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This 1981 BYTE Magazine Cover Explains Why We're So Bad At Tech Predictions

doccus Re:It was a "joke" back then (275 comments)

I like the elevator analogy. The fact is that even when prognostications get something right--they inevitably get the context, implications, and effects all wrong. That's because they get one invention or innovation right, but every invention and innovation has to be understood in the context of the million other inventions, innovations, and social changes that surround it.

So one person guesses in the mid-19th century that we will have horseless carriages in the future--but also thinks they'll run on steam engines and cause great depletion of our wood and coal supplies. Another person forsees the internal combustion engine, but thinks its only practical use will be in industry. Another person forsees high-grade steel, but thinks it will be used just for girders. Another person forsees an interstate highway system, but thinks it will be used for giant horse-drawn land trains. No one person truly predicts the automobile and its actual effects and implications. No one person puts it all together.

That's why all these reports that come out predicting the future (beyond the obvious) always crack me up. Such arrogance. About the only prediction guaranteed to be accurate is that the future will be far different than any of us can possibly imagine.

Yup.. how the heck you'll ever get that 2 inch high 20 Megs HD in that watch, I dopn't know ;-)

yesterday
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This 1981 BYTE Magazine Cover Explains Why We're So Bad At Tech Predictions

doccus Re:It was a "joke" back then (275 comments)

I'd definitely love to slide down Empire state building!

Until you get to the bottom ;-)

yesterday
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IRS Can Now Seize Your Tax Refund To Pay a Relative's Debt

doccus aaaargh (627 comments)

I just vomited... I simply can't grasp the sick machinations of the US government. It really *is* "worse than has ever occurred since the beginning of the world until now, nor ever will."

yesterday
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Is Germany Raising a Generation of Illiterates?

doccus Re:That's terrible. (431 comments)

What I see, and I see a lot of it here on /., is a complete lack of comprehension on the difference between words that sound the same but have different meaning, such as to and too, pair and pare, see and sea, etc.. there's many more, but I just can't recall them off the top of my head. Compared to this, phrases like "y'all" are pretty inoccuous, being accurate representations of actual language spoken in the south. Even the "spelling nazis" lack a firm grasp of the difference between spelling and grammatical errors, and typos..A simple understanding of the keyboard would make typographical errors obvious, and therefore not deserving of comment. I'm a good example of this, sadly, because since I suffer compromised physical dexterity, although well read, I make typos, rather than spelling errors, yet I have been the target of these "spelling nazis" frequently ;-(

3 days ago
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Is Germany Raising a Generation of Illiterates?

doccus Haha that's "real funny"! (431 comments)

Really funny.. coming from an American rag. When I see a semblance of literacy competence coming from any American continent's resident, I'll take the Germany concern seriously...

3 days ago
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Commenters To Dropbox CEO: Houston, We Have a Problem

doccus Well.. there's always Mega ;-) (446 comments)

I don't knoow what else to add.. Don't like dropbox? Make Kim Dotcom happy instead!

4 days ago
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Can You Buy a License To Speed In California?

doccus Re:AZ License plates (324 comments)

Did you know that AZ has very short winters? Last year it was on a Tuesday.

Hah! Our winter was on a Sunday, when nobody noticed or had to go to their 9-5 weekday job (sorry macronny's flunkies, no relief there)

5 days ago
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Scientists/Actress Say They Were 'Tricked' Into Geocentric Universe Movie

doccus Re:Not the first time this has happened (639 comments)

What I can't figure out is how they'd even get funding for such a brain-wacked out premise. Did they lie to the investors too? They must have had a significant cache of $ to pay Ms Mulgrew, for starters..

about a week ago
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Edward Snowden and Laura Poitras Win Truth-Telling Award

doccus Re:But.. (123 comments)

It's done by the same people that selected Obama for the Nobel Peace Prize.

Ever since that travesty, every single person who ever received the Nobel Peace prize has been trashed. It's a worthless trinket now.

about a week ago
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Edward Snowden and Laura Poitras Win Truth-Telling Award

doccus How come... (123 comments)

How come the US has so many exiles for supporting the constitution? Shouldn't supporting the constitution be legal instead of a threat to ones life and liberty?

about a week ago
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Evidence Aside, FBI Says Russians Out To Steal Ideas From US Tech Firms

doccus Re:I've worked with many Russians... (132 comments)

You have 5 weeks to re-examine your assumptions or no more patches for you anymore before bed!

about a week ago
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An SSD for Your Current Computer May Save the Cost of a New One (Video)

doccus Re:Can someone explain this to me? (353 comments)

I get the idea about maxing the RAM out - faster speeds and all that. What I don't understand is how moving to an SSD drive saves the cost on a new computer?

Hyuk.. It saves the cost of all thise non moving parts wearing out from being alweays hit with them nasty ol' electrons!

about two weeks ago
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An SSD for Your Current Computer May Save the Cost of a New One (Video)

doccus Better watch that VM.. (353 comments)

A small SSD main HD and a platter storage disc? You DO know where the OS is automatically going to select for the swapfile, right? And here's a definition of a lousy day.. using an SSD for the increased performance and having a swapfile on an old style harddisk! I think manual configuration is in order there, wot?

about two weeks ago
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Indie Game Jam Show Collapses Due To Interference From "Pepsi Consultant"

doccus Re:We are the geeks, we are not tools for non-geek (465 comments)

Is this another of those "hope I don't get aids" idiots.. Different offense, but still Stoopid.... In fact what ghe did was worse.. That woman's text was a stupid impulse, but this guy really went at it.. with an overblown sense of self-importance.

about two weeks ago
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Why Darmok Is a Good Star Trek: TNG Episode

doccus I troi to avoid certain episodes... (512 comments)

All of which have Councillor Troi in it/. Amazingly enough, Marina Sirtis is a fine actress.. how she got her "boat hitched up" to play Troi is unknown, although I "sense" they were l;ooking for a great plot device for dealing with difficult conundrums. I simply can not STAND that character though.. as regards watching the series.. it's a deal breaker for me...

about three weeks ago
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Kim Dotcom Launches Political Party In New Zealand

doccus Re:What? (133 comments)

Theres a difference between your grandfather bringing home a war trophy and this man.

I don't know your grandfather, but since he came home and it sounds like he was honorably discharged, no one is going to hold a few war trophies over his head like he is evil because he isn't.

Kim on the other hand, had no involvement what so ever in WWII, any more than I did. If he inherited them, like you, thats one thing, but thats not the case. He seeks this stuff out. He takes advantage of any thing he can, legal or otherwise. He think's his far ass is better than the people he takes advantage of and his emails show that he is an utter fucking pile of shit in every conceivable way.

Anyone who defends Kim in any way is seriously disconnected from reality.

He deserves no benefit of the doubt, he has lost that due to repeatedly begin charged and convicted with fraud. The current court case is what? At least his 3rd ... and the first 2 he was guilty as shit with ridiculous amounts of evidence ... and he spent the whole time, even with evidence presented, saying he didn't do that or he did nothing wrong.

Shill .Shill. Shill. Lots of people collect WW2 stuff and they ain't Nazis... And you seem to thing that him being charged with an offense is sufficient to brand him as an "utter fucking pile of shit " I'm sure glad you're not on the bench in the US (please tell me you're not) because guilty until proven innocent is the very reason he's a refugee. Now I'm not saying he's innocent, but surely he deserves the exact same protection under the law that everyone else deserves.. Or are you a believer in the NDAA?

about three weeks ago
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How Satellite Company Inmarsat Tracked Down MH370

doccus And the pilot cheerfully crashed the plane? (491 comments)

"All right.. Good night" We're going to crash the plane now. Awfully calm behavior for a plane in trouble, wouldn't you say?

about three weeks ago
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Creationists Demand Equal Airtime With 'Cosmos'

doccus Next it's the flat earthers? (667 comments)

And after that, It's the hollow earthers demanding "equal time", and then it's the "never went to the moon" crackpots, and next the "I believe everything the gov't said about 911" crackpots.. I mean, where does it end?

about three weeks ago
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Inside NSA's Efforts To Hunt Sysadmins

doccus Re:Hide in plain sight (147 comments)

Small-time admins maybe. If one works as part of a larger team, automation and documentation is king - any such backdoors would get anyone into trouble, quick.

No.. The backdoors are simply more sophisticated, that's all..

about a month ago
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Time Dilation Drug Could Let Heinous Criminals Serve 1,000 Year Sentences

doccus Re:Ridiculous. (914 comments)

I say we bring back beatings.

We currently take petty criminals in poor neighborhoods, put them in jail for 60 days, they get out, 2 months behind on rent, fired from their job for not coming to work for 8 weeks, incapable of feeding their kids, and they wind up homeless. Now what? Best course of action is to become a drug dealer.

You stole a candy bar. Caning, 10 lashes. Then you go home.

Better update your sig. It has expired ..

about a month ago

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