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Debian Talks About Systemd Once Again

blue9steel Re:Remove It (510 comments)

Wait, what? I don't have to write a text parser there are tons of well known tools already in existence. Binary != Improvement

2 days ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:I'm confused, shortage or glut (283 comments)

Again, you're assuming that the worldwide supply of STEM workers is elastic (i.e., high salaries generate more STEM workers)

It is somewhat elastic, see the 1990s for an example of more people coming into the STEM field due to wages. I'm also saying that we currently graduate more STEM workers than the field can absorb.

and that the demand for STEM workers is inelastic (i.e., fewer STEM workers means significantly higher salaries).

It's somewhat inelastic. Many companies have business models that rely on creating new products. Apple isn't going to stop making new iPhones just because engineers get a bit more expensive.

5 days ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:I'm confused, shortage or glut (283 comments)

You're incorrectly assuming that the demand for toilet paper is inelastic.

It's certainly not 100% inelastic, but then few things are. Still, people have a strong preference for it over the alternatives. Yes, obviously people won't pay $1000 a roll, but the price would never get that high in the first place. In order to explore what would happen we'd have to specify more details about why the price was rising. For example, if trees used for paper production became more expensive then alternative base materials might be employed.

Again, same wrong assumption. The demand for STEM workers is elastic; people who would make money by employing STEM graduates have many other ways of making money and they switch to those.

Sure, but the demand for the things produced with STEM workers doesn't go away. It's not like people are going to stop wanting better televisions for example. Yes, if people refuse to pay sufficient prices for televisions to allow the manufacturer to make a profit then they won't make them but what would happen instead is you'd get either lower quality televisions, or the quantity of total televisions would be reduced while the target customer would be higher market.

In many cases, a shortage of something doesn't cause prices to rise, it causes people to substitute.

Yes, that's a valid point and to the extent possible STEM workers are being replaced by automation & process improvements that makes the existing workers more productive. Still, we're hardly to the point yet where STEM workers can be completely replaced.

Here you are also assuming that the supply of STEM graduates is elastic.

Yes, there is a limit of how many STEM workers we could possibly have, but currently we're no where near the limit.

about a week ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:I'm confused, shortage or glut (283 comments)

If toilet paper was $1000 a roll, investors would open toilet paper factories in massive numbers, supplies would increase and costs would come down. That's how economics works.

If there were a shortage of STEM workers pay would increase, massive numbers of people would see the big paychecks and enroll in STEM courses, the new graduates would increase the supply and wages would come back down, that's the market at work.

about a week ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:You're mistaking "we" in "we need." (283 comments)

Makes no money for the propertied class? Look at the standard of living now and in the past.

For the rich it actually hasn't improved that much. Travel is faster and medical care is better but otherwise I'm hard pressed to come up with many things that are better for the wealthy than they were in the past. Average living standards have improved enormously, but that's a different subject.

about two weeks ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:There's a shortage & glut at the same time (283 comments)

Either shorten it to TEM or mention that there are many jobs under the STEM categories, but S-cience is experiencing total glut.

You can drop the math, they have a glut as well. Oh and many fields of engineering are pretty full. Technology is not as bad though it skews heavily towards the most talented end of the work force. So really it's "Hey we need some more of the brightest in technology and a few specialized forms of engineering but if you're not in the top 10% and pick the right field then don't bother".

about two weeks ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:How perverse (283 comments)

Yes, money is limited: if we were to devote more of our economy to scientific progress then less of our economy would be available to make designer handbags for rich people. But given the choice between having our grandchildren grow up in a world where they no longer have to fear dying slowly and painfully before their time from cancer - or rich people in the present having a few extra designer handbags - do we really prefer that the rich people have their designer handbags?

It does seem strange doesn't it? As it turns out central planning, which is what you're suggesting, has built in inefficiencies that often are worse than the proposed benefit, even in the case of redirecting funds from seemingly frivolous uses to what seem like better purposes. I'm not saying that increasing government funded science is bad per se, but you have to be really careful about how you set it up or you can actually make things overall worse instead of better.

about two weeks ago
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Glut of Postdoc Researchers Stirs Quiet Crisis In Science

blue9steel Re:I'm confused, shortage or glut (283 comments)

Actually it is how economics works. If they can't hire someone and make a bigger return then their pay then there isn't a shortage is there? If you want to look at what a shortage looks like check out the hiring environment for tech workers in the 1990s, and yes salaries were increasing sharply.

about two weeks ago
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NASA Study: Ocean Abyss Has Not Warmed

blue9steel Re:we get it (294 comments)

Ok, if that's your argument then I want a reasonably accurate cost benefit analysis.

about two weeks ago
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One In Three Jobs Will Be Taken By Software Or Robots By 2025, Says Gartner

blue9steel Re:Mega Rant (405 comments)

Let's just hope that happens before the creation of robotic security forces.

about two weeks ago
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One In Three Jobs Will Be Taken By Software Or Robots By 2025, Says Gartner

blue9steel Re:Mega Rant (405 comments)

THE HUMAN DEMAND IS INFINITE.

Perhaps but you're forgetting about the diminishing marginal utility of wealth. Yes, it's true humans have unlimited wants, but since fulfilling those wants results in less and less additional happiness the actual effects are non-linear.

about two weeks ago
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One In Three Jobs Will Be Taken By Software Or Robots By 2025, Says Gartner

blue9steel Re:Optimistic (405 comments)

Sure, but what if they replaced the most repetitive third of your job and used those gains to reduce headcount? Don't assume they have to have a 100% robotic worker replacement in order for this problem to occur.

about two weeks ago
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One In Three Jobs Will Be Taken By Software Or Robots By 2025, Says Gartner

blue9steel Re:Article not titled correctly. (405 comments)

There are three main sectors to the economy: Resources, Manufacturing, Service. When we automated resources people moved to manufacturing. When we automated manufacturing people moved to service. When we automate service there isn't really anywhere for them to go. The first signs of this happening would be stagnant wage growth amidst a growing economy and a declining labor force participation rate, which coincidentally is exactly what's going on right now.

about two weeks ago
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Former Department of Defense Chief Expects "30 Year War"

blue9steel Re:You Forgot One (424 comments)

You can't kill them all.

Sure we could, it would be pretty straightforward to use a combination of Nuclear weapons and Chemical agents to depopulate the entire area and then follow up with drones to catch any remnants. It wouldn't be ethical and we wouldn't do something like that, but don't mistake won't for can't.

about two weeks ago
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Why the FCC Will Probably Ignore the Public On Network Neutrality

blue9steel Re:Fortunately... (336 comments)

In the USA, if you are moderately ambitious and/or moderately intelligent then you can be moderately successful. So basically, it's not worth rocking the boat because you're doing "ok". Polititians aren't stupid. They know that as long as they mostly appease the people with ambition or intelligence then those people aren't likely to start a rebellion because the risk/reward ratio is not in their favor.

Congratulations, you've rediscovered the basics behind any stable society. Co-opting potential revolutionaries into being members of the system is a key feature of all successful civilizations. Locking these people out is generally the first prelude to anarchy, unrest and civil war, which by the way we seem to be working on right now.

about two weeks ago
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Is It Time To Throw Out the College Application System?

blue9steel Re:Not just college applications (389 comments)

I know, could we at least get a standardized form for all of the non-company specific information?

about two weeks ago
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After Dallas Ebola Diagnosis, CDC Raises Estimate of Patient's Possible Contacts

blue9steel Re:Kinda torn on this one (258 comments)

Flights into the hot zone are fine, it's the flights out that are worrisome. The number one rule with nasty infectious diseases is to maintain quarantine.

about two weeks ago
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After Dallas Ebola Diagnosis, CDC Raises Estimate of Patient's Possible Contacts

blue9steel Re:Influenza is a serious risk (258 comments)

You're talking the virus evolving (mutating) into a new variant. This is Texas, evolution doesn't happen there.

That's ok, they can just call it intelligent design and claim it's God's wrath upon the wicked.

about two weeks ago
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Obama Administration Argues For Backdoors In Personal Electronics

blue9steel Re:now aren't you glad, Obama voters?? (575 comments)

A national initiative petition and a national recall would both be welcome additions to our current system. Oh and term limits for house and senate would be nice. While we're at it lets switch to a ranked voting system so that third party candidates actually have a chance.

about three weeks ago

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