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Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates

complete loony Re:War, what is it good for? (638 comments)

Well the Great Depression set us up for one. An angry out of work population, looking for scapegoats and easy answers.

yesterday
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A New Law For Superconductors

complete loony Re:That's amazing (53 comments)

So trying to parse the formula from the English description; [thickness] * [critical temp] = A / ([sheet resistance] ^ B), where A = [crystalline structure] * B + C

2 days ago
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Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates

complete loony Re:Debt is not the cause of wage stagnation (638 comments)

Sorry, that's got nothing to do with the point I was trying to make. Though I'm sure I rushed over a few details. I'm not talking about government debts at all. I'm talking about the total debts of the entire nation compared to GDP. The ratio of debt to GDP is higher than it has ever been. Higher than the peak in the 1930's (which was mainly because income fell). How are business and households going to pay back their debts to the banking sector? These are the debts that will not be repaid.

2 days ago
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Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates

complete loony Stagnation is the result of private debt, not tech (638 comments)

Paraphrasing the work of Steve Keen;

Taking out a loan to buy something, increases the income of the seller and the supply of money in circulation. A constant velocity of new loans, would result in a constant influence on economic activity. An accelerating amount of new loans will boost the economy and create jobs. The reverse is also true, decelerating loans will cause spending power to shrink and jobs will be lost. And this is borne out in economic data, there's a strong correlation between debt acceleration and change in employment.

Now, since the 60's the level of private debt has been growing, to become a significant force driving the economy. While borrowing more to buy an existing asset does nothing to create real wealth, it does push up asset prices giving us the illusion of rising prosperity. While rising interest payments are draining real wealth from borrowers.

The banking system should eventually go bust. Probably not tomorrow, but all we have managed to do so far is delay the inevitable. The loans they have issued cannot be repaid. The only question is how we are not going to repay them. Either we go bankrupt, or we find some other way to wipe off the debt.

The Great Depression started with the stock crash of 1929, lasting for the next 10-ish years. But it was the rising debts of the 1920's that were the real problem. Through the depression, those debts started to reduce. But it took the huge spending effort and industrialisation, fighting WWII to really eliminate them. Setting us up for the boom years of the 50's and 60's.

Our economic woes will not go away until we deal with the problem of our private debt. We may see another Depression, some parts of the world already are. Or we may see an extended period of stagnation. History doesn't repeat, but it sure does rhyme.

2 days ago
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Google Releases Android Studio 1.0, the First Stable Version of Its IDE

complete loony Re:Looks pretty impressive... (114 comments)

I've been using android studio for a while now, it's much better than eclipse for editing android resources or referencing them from code. But I haven't changed our build process. I still use ant & adb from the command line for building and testing everything on actual hardware.

about two weeks ago
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Microsoft Introduces .NET Core

complete loony Re:Minor revision? (187 comments)

With semantic versioning, that just means that they haven't broken backwards compatibility. Java 1.8 can still run code compiled for Java 1.0.

about two weeks ago
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Book Review: Bulletproof SSL and TLS

complete loony Re:SSL? (92 comments)

POODLE, BREACH, CRIME etc all require the attacker to control some bytes in the ssl stream in order to deduce other bytes that they shouldn't be able to see. POODLE requires the attacker to change the http url & form post body in order to force the alignment of bytes, BREACH and CRIME are gzip length attacks. Both require the attacker to control bytes in a http request in order to guess the contents of other bytes in the request that they wish to know, like a session cookie.

All of these are attacks on HTTP & SSL, not on SSL alone.

about three weeks ago
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Book Review: Bulletproof SSL and TLS

complete loony Re:SSL? (92 comments)

It's a protocol problem if a man in the middle can control some bytes in the encrypted stream. The biggest problem with attempts to keep HTTP & SSL secure, is the combination of sensitive application and user supplied data sent over the same stream in both directions.

about three weeks ago
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Rooftop Solar Could Reach Price Parity In the US By 2016

complete loony Re:My two cents... (516 comments)

In Australia we forced the utility companies to buy any solar power you sent to the grid using a separate meter, at a fairly high rate to encourage adoption.

Those higher tariffs are now over. So now we pay around 30-40c kWh (AUD, from memory) for mains, and they only pay about 5c kWh for any solar power you provide. But at least you're better off if you can use that power yourself.

about a month ago
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Do Good Programmers Need Agents?

complete loony Re:10x Productivity (215 comments)

... the other guy just sucks.

True, but the world of programming is full of these people. If your entire team is full of them, you won't even realise it.

about a month ago
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Overbilled Customer Sues Time Warner Cable For False Advertising

complete loony Re:TWC are (surprise, surprise) crooks and thieves (223 comments)

In Australia Telstra maintain the copper line, if there's a problem you log the fault and they fix it within 2 days or they have to pay you. Unless they file a claim for a natural disaster, which can give them an extra couple days to fix it.

At the other end of the copper, your wire may be patched directly into your ISP's equipment. Though in practice I think there are only 2 or 3 companies running the DSLAM's. Smaller ISP's then lease them per line.

about a month ago
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Worrying Aspects of Linux Gaming

complete loony Re:Linux desktop never happened (265 comments)

Weston has the potential to clean up the UI quirks, I hope they're headed in the right direction. It's way past time we got rid of X11, it's been holding us back for far too long. If they can't do it, I doubt anyone else will bother.

For 20-ish years windows games have been optimised for windows proprietary drivers, and vice versa. That's a lot of invested effort from both sides, that the linux eco-system hasn't had. Frankly I'm surprised at the recent rate of improvements, but linux is still a long way from parity.

about a month ago
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Silk Road 2.0 Seized By FBI, Alleged Founder Arrested In San Francisco

complete loony Re:Gentlemen, start your engines! (219 comments)

So, how long until a VPS provider only allows access via tor, with payments via bitcoin, in order to profit off anyone who wants to build silk road 3.0+?

about a month and a half ago
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Silk Road 2.0 Seized By FBI, Alleged Founder Arrested In San Francisco

complete loony Re:Not smart (219 comments)

Just because you can prove that there are *some* programs that can't be proven to halt, doesn't mean that there isn't a subset of programs that *can* be proven to halt.

We can build a language / compiler that rejects all programs that aren't provably correct. It might be difficult to get any useful work done, but it's not impossible.

Something like the rust programming language might be more useful in practice. You can still write completely unsafe code, while being careful to limit the impact of doing so.

about a month and a half ago
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Google Releases Open Source Nogotofail Network Traffic Security Testing Tool

complete loony Re:Does it check for MITM? (36 comments)

Which should highlight if the application you're using can detect the attack or not. If the software you are testing can't detect the MITM, then it's broken. If google could write a better MITM detector, then it should be implemented in the libraries used by every application. Not in a separate tool.

about a month and a half ago
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Disney Patents a Piracy Free Search Engine

complete loony So they patented this because....? (164 comments)

... they *don't* want other search engines to use this?

Or are they planning to somehow force search engines to license the process?

about a month and a half ago
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Will the Google Car Turn Out To Be the Apple Newton of Automobiles?

complete loony Re:Another stupid viewpoint from slate that is (287 comments)

It's quite trivial to adapt them for robot visibility as well (perhaps even incorporating stuff like specialized radio signals).

Or blink a bright IR diode... In the short term the cars will need to learn how humans do it. In the longer term the cars may have their own information channel to augment how we currently do it.

about 2 months ago
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Help ESR Stamp Out CVS and SVN In Our Lifetime

complete loony Re:Why git? (245 comments)

That's not what I'm talking about, and I can and have done that with git using only a single copy of the history of the repository.

I mean that I can make a whole bunch of changes to one file, then tease those changes apart into multiple patches and commit them in the order I want. And if I'm not happy with how things ended up, I can re-order or re-write those patches before I push them upstream. To do the same in a single branch with SVN, I'd have to copy the file, revert it, then manually apply each change one at a time. Hoping that I get everything right the first time.

If I want to run a suite of tests against every patch one at a time, I can script that in a couple of minutes. Or if I notice that something is broken, I can do a binary(-ish) search of everything I've done to find it.

Mastery of git makes almost any workflow possible.

about 2 months ago

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