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A Flu Pandemic?

alpha1125 Yes twice as deadly... but... perspective (830 comments)

Before people jump on my back saying I'm an evil heartless person... I'm just putting things in to perspective. I don't want a pandemic to break out, but I'm just looking at this with an objective eye.

I'm assuming that 'twice as deadly', as meaning killing twice the number of people.

Yes, the new flu virus may will kill twice as many people as the 1918 pandemic did, however our population has more than tripled since the beginning of last century.

Lets say that the numbers are true. 40 million people died in the 1918, with a world population of, say, 2 billion people. This would mean that there was a 2% death rate.

Now, say in 2005, 80 million people die, with a world population of say 6.45 billion. The death rate would be 1.2% of the total world population.

That's 0.8% lower, than it was in the past. Actual numbers will most likely be less, with better technology, better sanitation in many parts of the world, and an understanding of genetics.

The numbers are here to scare people, and sell headlines.

more than 8 years ago

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