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Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates

burbilog Re:The issue was raised before. (654 comments)

crop yields don't increase with more information at hand

Nonsense. Crops yield more when agricultural information is applied. Crops yield much, much more when genetics information is applied...

Travel times aren't reduced since several decades, and where they are indeed reduced, it's far away from what happened in the 19th and early 20th century.

Travel time is close to 200 ms as packets travel around the world from me to US. Thus, my travel time to US is close to the speed of light in many cases (not all, but many), that's a lot faster then what became available in early 20th century (and much, much more comfortable).

From a productivity point of view, the information revolution is a disappointment. Jobs get slashed, but there is no increase in the creation of actual wealth or value.

Uh-oh. There are about 3.6 million of programmers in US, almost all nonexistant 30 years ago. These jobs were certainly slashed during infromation revolution... ooops.

2 days ago
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The Driverless Future: Buses, Not Taxis

burbilog That's a fallacy (257 comments)

40 cars are not equal to one bus, because not everyone are going from single point A to single point B. 40 cars go from points A1,A2..A40 to points B1,B2..B40, but those unfortunate bus riders have to use several buses and wait for each bus to reach their Bs and get back to their As. And if you have to serve people at least 80% good as cars you much more than one bus. And of couse nobody does that and that's why public transportation sucks. Just an example: Moscow, Russia. Heavy public transportation, a lot of buses, trolleybuses and a huge subway system, often advertised as "transportation solution". Yet I had to buy a car 14 years ago, because commuting from my parent's home to work took about 15 minutes in car and an hour and a half on public transportation -- a bus to subway, subway, change line, subway, bus. A lot of time wasted in hot weather or freezing snow, waiting, waiting, waiting...

about three weeks ago
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Japanese Maglev Train Hits 500kph

burbilog It may change quickly (419 comments)

considering the amount of time it takes to board/de-board a plane

Just blow up one of high-speed train and suddenly we'll see the same checks and delays as in airports. Fast train network is not an answer to the problem of long security checks, TSA will happily expand to "protect" trains, sooner or later.

about a month ago
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Automation Coming To Restaurants, But Not Because of Minimum Wage Hikes

burbilog Re: This is silly (720 comments)

A lot of people don't want to see this. You can see the assumption everywhere here: those displaced workers will just find another job! Well no, at some point they won't. Automation is well on its way to eliminate certain types of jobs entirely and not all of those people will be able to find new jobs elsewhere. Even if they were to educate themselves, they'd come into a job pool which is already too small for the number of applicants, so at best they'd cause wages to go down and conditions to worsen (since corporations can pick and choose). That's assuming they can, which, especially in the US, usually involves thousands and thousands of dollars on something with no guarantee of a return on investment.

Well, this happened in the past, when people moved away from agriculture and they did not have enough jobs in manufacturing at that time. But that was inevitable part of growing into modern technology age. Automation is going to free the workforce for another purpose like internal combustion engine and agricultural science created workforce that propelled industrial revolution. Today only 3% of population is employed in agriculture and sun did not fall from sky because of that.

about 2 months ago
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We Need Distributed Social Networks More Than Ello

burbilog Re:Distributed is hard because of the asshole prob (269 comments)

The latter is the real problem. A system where anyone can join anonymously and can have as many identities as they want will be overrun by spammers and jerks. Facebook has some pushback in that area, which helps. Facebook also started by getting people from big-name schools, so they didn't start with a loser-heavy population.

Avoiding spam is difficult, but possible. If default model is pulling data from people you trust then you can revoke trust if somebody turns to be a spammer.

Otherwise, the network is overrun with fake accounts.

If nobody trusts these fake accounts and nobody fetches their data then it makes zero sense to generate them.

But such system must be as easy in use as Facebook and that is the main Problem.

about 2 months ago
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Sale of IBM's Chip-Making Business To GlobalFoundries To Get US Security Review

burbilog Re:Wake up America ... (95 comments)

Basically, a post-industrial society will either unconditionally pay its citizens their upkeep with no strings attached, be a more or less horrible dystopia where that upkeep comes with submitting to arbitrary rules like taking drug tests or doing pointless busywork, or collapse in a violent uprising. And I think we all know which one Americans will never, ever, under any circumstances allow their neighbours, even if that means denying it to themselves.

Yes, and horse corpses and horseshit are going to fill all streets and we will drown in that horseshit. Linear extrapolation, huh?

Some years ago most of the population spent its time working in the field. Now agriculture employs about 3% of population. So, do these 97% of other guys starve or what? Did they loose agricultural jobs at some point in 19 and 20 century? Yes, they did. But they found another things to do and capitalism did not die. Now automation is doing the same to manufacturing that gasoline engine and agricultural science did to agriculture. So what? We'll need human jobs anyway until develop AI (and that's not going to happen in any foreseeable future). People will find another values that can't be produced by robots.

about 2 months ago
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Type 225 Words per Minute with a Stenographic Keyboard (Video)

burbilog I wonder why parent was modded as +4 insightful? (109 comments)

Stenography relies heavily on a highly-trained stenographer to do the recording, and on a similarly highly-trained individual to turn the record into recognizable English. Trying to use that for writing code, where you don't have the redundancy and patterns of English, is a bit like trying to use Swype to transcribe telephone numbers. Wrong tool for the task, period.

I wonder why parent was modded as +4 insightful? There is no need for "similarly highly-trained individual to turn the record into recognizable English" because transcription software (commercial like digitalCat or opensource like Plover) converts keystrokes into the text. On the fly.

Nobody is going to code at 220 wpm. But what about writing decent documentation? I wish I was able to write documentation, comments in code and emails much faster then I do.

about 4 months ago
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Firefox 29: Redesign

burbilog Re:more downgrades (688 comments)

Might as well use Chrome at this point, it's virtually indistinguishable.

Chrome STILL does not have vertical tabs. Unfortunately Google killed that feature a few years ago for some unknown reasons :( Otherwise I'd switch to Chrome immediately...

about 8 months ago
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Will Cameras Replace Sideview Mirrors On Cars In 2018?

burbilog Side mirrors are useful not only as mirrors (496 comments)

Side mirrors are useful nor only as mirrors, but they give optical illusion of car being wider than it is. If I have to drive close to the car with mirror I aim to avoid snagging the mirror, but if there are no mirrors, the error margin is much smaller.

about 8 months ago
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All-in-Ones Finally Grow Up, With Fast Graphics, SSDs, and CPUs

burbilog I need all-in-one case, not complete computer (211 comments)

I wonder why they don't make such thing like a monitor-case with power supply and room for regular mini-itx motherboard and few horizontal extension slots. That's something that I would buy on spot, immediately. It's good to eliminate cables (that's reason #1 why non-tech people buy notebooks, not because of portability), but buying all-in-one or notebook takes away almost all possibilities of upgrade. Universal monitor-case could solve this problem.

about a year ago
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Nokia Preps Linux OS For Low-End Smartphones

burbilog Elop can't fire all linux developers at once (199 comments)

Is there any level on which this decision makes sense in light of Nokia's direction?

It makes a perfect sense because Elop can't fire all linux developers at once. It's just impossible under the law. So he has to find them a useless work for an year or two.

Consistency? What's that?

Everything is consistent. They are going to kill linux devlopment, just can't do it in one month.

Does Nokia have any strategic direction at all?!

Yes. Microsoft.

more than 3 years ago
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EA's New User Agreement Bans Lawsuits

burbilog They can't apply this provision in Russia (273 comments)

The law in Russia clearly states that any statement in ANY agreement that goes aginst the law is void.

more than 3 years ago
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Security Expert Slams Google+ Pseudonym Policy

burbilog Google does enforce identity here in Russia (373 comments)

I just tried to create google plus account and they won't continue unless they either: send me an SMS or call my mobile phone. And all mobile phones are registered to person here in Russia. It does not matter what online name the profile has, it's enough to tell the police mobile phone number and they know exactly where to go to beat the shit out of somebody with dfferent political views... Of couse it's extremely easy and cheap to buy anonymous SIM card and an old used phone (to avoid leaving my personal communicator's IMEI in cellular tower's logs). I think I'm going to do that just to have a spare identity.

more than 3 years ago
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The Coming War Over the Future of Java

burbilog Re:Alternatives (583 comments)

Dalvik?

more than 4 years ago
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Ubuntu Gets a New Visual Identity

burbilog A lot of fuss... (683 comments)

...but what about fixing that f.. networkmanager instead? It's still broken in many ways.

more than 4 years ago
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Meet Uzbl — a Web Browser With the Unix Philosophy

burbilog No man page and they call it unix way?!?!?! (318 comments)

% man uzbl
No manual entry for uzbl

They call it unix way? WTF? I want to know how to use it, I type man uzbl and what? No man page?

Pathetic.

more than 5 years ago
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Meet Uzbl — a Web Browser With the Unix Philosophy

burbilog Does it support adblock list subscription? (318 comments)

No? Then it's not a browser at all. Today it's impossible to browse the net without eazylist & co. It makes NO sense to change your browser if you switch and immediately get hit with shitloads of ads. That's exactly why I did not switch from Firefox to Opera, no matter how fast Opera is (and was). I don't want to maintain my own list of adblocks, other people did it well. I just want to be subscribed to the best up-to-date set of rules and only Firefox does this seamlessly.

more than 5 years ago
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Fatal Explosion At Russian Hydroelectric Dam

burbilog Ayn Rand, "Atlas shrugged" (336 comments)

Ayn Rand, "Atlas shrugged" describes exactly what's going on in Russia right now. Real workers are underpaid and nobody is interested in doing things properly. Most probably it's a result of gross incompetence and lack of maintenance.

Some years ago Moscow blacked out because a transformer exploded and burned out. Everything stopped. I'm a network sysadmin in a big retail chain here and I remember watching shops go black, one by one until our main office internet connection collapsed. They said it was old transformer station exploded. Now they again say that it was an explosion of the transformer station. But I believe it's not just faulty equipment, but just exactly what's described by Rand.

more than 5 years ago
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Fast-Booting Text-Editor Operating System?

burbilog Use VI (660 comments)

Actually Vi is really friendly if you touch type already. Just take some time to learn Vi commands.

more than 6 years ago

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