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Microsoft Announces Windows 10

crunchygranola Re:Camel = Horse designed by committee... (622 comments)

Windows ... not at all. It provides a familiar interface to a collection of hardware and software.

By changing it so that customers hate it, MSFT make people want to "upgrade" even less.

Worse than that for the Wintel duopoly - they are suppressing sales of new machines. I have a home Windows computer which I keep to run Windows-only apps for my family that I would like to upgrade, but no way am I buying a system with Windows 8. I could buy a system with Windows 7 still, but I have to pay extra for a limited selection - basically a "business system", when all I want is a cheap little box.

So that old system still limps along, waiting for the day when I can get a replacement that the family won't loathe, meanwhile Wintel are throwing away a sale.

yesterday
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Could We Abort a Manned Mission To Mars?

crunchygranola Re:No, who cares? (262 comments)

Worth noting also that a machine with modern sensory equipment and software is going to be far far superior at spotting the "unusual" something as it makes it's way to point X.

A big part of the reason I'm not convinced is because of how much boosters of unmanned-only exaggerate the capabilities of such machines. There's no current machine that can beat a pressure-suited expert on the ground.

Can you cite a single manned space mission that conducted science that a similarly equipped robot mission could not?

Or are you just doing wishful thinking?

And merely having better sensory equipment (when that actually is the case) doesn't mean a better ability at spotting the unusual.

I wouldn't say "merely". Having better sensory equipment pretty much guarantees it will be better at spotting the 'unusual'

In the meantime, the current desultory effort at studying Mars, means we'll lose at least a whole generation of researchers long before we get to human-level science acquisition on Mars.

The Mars Science Laboratory mission (which included the Curiosity rover) cost $2.5 billion. The most optimistic plausible manned Mars scientific mission cost and timeline I have seen is $100 billion and 20 years. A large scale robotic scientific 'attack' on Mars could reduce the incremental cost of robot missions significantly, so in that same time frame 50 or more robotic missions could be mounted, each of which would have an expected operating life on Mars of a decade or so (based on current experience). The human mission might land 4 people on the planet for 18 months.

I submit that 500 years of operation of 50 sophisticated intrument platforms that never sleep, located all over Mars, would put the accomplishments of 6 man-years at one location to shame.

2 days ago
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Could We Abort a Manned Mission To Mars?

crunchygranola Re:Technological Limitations (262 comments)

North America was successfully colonized with stone age technology. When the Europeans arrived, there were already people living in most every environment, even on the shores of the Arctic ocean, surviving with stone age technology. The European colonists could just ask about the plants etc and the only advanced technology they needed to support their lifestyle was blacksmithing and ship waning (carpentry). What made it hard was that they showed up to steal and conquer an already occupied continent.. How can you compare colonizing Mars and colonizing N. America?

Right you are, but you are just scratching the surface.

The real problem with the English colonialists was that they were a group of English playboy-aristocrats and their man-servants arriving without any supplies or equipment. Seriously. These people had no relevant skills or equipment to survive. The fate of the colony was decided before they left port in England.

The Spanish, with their crews of illiterate seamen, did better - when they weren't abusing the natives to attack and kill them and deny them supplies.

The only colonization on Earth that remotely compares to the colonization of Mars is the colonization of the South Pole. There all supplies have to be flown in, you are entirely dependent on an enclosed base for survival, and if it is the wrong time of year, and you get sick, you might just die for lack of appropriate treatment.

2 days ago
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China Eager To Send Its Own Mission To Mars In the Wake of Mangalyaan

crunchygranola Re:How about giving Tibet back to the Tibetans? (84 comments)

Tibet is strategically important to China, and I don't foresee them just giving it up because some hippies are holding protests. Tibet holds a huge supply of freshwater that flows into China. It has nothing to do with religion or politics, just natural resources...

Because unless they subjugate Tibetans, imprison and torture them, and try to eliminate their culture the water won't flow into China anymore?

Imperialists (and their apologists) always have these "reasons", even when they are tissue thin fig leaves.

China could pull of Tibet entirely, and they would still get their water. If the Tibetans tried to cut it off in some way, for some god-knows-why reason, China could shut the project down with one short military operation, and make the Tibetans regret ever trying it.

No need for maintaining a brutal occupation.

5 days ago
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China Eager To Send Its Own Mission To Mars In the Wake of Mangalyaan

crunchygranola Re: Collaboration (84 comments)

U really have no clue. ... And u think that they will work together?
--
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.

What have got against the "y" and the "o" in "you"?

5 days ago
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Drones Reveal Widespread Tax Evasion In Argentina

crunchygranola Re:Big Brother, 2014 edition (208 comments)

Given the ever growing taxes in various countries (US included) I find it harder and harder to blame tax-evaders....

The overall US tax burden (all taxes, all levels of government), as a fraction of the GDP has shown no growth over the last 33 years. It has been 35% of the GDP, with ups and downs, but oscillating around this fixed line.

Sorry, but no matter how many times you repeat the "ever growing taxes" lie, it does not become true.

5 days ago
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Mark Zuckerberg Throws Pal Joe Green Under the Tech Immigration Bus

crunchygranola Re:Critical to the tech community? (260 comments)

Oops! Make that reference to Libertarian juvenile fiction to bolster case.

about a week ago
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Mark Zuckerberg Throws Pal Joe Green Under the Tech Immigration Bus

crunchygranola Re:Critical to the tech community? (260 comments)

...You aren't a Republican by any chance, are you? Not being part of the "reality-based" community seems to be an indicator for that.

All of the talking points seem to be there:

  • "... the people who created my job. The latter have my thanks..." = You should be grateful the Job Creators even gave you a job.
  • "Shark Tank shows that business is alive and well. We don't have to work for them - we can compete with them..." = Or you should be a Job Creator yourself, reality TV proves there is nothing to it!
  • "If you can't compete with the company, and you can't compete with the indentured servant, then you must defend this question: In what way other than to the investor class are you valuable?" = You can't dethrone a corporation by yourself, and don't like having you wages depressed by admitted servitude, then you are worthless...
  • "I specifically reference Heinlein's "Time for the stars", where the irreplaceable are specifically replaceable. " = reference to Libertarian fiction to bolster case.

about a week ago
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Schizophrenia Is Not a Single Disease

crunchygranola And If Slapping One Label on Eight Is Not Enough.. (222 comments)

We have "Schizo-Affective Disorder" in which we get to claim that the various "schizophrenias" and the various mood disorders are just one big unhappy diagnosis!

Makes things easy for the diagnostician - just one diagnosis, and you can prescribe lithium and anti-psychotics to everyone. And then you can pile on more drugs to treat the side-effects from the drug combinations you started with. And then of course, there are the side-effects of the side-effect treating drugs. Eventually you can work your way up to one or two dozen drugs at once.

Seriously - I have relatives that have suffered from this sort of diagnostic abuse.

about two weeks ago
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How Scientific Consensus Has Gotten a Bad Reputation

crunchygranola Re:Scientific Consensus (770 comments)

"Global Warming is Proven Science" -Today "Global Cooling" - 1970s

Which "consensus" is right? Then or now? Or is it just another "immature fields of study" that needs more funding?

Ah, the false premise fallacy. Sorry, there was no "global cooling" consensus in the 1970s. Just one of many falsehoods trotted out by climate deniers.

The Wikipedia page on this exposes the lie nicely. But you will just keep repeating it won't you?

about three weeks ago
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How Scientific Consensus Has Gotten a Bad Reputation

crunchygranola Re:Scientific Consensus (770 comments)

Your point with Piltdown Man certainly does not demonstrate "Consensus is often wrong, and glaringly so", it simply show that glaring error is possible, especially in immature fields of study. If all you've go is Piltdown, then your evidence is that such error is quite rare.

about three weeks ago
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How Scientific Consensus Has Gotten a Bad Reputation

crunchygranola Re:Science creates understanding of a real world. (770 comments)

This notion of utility ("usefulness") has nothing to do with science, which requires nothing of the sort. Funding might, but not science.

about three weeks ago
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How Scientific Consensus Has Gotten a Bad Reputation

crunchygranola Re:Science creates understanding of a real world. (770 comments)

And, there you have an important piece of the global warming puzzle that many seem to miss.

Kids in chemistry class may have problems understanding basic chemistry. But, the experiments are laid out, the theories, the laws, the hypothesis are all there - everything is made available so that a juvenile layman who is willing to make the effort might become a novice chemist. And, the learning continues through the second year of chemistry, right on through their college and/or university years.

And notice that is is only after you taken those years of chemistry study that you are in a position to weigh-in on complex topics in chemistry, or the evaluate them at a serious level. But you can understand the basic facts of complex chemical issues at more elementary level with lesser degrees of learning, but only if you have applied yourself and learned.

Now - where can we find the layman's textbooks on manmade global warming?

The fundamental sub-disciplines of physics, chemistry, and statistics that go into the climate science all have readily available layman's textbooks (as you concede yourself). The IPCC report is an excellent place to understand the scientific evidence for AGM, it provides a comprehensive and accessible survey of the science of the field. If you haven't read it then you only have yourself to blame. If you have read it and you fail to understand by reason of ignorance (not hitting those layman's textbooks) you have only yourself to blame. If you read it and simply reject what it says because... why? You don't like its conclusions? Then again, you have only yourself to blame.

Oh - we have to take the word of the "consensus". Interesting. As has already been pointed out, the moment one stops doing science, and begins to preach to the masses, one is no longer a scientist, but a politician.

Really? Who "pointed this out"? Passing along scientific findings to "the masses" is what we call education. Interesting that you detest that. It explains a lot about your post.

Or, a priest of the new religion of Global Warming.

Thanks for tipping your hand - your mind is closed, and you blame others for your ignorance.

about three weeks ago
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3 Decades Later, Finnair Pilots Report Dramatic Close Encounter With a Missile

crunchygranola Re:Finlandization... (138 comments)

...

It is hard to believe that a near miss by a SAM would be given less attention by the captain than a malfunctioning coffee maker and even harder to believe that this incident was not reported. If a SAM exploded 20 seconds away from my DC-10 full of passengers whose lives I'm responsible for that would sure as shit get my attention if I was the captain and you can bet your bottom dollar I would report it to somebody....

It really is hard to believe, yes. For example, let's say it is the inclination of the pilot to day "we're okay" let's just forget about it. Does he know the airplane suffered no damage at all? How? When the plane goes in for maintenance are there going to the mysterious fragment holes in the tail or wings? These might endanger plane safety, and even if not the unreported incident that created them would end his career. Is he and the copilor going to bet that the plane really is unscathed?

What about the passengers? A warhead detonating nearby would be noticed by them. What happened to their reports/complaints?

about three weeks ago
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Bill Gates Wants To Remake the Way History Is Taught. Should We Let Him?

crunchygranola Re:the 1% trying to rewrite history (363 comments)

Amazing how people think there's an amount of money beyond which you can't spend.

I could spend $80 billion in a few years (a decade at most). I'll have islands (perhaps Ireland itself :) that I'll own...

That is called real estate investing. It is not spending. You still have the original asset in a different form.

about three weeks ago
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Bill Gates Wants To Remake the Way History Is Taught. Should We Let Him?

crunchygranola Re:Hell no (363 comments)

I don't think you can call someone who got a perfect score on their SAT an utter moron

Bill Gates did not get a perfect SAT score. He got a very good one, 1590 out of 1600, but not perfect. Being a billionaire does not entitle you to score inflation.

about three weeks ago
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Police Recording Confirms NYPD Flew At a Drone and Never Feared Crashing

crunchygranola Re:Yay big government! (310 comments)

You are apparently referring to the Tea Party of 2010. The current self-identified membership seems almost entirely the hard right in the Republican Party.

Check out the vanishing support for the movement within the ranks of the Republicans .

about 3 months ago
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Police Recording Confirms NYPD Flew At a Drone and Never Feared Crashing

crunchygranola Re:Yay big government! (310 comments)

Business does have the power to drop an enormous lawsuit on you and force you to wipe out your life savings trying to defend yourself, and if a judgment is obtained due their immense advantage in resources, they can attach your salary and assets for life.

They also have the power to put false information of your credit history, which is virtually impossible to expunge, and thus ruin your ability to buy a home, or a car, or a loan for any other worthy purpose, or even rent an apartment and even to deny you a job (since prospective employers invariably run credit checks).

Other than that, no power to ruin your life at all.

about 3 months ago
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Alleged 'Bigfoot' DNA Samples Sequenced, Turn Out To Be Horses, Dogs, and Bears

crunchygranola Re:This does not disprove Sasquatch (198 comments)

True, it does not disprove Sasquatch - but it also does nothing to support it.

And on that "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" thing, that is in fact an informal fallacy. Absence of evidence (if you have actively been seeking to collect evidence with tools capable of doing so) absolutely is evidence, but not "proof", of absence in every branch of science.

If you go to a doctor and get a biopsy looking for cancer, and no cells are found, that is absolutely a valid indicator that cancer of they type being screened for, is not present (though the tests can fail sometimes to detect it when it is).

Environmental DNA/RNA sampling is a very powerful technique to detect the presence of species that are difficult to observe. Almost any physical remain left by an animal, even extremely small samples (feces, blood, saliva, hair, skin, tooth, nail, etc.) will allow detection of its DNA to be matched against libraries to determine its phylogenetic grouping, and species identity if known.

If over a reasonable amount of time no one can produce a sample bearing the DNA of a novel creature, then it cannot reasonably be supposed to exist.

about 3 months ago
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There's No Wind Chill On Mars

crunchygranola Re:Wind chill on a space suit? (110 comments)

Wind chill works because of evaporation on the skin, right?

Wrong. The phenomenon know as "windchill", and is represented by "windchill factors" and such, has nothing to do with evaporation. It is the effect of forced convection on heat removal, the windchill tables were generated by examining the removal of heat from a dry cylinder. Evaporative cooling is an entirely separate phenomenon.

I don't think anyone is going to be walking around on Mars outside a biosphere, in a T-shirt. If you're wearing a space suit, wind chill is totally irrelevant or am I missing something?

Does your space suit need to only provide pressurized air, or must it be a parka too? This is an important question for designing and wearing the darned things.

According to the actual paper (TFP) on Mars (at -60 C) the subjective temperature in still air is equivalent to only -8 C on Earth. This is because the air is too thin to remove much heat, wind or no. BTW -- "still air" is actually only an ideal limiting case of windchill, when air speed is zero and you are yourself are not moving. Genuine still air is a very rare in the open in nature.

It looks like Mars is something like a happy medium in terms of air pressure for a really, really cold place. In a hard vacuum the loss of heat from your body through radiation alone is a problem, getting rid of the heat your body and equipment produce is a problem in orbit. On Mars the air is thin enough that it has limited ability to remove heat, enough to prevent over-heating, but not too much. Space suits use evaporating water to dump heat form the suit.

about 4 months ago

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