Beta
×

Welcome to the Slashdot Beta site -- learn more here. Use the link in the footer or click here to return to the Classic version of Slashdot.

Thank you!

Before you choose to head back to the Classic look of the site, we'd appreciate it if you share your thoughts on the Beta; your feedback is what drives our ongoing development.

Beta is different and we value you taking the time to try it out. Please take a look at the changes we've made in Beta and  learn more about it. Thanks for reading, and for making the site better!

Comments

top

Ask Slashdot: How To Bequeath Sensitive Information?

dala1 why? (208 comments)

This honestly seems over complicated. Why should anyone have this information before you die, especially financial information? The simple thing to do is put a hard copy (sealed, of course) of the information in a safety deposit box with a copy of your will. As long as your executor knows about the box, they can access it after you die and distribute the information per your instructions.

about 3 months ago
top

California Whooping Cough Cases "an Epidemic"

dala1 Re:So there's 100 or so unimmunized? (387 comments)

According to the WHO, there were 2.6 million measles deaths every year before there were vaccinations. Per the CDC, 'about one out of 10 children with measles also gets an ear infection, and up to one out of 20 gets pneumonia. About one out of 1,000 gets encephalitis, and one or two out of 1,000 die.' Not the highest mortality rate, but still a significant number when you consider just how common it was.

about 3 months ago
top

California Whooping Cough Cases "an Epidemic"

dala1 Re:So there's 100 or so unimmunized? (387 comments)

Could that be because the people who got vaccinated were more likely to be in high-risk areas (schools, hospitals, etc) or less healthy?

about 3 months ago
top

America 'Has Become a War Zone'

dala1 Re:War of government against people? (875 comments)

Let's try a simpler example.

Students in a chemistry class study an average of 6 hours for a test and get a C for their class average. The next week, the same student study an average of 1 hour for their Interpretive Dance class and average an A..

Despite the negative correlation, this doesn't disprove the idea that studying improves grades. Most likely, grades are positively correlated to studying but negatively correlated to class difficulty.

about 4 months ago
top

America 'Has Become a War Zone'

dala1 Re:War of government against people? (875 comments)

A negative correlation does not disprove causation any more than a positive one proves it. To see why, consider a simpler example: Town A has 5 police per thousand people, and 3 crimes reported per thousand people every day. The next year, they increase the number of police to 7 per thousand people, but crime rates go up to 5 crimes reported per day.

Despite the negative correlation, this doesn't disprove the idea that having a greater police presence reduces crime. It could be that poverty rates went up due to recession, resulting in more crime and prompting politicians to increase police funding. It could be that the police are corrupt or inept, or that legislation changed such that committing crime is more profitable or less risky. There could be any number of explanations for that data that don't require causation.

about 4 months ago
top

Nat Geo Writer: Science Is Running Out of "Great" Things To Discover

dala1 this again... (292 comments)

How many times has this been said before, and proven wrong?

"The more important fundamental laws and facts of physical science have all been discovered, and these are now so firmly established that the possibility of their ever being supplanted in consequence of new discoveries is exceedingly remote.... Our future discoveries must be looked for in the sixth place of decimals."
- Albert Michelson,1894

about 6 months ago
top

Audience Jeers Contestant Who Uses Game Theory To Win At 'Jeopardy'

dala1 Re:He's winning b/c he gets the right answers (412 comments)

Actually, in a prisoner's dilemma the dominant strategy is to be a rat. It goes like this:

If A and B both betray the other, each of them serves 2 years in prison
If A betrays B but B remains silent, A will be set free and B will serve 3 years in prison (and vice versa)
If A and B both remain silent, both of them will only serve 1 year in prison (on the lesser charge)

So, you serve either 1 or 3 years in jail if you don't talk, and 0 or 2 years in jail if you do. No matter what the other guy does, you're better off ratting.

about 8 months ago
top

Predicting the Risk of Suicide By Analyzing the Text of Clinical Notes

dala1 Re:False positives (70 comments)

Seven million extra doctors' visits are hardly inconsequential, especially considering that only about 1 in 175 would actually be suicidal. Consider the time and money spent, the extra doctors who have to be trained and hired (I'm assuming psychiatrists since a GP is hardly qualified to assess a potentially suicidal patient), and the days missed from work for false alarms. That's all before the psychological trauma and loss of trust from your doctor telling you out of the blue that they think you might be mentally ill when you're not.

Besides, that's not how it would work, because once the tool is out there and used to profile everyone, someone who is suicidal will commit suicide before that 'extra session.' After that, it will be be considered negligent not to 'do something' immediately once someone is flagged, and that something would likely be intrusive and expensive.

Also, their accuracy rate is 67%, not 99%. I used that number to demonstrate a best-case scenario. As it stands, they would flag around 83 million people while only correctly flagging around 200,000. Good luck with 99.75% false positives.

about 8 months ago
top

Predicting the Risk of Suicide By Analyzing the Text of Clinical Notes

dala1 False positives (70 comments)

According to the study this is 67% effective. But, once this is applied to the general population you have an issue, because the vast majority of people are not suicidal. In the US, about 122 in 100,000 people attempt suicide a year, and about one in ten are successful. Even with a test that is 99% accurate, you are going to end up with somewhere around seven million false positives every year if you screen everyone.

about 8 months ago
top

Network Solutions Opts Customer Into $1,850 Security Service

dala1 Re:This is what libertarians think (405 comments)

In a true free market people will choose not to do business with a company that engages in fraudulent behavior, of course. They will fastidiously research the companies they enter relationships with to ensure that they are behaving in a moral manner. Just like how they will research their grocery store to ensure they store meat at a safe temperature, or the farm where the store gets said meat at to ensure the animals aren't being fed cancer-causing growth hormones.

about 8 months ago
top

Researchers: Global Risk of Supervolcano Eruption Greater Than Previously Though

dala1 Re:Article has no numbers (325 comments)

Of course they do. Let's say you have a ten-sided die that is weighted on one side in such a way that nine comes up half the time while every other number has an equal opportunity. The probability of a nine coming up on a given roll is the same whether you know the die is weighted or not. Likewise, the odds of a volcano erupting have not changed at all with the introduction of new information.

about 9 months ago
top

Study: People Are Biased Against Creative Thinking

dala1 Re:The problem: (377 comments)

In this case, you don't actually want an ice cream cone. You might not even exist, and if you do you're not talking. That guy over there (who is actually running things) wants an ice cream cone, and is accepting it in your name.

about 10 months ago
top

Study: People Are Biased Against Creative Thinking

dala1 Re:The problem: (377 comments)

The control comes when people are convinced they will go to hell if they don't get you that ice cream cone.

about 10 months ago
top

NSA Planned To Discredit Radicals Based On Web-Browsing Habits

dala1 Re:Porn browsing? (415 comments)

For the same reason it's frowned upon for a teacher to have sex with a student. It's coercive.

about 10 months ago
top

Predictors of Suicidal Behavior Found In Blood

dala1 Re:80% success rate? (209 comments)

Take 10000 people, with 1% (100) of those being suicidal. If you test everyone, and the test has a 20% chance of incorrect diagnosis, then you will incorrectly diagnose 20 suicidal people and 1980 non-suicidal people.

about a year ago
top

The College-Loan Scandal

dala1 Realistic lending (827 comments)

There is a simple way to effectively limit student loan debt, and that is to ensure that loans are based on realistic estimates of how much a student can pay back. Kind of like every other type of loan. However, because this is so simple and obvious, it will never actually be implemented.

If you limit the amount loaned to, say 10% of average expected annual income over the 10 years after graduation (based on actual surveys of past students in similar programs, expected unemployment rates, etc), then you wind up in a situation where both schools and students are constrained by reality. Schools would be forced to bring fees back down to realistic levels, and you wouldn't have to worry about theatre majors paying down $100,000 in debt while working at Starbucks.

about a year ago
top

DEA Program "More Troubling" Than NSA

dala1 Re:Troubling quote from the article (432 comments)

Let's say that a week ago I pissed off a cop or an informant without realizing it, and that person actually had the drugs planted. Hell, maybe someone has a quota to meet and they 'know' I use drugs, anyway. The police pull me over for some moving violation or other, follow the steps you outlined, and find drugs. I say they're not mine, and it's true, but no one believes me and I go to jail. I have no explanation for what happened, because as far as I am aware the whole thing started with a traffic stop.

about a year ago
top

US Entertainment Industry To Congress: Make It Legal For Us To Deploy Rootkits

dala1 Re:aint gonna happen the week after (443 comments)

It's not the opposition that have stopped thinks like internet spying, it's the people, and this has proven to be quite effective. The trick is finding the critical mass to make a statement.

about a year ago
top

EA Offering Free Game to Users After SimCity Launch Problems

dala1 Re:Too little, too late (259 comments)

Most companies just have open beta weekends.

about a year and a half ago

Submissions

dala1 hasn't submitted any stories.

Journals

dala1 has no journal entries.

Slashdot Login

Need an Account?

Forgot your password?