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Farmers Carry Multidrug-Resistant Staph For Weeks Into Local Communities

Truth_Quark Your favourite ID doctor and mine (122 comments)

Good, this indicates that doctors and people who think they should take antibiotics like vitamins haven't completely screwed up our natural immunities and that most of the world still fights off this infections even though drugs no longer work on them.

The problem with Staph Aureus is that it's omnipresent in the respiratory tract and skin. It seems to have spent a long time evolving with immune systems, because it has two lines of defense (producing catalase and carrotenoids) which neutralise two of the chemicals that white blood cells use to break down foriegn bodies (superoxide and singlet oxygen). Additionally the protein A in the cell wall confuses the shit out of white blood cells, making them difficult to detect.

Add that to producing some really nasty toxins, and that's why a Staph Aureus bacteremia, even MSSA has about a 30% kill rate, even if you're in a modern hospital.

So it would be nice to have some antibiotics to fall back on, at least in the case of golden staph.

Can we please get back to the point where we take antibiotics when we're in need of them, not just because we might have an infection or have a mild infection?

Your favourite ID doctor, and mine, posted about this today. He has a solution:

The solution? We do not want to make antibiotics more toxic to the patient, so I suggest that every time there is an order for Zosyn and vancomycin (or whatever your decerebrate choice is at your institution) the ordering physician receives a short, painful shock from the keyboard. If you really think the patient needs the antibiotics you will take the shock. That would likely solve a lot of issues with inappropriate antibiotic use and be simpler than a stewardship program.

Although in this case the problem is prophylactic antibiotics given to livestock.

3 days ago
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Extent of Antarctic Sea Ice Reaches Record Levels

Truth_Quark Re:Earth not warming for the past 14-22 years (617 comments)

I see that you've never heard of nuclear energy, concentration solar energy, wind turbines, geothermal energy, biomass energy, sugar cane ethanol, methane digesters, hydro power, or photo-voltaics.

And yet this got modded up twice as insightful.

The science denier is strong on slashdot.

4 days ago
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Extent of Antarctic Sea Ice Reaches Record Levels

Truth_Quark Re:Time for new terminology (617 comments)

The raw, unadjusted temperature records always have said 1937. It's the adjustments that are questionable, not the historical record.

This would be complete bullshit.

Unadjusted.
Adjusted.
The adjustments make a small difference, but over the last 50 years, that only accounts for about 0.01C of the 1.14C warming trend.

4 days ago
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Extent of Antarctic Sea Ice Reaches Record Levels

Truth_Quark Re:Time for new terminology (617 comments)

that's a funny claim to make when the fact is the hottest year in our very short records was 1998.

Nope. 2010

4 days ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark Re:I was promised (368 comments)

A comment on some blog is not a contract.

That's right.

And good luck making that stick, Microsoft's income is probably larger then your countries GNP.

than. FFS.

about two weeks ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark Re:I was promised "some sort of open source" (368 comments)

Apart from the ridiculous tone of your comment, you seem to be under the false impression that Microsoft made those promises and/or that you made your purchase from Microsoft. Neither of those is the case.

Nope, I'm not under that impression. I'm under the impression that if Microsoft acquires Mojang, they acquire their assets and obligations.

Also, you can lie to us about your "purchase decision" all you like, but purchase decisions don't even come in to fair trading laws.

If I was mislead before entering into a purchase agreement, that comes under multiple fair trading laws. One is the Australian Trade Practices Act (1974). Another is the New South Wales Fair Trading Act (1987).

Even if you made this stick (which is possible because you're clearly an expert consumer lawyer) there would be no "high punitive fines" because the loss of value from this relatively minor aspect of the game's potential future is about as close to zero as it's possible to get without underflowing a double.

The Fair Trading Commission has been very heavy handed in the past. The fines are not about loss of value to the consumer, but about making deceptive conduct uneconomic.

about two weeks ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark Re:I was promised "some sort of open source" (368 comments)

Besides, Microsoft could just open-source the version they bought, while denying you all the improvements they made later on. In a community that depends on user-generated content, the support for a 5 year old version will be virtually nil.

I'd be happy with that.

And I'm not sure they'd end up with the most popular fork. The Minecraft community is pretty big

about two weeks ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark Re:I was promised "some sort of open source" (368 comments)

If its not written into the license you received when you purchased the product, its all too easy to dismiss in court.

Australian law is pretty generous with finding "misleading conduct". The standard is if it would lead an ordinary member of the public to be influenced by it into error. The courts look at the likely audience and judge by the standards of persons who are not stupid, but are perhaps of less than average intelligence and background knowledge in that audience.

Also, it is sufficient that the conduct in question has the potential to mislead or to deceive. No intent to mislead or deceive is required.

about two weeks ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark Re:I was promised "some sort of open source" (368 comments)

The question is "could a reasonable person have believed him?", not "Is a reasonable person dumb as fuck"?

about two weeks ago
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Report: Microsoft To Buy Minecraft Studio For $2bn+

Truth_Quark I was promised "some sort of open source" (368 comments)

Oh, hard luck Microsoft, you've just run afoul of my country's fair trading act.

Part of my purchase decision was that Minecraft would be released open source or public domain.

You've just purchased some very high punitive fines.

Once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed, I will release the game source code as some kind of open source. I'm not very happy with the draconian nature of (L)GPL, nor do I believe the other licenses have much merit other than to boost the egos of the original authors, so I might just possibly release it all as public domain.

about two weeks ago
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Is There a Creativity Deficit In Science?

Truth_Quark Is there a science deficit in creativity? (203 comments)

... is the more salient question.

Hollywood has turned against scientists again, and the anti-science hacks of antivax and climate change denial and creationism/intelligent design and alt-med are getting more and more air time.

Uneducated intuition and magical thinking seem to be the respected characteristics in pop fiction, and well respected heroes like Sagan and David Attenborough have given way to more niche respected heroes like Hawkings, Cox and Tyson.

about two weeks ago
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Oregon Suing Oracle Over Obamacare Site, But Still Needs Oracle's Help

Truth_Quark Re:Mistake #1 (116 comments)

So in terms of simplicity to configure and also in terms of getting good performance you would recommend either MYSQL or Postgre?

about two weeks ago
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Oregon Suing Oracle Over Obamacare Site, But Still Needs Oracle's Help

Truth_Quark Re:Mistake #1 (116 comments)

What is the better choice?

about two weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

It's also been said that women are 5x more likely to report a rape than men, particularly if their attacker was female.

That's interesting. Do you have the study?

about three weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

Show me some statistics on un-reported rape.

This can be studied by survey.

It's a fact, men are brought up in this society to own the image of strength and reporting that they were raped goes against that, while women are raised to protect themselves at any cost; because of this, most women will report a rape whether it happened or not, most men won't, even if it did.

I'd be interested to read your statistics on this claim.

about three weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

First of all, that is based off of 4 year old data.

If you've got more recent data, please post it. Or if you've got evidence of a trend in these sorts of attacks please post that. Or any justification for this objection.

According to a 2010 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, nearly 1 in 5 women and 1 in 71 men in theed States have been raped. The actual number is likely higher, experts say, as incidents of sexual violence are severely underreported in the United States -- particularly among male victims.

Emphasis mine.

Certainly an important limitation of the data. Note that those stats are for rape, which according to CDC means does not include being forced to penetrate, but requires being penetrated. Females forcing sex on males, as being discussed in this thread occurs later in the piece under "being made to penetrate".

And, third, who said I was trusting that data?

No one, to my knowledge. Your claim was that the CDC data disagrees with me. It does not. It shows about 6 times as many male rapes of females as female forced penetration of males.

about three weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

The figures are further down:

For female rape victims, 98.1% reported only male perpetrators. Additionally, 92.5% of female victims of sexual violence other than rape reported only male perpetrators. For male victims, the sex of the perpetrator varied by the type of sexual violence experienced. The majority of male rape victims (93.3%) reported only male perpetrators. For three of the other forms of sexual violence, a majority of male victims reported only female perpetrators: being made to penetrate (79.2%), sexual coercion (83.6%), and unwanted sexual contact (53.1%).

So Females forcing males to penetrate them is 0.792*3.8% = 3.0% of the US population, Males raping females is 0.933* 18.3% = 17.1%, or 5.7 times as many.

about three weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

Yep.

* Across all types of violence, the majority of female victims reported that their perpetrators were male.

* Male rape victims and male victims of non-contact unwanted sexual experiences reported predominantly male perpetrators. Nearly half of stalking victimizations against males were also perpetrated by males. Perpetrators of other forms of violence against males were mostly female.

about three weeks ago
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New Nail Polish Alerts Wearers To Date Rape Drugs

Truth_Quark Re: The world we live in. (595 comments)

The CDC disagrees with you. If you'd like a source for that data, you'll have to ask Nephandus.

Why would you trust that data without a source, when its counter to biological plausibility, and common experience?

Here's a CDC data sheet.
Note that:
Nearly 1 in 5 (18.3%) women and 1 in 71 men (1.4%) reported experiencing rape at some time in their lives.

And

4.8% of men reported they were made to penetrate someone else at some time in their lives.

Since only the 4.8% can be women forcing sex on men, that's about 3.8 rapes of women by men for every forced penetration by a man. And I'd suspect a lot of the 4.8% would be forced penetration of another man.

about three weeks ago

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A Response to "Once More: Why "Climate Change" Alarmism Is Not Science"

Truth_Quark Truth_Quark writes  |  about two weeks ago

This is a Reply to "Once More: Why âoeClimate Changeâ Alarmism Is Not Science"

The scientific method is pretty simple: you suggest a hypothesis, calculate what facts in the real world must be true if the hypothesis is correct, and then check the hypothesis against reality. If the hypothesis implies false propositions of fact, it is wrong. Case closed.

It never actually works like that. This is from a school text-book on an idealized scientific method.

The claim that people throw out hypothesis because they don't explain all of reality is simply false. There is no Quantum theory of gravitation and no space-time theory of the strong force.

Do we abandon the theory of gravitation that we do have, and the quantum theory that we do have, "case closed"?

No, that would be stupid.

Climate alarmists stand the scientific method on its head.

...

When their theories, as expressed in climate models, conflict with reality, they conclude that something must be wrong with reality.

This is also wrong. Everyone knows that without improvements in resolution climate models won't reproduce all phenomena in the climate system. No one is concluding that observed phenomena are wrong. It is known that the models are imperfect.

What they do do is enlighten us on the cause of those phenomena that the models do reproduce, and to some extent allow us to understand some average consequences of changing climate.

The heat that their models hypothesize must be âoehidingâ deep in the oceans, or whatever.

Okay, the heat that is hypothesized is not from a GCM. This is from radiative transfer models. We use these to calculate what happens to the radiative energy incident on the top of the atmosphere. Those models are much more accurate. We do know that there is an energy imbalance by these models and our theory of optics.

And the temperature observations from Argo floats do confirm that the oceans are what has been warming faster than expected these last couple of decades.

This isnâ(TM)t science: it is a combination of politics and religion. A proposition that cannot be falsified by experience is not a scientific proposition.

Current observations appear to match established theory, that's not "cannot be falsified", that's confirmation.

That doesn't mean you shouldn't try to falsify if you want, but you need a competing theory that does a better job.

The Science and Environmental Policy Project does a good job of explaining this fundamental point in its Climate Fears and Finance:

This is very ironic when juxtaposed with "This isnâ(TM)t science: it is a combination of politics and religion." SEPP is an advocacy group.

We can see below the direct comparison between 102 model runs and observations.

The mid troposphere is one of the regions that current climate models do not well reproduce. This and the double intertropical convergence zone problem probably need high resolution models to unwrap.

The models on which climate alarmists rely are simply wrong.

No, they're merely inaccurate, particularly on mid troposphere temperatures. (And Southern Hemisphere Tropical rainfall).

Do we conclude that therefore the world isn't warming, because CO2 is no longer a greenhouse gas?

No, that would be stupid.

Do we conclude that although the world is warming, assuming no feedback would be a better estimate of ECS than the feedback from climate models?

No, the climate models cover a lot of phenomena, and so their estimate would still be better, despite their imperfection.

(And there are independent estimates of climate sensitivity from paleoclimate reconstructions, and from neural nets, and from observations of the consequences on temperature subsequent to volcanic forcing, that put the climate sensitivity in the ball park of models)

Much like the theory of gravitation, we are not going to throw out a useful theory, when there is no better one, merely because it doesn't work in one circumstance. The idea is to try to advance our knowledge of the climate, because this should affect policy. Abandoning policy because the science is too hard is antithetical to scientific, technological and sociological progress.

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Infilling of the HadCRU temperature data.

Truth_Quark Truth_Quark writes  |  about 10 months ago

Researchers (with an interest in climate science communication) have produced a temperature data set that includes the sophisticated (compared to NASA) sea surface temperatures, but with estimated global coverage (As NASA does, but HadCRU doesn't).

The result is a greater warming since 1997 than has been previously estimated.

Global warming since 1997 more than twice as fast as previously estimated, new study shows

The paper is titled "Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends". (Abstract only)

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World one century from being the hottest in 3M years - NASA

Truth_Quark Truth_Quark writes  |  more than 7 years ago http://news.mongabay.com/2006/0925-nasa.html

With the globe warming at a rate of 0.2C per decade over the past 30 years, and with current temperatures within 1C of being the higest since the middle Pliocene, when sea level was estimated to have been about 25 meters higher than today.

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