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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

mellon Re:"Expected", "could", and "maybe" (329 comments)

If all predictions had indeed not come to pass, you might have a point. But of course that's hyperbole, which is to say: you are making shit up. In the real, fact-based world climate science has an all-too-good track record. Yes, it is not perfectly accurate, but that's really not something with which to comfort yourself. If you get run over by a bus, it doesn't matter whether it hits you from the front or the side: you're still dead. It's best to pay attention and get out of the way when there is a bus bearing down on you. And as for extinction events, it doesn't matter whether they're human-caused or not. What matters is not being taken out by them. Or anyway, so the thinking goes...

about two weeks ago
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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

mellon Re:Only CO2 matters (329 comments)

Right, that was my point. The methane doesn't just disappear.

about two weeks ago
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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

mellon Re:"Expected", "could", and "maybe" (329 comments)

Expected, could and maybe do not have probabilities assigned. So when you say "with a very low probability," you are putting words in gmustera's mouth. The probability isn't very low. It's likely that this caused the Permian-Triassic extinction event. But I'm sure that you, with your anti-government rhetoric and your bunker in the basement, will survive an extinction event just fine. No doubt you've done the science, and figured out how much stockpiled oxygen you need to stockpile to get through it, and how big your airtight greenhousese need to be to grow the food you won't be able to safely grow outside, and that's why you're not worried.

Remember that uncertainty cuts both ways, Padawan.

about two weeks ago
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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

mellon Re: "Expected" to release methane (329 comments)

About seven times better. Which is great if you don't have a warming problem; not so great if you do. Also, excessive CO2 production in the ocean leads to acidification, which leads to dead zones. And you really, really don't want dead zones.

about two weeks ago
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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

mellon Re:Only CO2 matters (329 comments)

Methane oxidizes, yielding CO2. You don't even know basic chemistry, and you are making scientific-sounding statements about atmosphere science. Sigh. One of the big problems with society today: idiots are completely sure of themselves, and smart people communicate with equivocation in contexts where equivocation will be understood to correlate with uncertainty. See? I can't even stop myself!

about two weeks ago
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Heathrow Plane In Near Miss With Drone

mellon Re:An unidentified drone (325 comments)

In addition, had the drone hit the airplane, how do we know that it wouldn't have bounced off? Did it weigh more than a frozen turkey? Mid-air collisions between airplanes are really bad, but mid-air collisions between airplanes and turkeys are generally only bad for the turkey, modulo the occasional fluke where you get enough birds in each engine to cause a real problem.

I frequently see other airplanes from my airplane when I travel. Does that mean that there was a risk of a mid-air? No, they're at a different altitude. So "the pilot saw a drone" is evidence of a near-miss only in the realm of directed reasoning. Someone has an agenda, and that's why this is news.

about three weeks ago
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US Gov't Issues Alert About iOS "Masque Attack" Threat

mellon Re:In other words (98 comments)

Actually in the case of iOS it is substantially better. Application sandboxing makes it a lot harder to get pwned.

about a month and a half ago
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Physicists Identify Possible New Particle Behind Dark Matter

mellon Re:Dark Matter here (103 comments)

Don't worry. You're a fine mixture of baryons and leptons. Any WIMPs or SIMPs are just along for the ride.

This article is a bit frustrating in that they haven't actually discovered a dark matter particle—they've just come up with a new idea for what it might look like. So it's not even a virtual particle. It's a hypothetical particle. But interesting nevertheless...

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:Try reading the examples (387 comments)

You are drawing a meaningless distinction.

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:What you read has been cleaned up (387 comments)

You misunderstand. Linus routinely personally insults people he disagrees with. That'll get you shot today, in the wrong neighborhood. I am by no means asserting that people didn't cuss a hundred years ago.

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:The language in the old west (387 comments)

Yes, the American frontier was nowhere near as violent as portrayed in Hollywood. But that's a really high bar to squeak under. It was plenty violent.

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:The language in the old west (387 comments)

That's right. You guess. And no, I'm not fantasizing.

about 2 months ago
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Worcester Mass. City Council Votes To Keep Comcast From Entering the Area

mellon Re:In short... (232 comments)

I'd rather have a competent town manager who isn't corrupt. Why the Hobson's choice?

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:Society hypocrisy.... (387 comments)

It's that the language used is too harsh. A hundred years ago that kind of language would have gotten you shot. The sense in which our society is gentler is that nobody has gone gunning for Linus yet. Personally, I think that's a good thing, but it's no excuse for him to behave that way. It's totally possible to express disagreement without shrieking.

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:The language in the old west (387 comments)

Srsly? My 19-year-old niece swears like a sailor. I've seen no evidence that Kids These Days swear less than we did. But we're not talking about swearing. We're talking about saying things that would get the shit beaten out of you if you said them to one of your beloved manly men face to face. Torvalds would be a bloody spot on the pavement if he said some of the things he's said to people to some guy in a bar.

So let's not pretend that that kind of behavior is socially acceptable. It's not, and the fact that you'd get the shit beaten out of you for saying it to someone's face is all the evidence you need.

about 2 months ago
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Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

mellon Re:The language in the old west (387 comments)

In the wild west you would have got shot for saying the things Torvalds has said. And unfortunately, this is a mouth-only apology. The way he worded it makes it clear he's not serious. More's the pity.

about 2 months ago
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Worcester Mass. City Council Votes To Keep Comcast From Entering the Area

mellon Re:In short... (232 comments)

Um. No. My town, pop. 13k, had a really great town manager who retired. I know she was really great because I saw what she did. Replacing her was hard. And that's a small town. City manager is a hard job. Of course, you can get a corrupt city manager who does a bad job, but to do the job well requires a lot of skill and dedication.

about 2 months ago
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The Correct Response To Photo Hack Victim-Blamers

mellon Re:That photo did rather weaken her argument (622 comments)

Huh. So if you ever appear in a photograph that some ignorant person on the internet considers "a sexy picture," even if you are fully clothed, then you are implicitly consenting to have every private picture of you that anybody can get their hands on illegally distributed for all to see. Failing to see the logic here, sorry.

about 2 months ago

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