the freely available parts, but the copyrighted arrangement that represents (they claim) a significant part of the value of the books. Ergo, lawsuit.

about 2 years ago
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Disaster Strikes Norwegian Government Web Portal

Oswald Re:Remember how they file their taxes (176 comments)

The IRS does indeed re-calculate everything. Last year they added a form to my return I had forgotten to file (but realized I was going to have to re-file shortly after sending in my return) that saved me $1000. It's the second time the processing agent has been extremely decent about handling my return, and I honestly cannot corroborate any of the horror stories that people spread about the IRS.

more than 2 years ago

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