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Comments

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How much use would you get from a 1 gigabit internet connection?

lgw Re:More useful if symmertical (96 comments)

What part of "cloud" means "and I don't have my own copy" to you? That's just crazy talk. Look at how OneDrive and Dropbox work: the cloud is the shared store, the computer you're sitting at is the fast store, to whatever degree it's had time to sync up.

3 hours ago
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Skilled Manual Labor Critical To US STEM Dominance

lgw Re:LOL ... (351 comments)

Do you know geekoid's posting history? I wasn't just guessing that he wants college primarily for the purpose of indoctrination, with any incidental education being secondary.

I support social support for getting the sort of education needed to land a job, as clearly we aren't achieving enough of that now. But non-useful stuff is luxury, and I'm not OK with tax dollars going to provide people with luxuries.

3 hours ago
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re: Well, what did we expect? (357 comments)

You've got 2 answers already. Here's a third: evil acts in evil ways. A good person can be hard to predict, but a purely malicious evil person? You can deduce everything about them.

yesterday
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re:Down the river... (357 comments)

There seems to be some kneejerk reaction on /. that saying "government isn't helping us" == "let the corporations win". That's the false dichotomy. With a government owned by the corporations, there's no "government or corporations" in play. There's no choice like that right now. The choice is "more corporation-run government" or "less corporation-run government".

yesterday
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The Witcher 3 and Projekt Red's DRM-Free Stand

lgw Re:What kind? (100 comments)

I wonder how hard it would be for all the older games that run in DOSbox?

yesterday
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re: Well, what did we expect? (357 comments)

You're thinking like a normal person, not a sociopath. Comcast isn't offering any bigger pipes, they just stopped making small pipes even smaller once the check from Netflix cleared.

yesterday
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re:Well, what did we expect? (357 comments)

Government: or there and back again, a lobbyist's holiday.

yesterday
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re:Just more bullshit (357 comments)

It's not quite so dire, thanks to cloud computing. It's easy to host a server with as big an upstream as you like, simply host that server in EC2 or Azure (whichever is cheaper that week). If you have a lot of data to serve you can even mail Amazon a drive to get started.

I'm hoping that once the FCC decides how to fuck the average citizen the hardest they possibly can with this, and calls that law, that Amazon will then offer some "server with fast lane" choice in EC2, with a price that benefits from their negotiating power.

yesterday
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F.C.C., In Net Neutrality Turnaround, Plans To Allow Fast Lane

lgw Re:Down the river... (357 comments)

Sorry, that's not one of the choices. That was never one of the choices. Government agencies act for the benefit only of themselves, never for the governed. The FCC seeks the solution that requires the most employees and biggest budget for the FCC, as that's their only actual incentive in any decision.

yesterday
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How much use would you get from a 1 gigabit internet connection?

lgw Re:More useful if symmertical (96 comments)

Agreed. I'd use 1 Gb up to do all my DVD ripping in the cloud (I think that would be a fun project, but hopeless at my current upstream).

yesterday
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Aereo To SCOTUS: Shut Us Down and You Shut Down Cloud Storage

lgw Re:Doubt it will shut down cloud storage... (321 comments)

I keep seeing that word "rebroadcast", but I don't think it means what you think it means.

As I understand it, they stream, the signal 1-for-1 from a specific antenna to a specific subscriber, no broad to that cast.

yesterday
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The Witcher 3 and Projekt Red's DRM-Free Stand

lgw Re:What kind? (100 comments)

There is no requirement for DRM on Steam. It's a distribution platform first and formaost, and there are DRM-free games on Steam. Steam also has DRM that publishers can use (and which really isn't that bad or intrusive). Steam also distributes games with all the worst DRM: horrible, horrible stuff.

Contrast this with Good Old Games, owned by the very same CD Projekt Red. There you get a promise of "no DRM of any kind ever". They distribute many games which originally had DRM in some cracked (but licensed) form, so stuff like "look up this word in the manual" is bypassed. They're just as good as Steam at patch management.

Steam is tolerable. It's good points outweigh its problems. But GOG is great. It's made of win and awesome. It's like the best pirate BBS from back in the day, where every game worked better thanks to the cracks, except it's all legal and licensed, and reasonably priced. Naturally, they're having a hard time attracting publishers, but the financial success of the Witcher titles might get some notice.

yesterday
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Skilled Manual Labor Critical To US STEM Dominance

lgw Re:LOL ... (351 comments)

Having a liberally educated populace is good for everyone.

You don't say.

well, cost is an issue to, but I'm a democratic socialist, so I think education should be paid from society

You don't say.

You want everyone indoctrinated to your belief system, regardless of the cost to them or to society. I want people to be successful and find their own paths to happiness in life. I don't think we'll reconcile our views.

yesterday
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Aereo To SCOTUS: Shut Us Down and You Shut Down Cloud Storage

lgw Re:Doubt it will shut down cloud storage... (321 comments)

To me the most amusing answer would be that collectively they are one really good antenna, thanks to clever software, which is then shared among subscribers.

yesterday
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Will the Nissan Leaf Take On the Tesla Model S At Half the Price?

lgw Re:Electric motor vs Gasoline Engine (389 comments)

While 0-60 times are fun, once your into the torque band of first gear electric loses it's advantage. My car will match the Model S from 10-70, with similar horsepower, but the Tesla sure leaps off the line.

At the limit of tech, the power density of top fuel is just nuts. If you don't need durability, you can ramp up HP from a given displacement of gas engine 30x (and 2x with very mild changes that will take thousands of miles to wreck the engine).

Cornering will be the interesting thing for electric cars. The Model S is damn heavy, but still corners OK thanks to its very low center of mass. That's neat. There's something there that a gas engine really can't match.

yesterday
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Aereo To SCOTUS: Shut Us Down and You Shut Down Cloud Storage

lgw Re:Doubt it will shut down cloud storage... (321 comments)

Why? A long cable is a long cable. Why is there any legal difference? The answer of course I because the lawmakers have been thoroughly corrupted, but that's really it. If Aereo was sending content across advertising markets, reducing the value of local ads, then maybe something's there, but they aren't.

yesterday
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Skilled Manual Labor Critical To US STEM Dominance

lgw Re:LOL ... (351 comments)

It a bit better than that. It only takes a couple years to double your pay while still at the small regional airline. Then after a couple of years with a bigger player it will have doubled again.

yesterday
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Skilled Manual Labor Critical To US STEM Dominance

lgw Re:LOL ... (351 comments)

My brother is a pilot. No one coming in today is going to make crazy money, as that system will be gone by the time they're 50. But it pays a respectable salary past your first couple of years - better than e.g. a bus driver working for the city. Flying your own plane is really easy to learn, but for commercial flight few can manage the really high mountain of arbitrary regs you have to memorize, so supply is constrained (commercial non-airline pilots are a middle ground).

yesterday
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Skilled Manual Labor Critical To US STEM Dominance

lgw Re:LOL ... (351 comments)

Yup, the skilled trades are the future. Unskilled and low-skilled jobs are vanishing. Manufacturing doesn't require humans any more. But not everyone can be an engineer or artist (or an electrician for that matter, but that's kind of a special case, like an airline pilot, of needing the "memorize 1000 pages of rules" skill), and we have a real shortage of skilled blue-collar workers.

Either college needs to be focused on teaching stuff that leads to an actual job, or we need to end the "everyone should go to college" mantra. Everyone should be given the education needed to get a real job. Gaelic Poet Studies is a luxury that frankly few can afford.

yesterday
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Aereo To SCOTUS: Shut Us Down and You Shut Down Cloud Storage

lgw Re:ah huh (321 comments)

It might help, but while the MPAA might bitchslap dropbox, they're small potatoes compared to the likes of MS, Google, and increasingly Amazon (as they get their lobbying up to speed). Those 3 have insane amounts of cash compared to the MPAA members, and are starting to realize they need to get in the game.

yesterday

Submissions

lgw hasn't submitted any stories.

Journals

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Economics in Brief (Internet Flotsam)

lgw lgw writes  |  3 days ago

Here's some internet flotsam attributed to a graduation speech by Thomas Sargent (without digging into whether this speech really happened: the content is interesting).

Economics is organized common sense. Here is a short list of valuable lessons that our beautiful subject teaches.

1. Many things that are desirable are not feasible.

2. Individuals and communities face trade-offs.

3. Other people have more information about their abilities, their efforts,
and their preferences than you do.

4. Everyone responds to incentives, including people you want to help. That
is why social safety nets don't always end up working as intended.

5. There are tradeoffs between equality and efficiency.

6. In an equilibrium of a game or an economy, people are satisfied with their
choices. That is why it is difficult for well meaning outsiders to change
things for better or worse.

7. In the future, you too will respond to incentives. That is why there are
some promises that you'd like to make but can't. No one will believe those
promises because they know that later it will not be in your interest to
deliver. The lesson here is this: before you make a promise, think about
whether you will want to keep it if and when your circumstances change.
This is how you earn a reputation.

8. Governments and voters respond to incentives too. That is why governments sometimes default on loans and other promises that they have made.

9. It is feasible for one generation to shift costs to subsequent ones. That is
what national government debts and the U.S. social security system do
(but not the social security system of Singapore).

10. When a government spends, its citizens eventually pay, either today or
tomorrow, either through explicit taxes or implicit ones like inflation.

11. Most people want other people to pay for public goods and government
transfers (especially transfers to themselves).

12. Because market prices aggregate traders' information, it is difficult to forecast stock prices and interest rates and exchange rates.

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Geothermal vs Solar Power

lgw lgw writes  |  more than 2 years ago

Here are the basic numbers on aailable geothermal vs solar power (since this has come up in discussion more than once).

The surface area of the Earth is about 5.1 x 10^14 m^2. The cross sectional area is about 1.3 x 10^14 m^2 (one quarter of the surface area, of course).

Per this paper found as a cite on wikipedia, the total heat flow out from the Earth's interior is 4.42 x 10^13 W, or 0.0867 W/m^2. Of course, the available power is much less because it's only the subsurface-surface temperature difference that's available.

Total solar irradience is 1361 W/m^2 by NASA's latest estimate (so about 1.7 x 10^17 W across the entire cross section), or about 1000 W/m^2 on the surface at noon on a cloudless day. Averaged over the day-night cycle (surface area vs cross-section, so 250 W/m^2), and taking clouds into account that's about 180 W/m^2 (I can't find a solid source on that yet, but it looks close).

So, total solar power flow is about 4000 times as large as total geothermal flow. I'm not quite sure how to estimate the (ideal) available power as a percentage of the total geothermal power flow, but if we use a WAG of 50%, then the available power from solar is also about 4000 times per square meter more than geothermal - significantly more if we average solar power only across populated latitudes.

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Global Warming Link

lgw lgw writes  |  more than 5 years ago

This is the best summary of the great global warming fraud I've yet seen, and published in the most unlikely of places.

To be told, as I have been, by Mr. Gore, again and again, that carbon dioxide is a grave threat to humankind is not just annoying, by the way, although it is that! To re-tool our economies in an effort to suppress carbon dioxide and its imaginary effect on climate, when other, graver problems exist is, simply put, wrong. Particulate pollution, such as that causing the Asian brown cloud, is a real problem. Two billion people on Earth living without electricity, in darkened huts and hovels polluted by charcoal smoke, is a real problem.

Although I feel Harold Ambler makes some good points, he misses what I've always felt was the most important. Given that the climate will change (as it always has), do we want it to be warmer, or colder? As glaciers covering Europe (the norm for the ice age we've been in for the past 100M years) seems to me far worse than rising sea levels, I've never understood why we'd want to fight warming in the first place.

I think the whole global warming fraud started by ignoring all of the available evidence and blindly asserting that the climate is naturally stable, so therefore if man did something to break that stability we'd be creating an otherwise-avoidable catastrophe. What BS. The only thing historically unprecedented is the inexplicable stability of the climate for the past 10K years. Change is unavoidable, with or without the actions of man.

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Some quotes I like

lgw lgw writes  |  more than 8 years ago

"Congressmen who willfully take actions during wartime that damage morale and undermine the military are saboteurs and should be arrested, exiled, or hanged." - Abraham Lincoln

"Pacifism is objectively pro-Fascist. This is elementary common sense. If you hamper the war effort of one side you automatically help out that of the other. Nor is there any real way of remaining outside such a war as the present one. In practice, 'he that is not with me is against me.'" - George Orwell

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