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Next-Gen Video Encoding: x265 Tackles HEVC/H.265

mister2au Re:Decode performance (104 comments)

About 25-50% higher according to most estimates. There aren't any optimised decoders to really compare real-world performance though.

1 year,7 days
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Next-Gen Video Encoding: x265 Tackles HEVC/H.265

mister2au Re:Mobile video the key (104 comments)

Happy to be proven wrong, but I'd imagine fairly soon.

H.265 is a superset of H.264, so much of the same hardware could probably be used. As for complexity, it seems H.265 is around 25-50% more complex for DECODING so certainly not unreasonable for current mobile devices.

The current Samsung Galaxy S4 advertised both HEVC support and Full HD (1080p) playback - not sure if they are both together however.

1 year,7 days
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Next-Gen Video Encoding: x265 Tackles HEVC/H.265

mister2au Re:Next optical disc format (104 comments)

Agreed but 4x pixels does not equate to 4x bitrate for a given codec - typically more like 2x.

so maybe something like

4K H.265 = 75% * 200%* 1080p H.264 = 150% H.264

So not as bad as you'd think and a lot of current format stuff is still MPEG-2 as well so even more scope for improvement !!!

1 year,7 days
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Next-Gen Video Encoding: x265 Tackles HEVC/H.265

mister2au Re:This is great news! (104 comments)

The specific encoder you use makes a HELL of a lot more difference than the codec/format. Other H.264 encoders don't come close to x264. If x265 doesn't get the same kind of open source development boost, x264 will continue to improve, and probably outperform the newer format, as proprietary codec developers just haven't shown themselves willing or able to do a good job of perceptual encoding, yet that's where the bulk of our non-pirated content comes from...

Wow ... just wow!

I'll assume by "proprietary codec developers" you actually mean developers who have closed source implementation of the encoder. In which case, the statement may not be completely unreasonable ie closed-source encoders have not kept pass with this open-source implementation due to less comphrensive (and less costly) implementation of the encoding tools.

The rest is complete rubbish though ...

So what if the bulk of non-pirated comes from closed source encoders ... what does that have to do x264 or x265 or H.265 development? Is this just a shot at closed-source software given you seem to be VERY pro-open source?

The specific encoder you use makes a HELL of a lot more difference than the codec/format. Other H.264 encoders don't come close to x264. If ... blah blah blah .. x264 will continue to improve, and probably outperform the newer format"

Do you understand that H.265 is essentially a superset of H.264? You know, as in H.264 + extensions? How is x264 going to out-perform x265 given it is a subset of the later?

Do you understand that x264 uses a superset of the encoder algorithms implemented by other encoders? So what you attribute is primarily due to codec and then codec parameters and then software optimisations.

You could have said "I hate standards .. I love open source ... I hope H.265 fails" ... much quicker and doesn't need any pretence of understanding video codecs.

1 year,7 days
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Twitter Co-Founder Biz Stone To Facebook: Start a Premium Subscription Service

mister2au Re:Missing the point completely (156 comments)

Nope - think we agree on the numbers

$1 billion / 600 million users / 12 months = $0.139/user/month ... $0.15 is close enough

1 year,9 days
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Poll Shows That 75% Prefer Printed Books To eBooks

mister2au Looks correct. (312 comments)

US books sales were running about 80% hardcopy / 20% electronic in 2012 vs 85% / 15% in 2011 ...

Current numbers of up towards 25% e-book share seem completely reasonable

However, the growth rates have plummeted and seems that e-books may top out at less than 30% market over the next few years

The biggest surprise is that the "new-ness" of ebooks may be wearing off

1 year,9 days
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Twitter Co-Founder Biz Stone To Facebook: Start a Premium Subscription Service

mister2au Re:Missing the point completely (156 comments)

means that that consumer should pay a lot more in subscription fees than they bring in in ad revenue, especially considering that with a significant amount of the users opting out the value of the rest of the userbase drops.

That is really the guts of it ...

Ad revenue is actually tiny at around $0.15/mth/user up from closer to $0.05/mth/user last year ... any subscription would be SUBSTANTIALLY higher than that and it questionable how far they can push ad revenue given people are complaining at the current levels.

I agree the userbase is the product so you can't afford to push them away with too much advertising - the question is how to monetize the userbase.

1 year,9 days
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Twitter Co-Founder Biz Stone To Facebook: Start a Premium Subscription Service

mister2au Re:Big fallacy (156 comments)

And that's the problem ... Around $0.15/user/month in ad revenue is a lot lower than $1

And your logic problem:
- it's not 10% * $10/mth subscription vs 100% * $1/mth ads
- it is (10% * $10/mth subs + 90% * $1/mth ads) vs (100% * $1/mth ads)

Replacing 10% of your user-base at higher profits ($10 vs $0.15) while retaining the ad-revenue for the rest kind of makes it a no-brainer.

As for Office - it still has something like 90-95% market share ... it may be struggling in certain niches (in fact, I'm sure it is!) but overall it's doing quite well ... the bigger problem is that productivity software is quite a mature market now, so prices and profitability drop but that is the same as most high volume software of any sort - OS, games, office suites, etc

1 year,9 days
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Twitter Co-Founder Biz Stone To Facebook: Start a Premium Subscription Service

mister2au Re:Annoy by Design (156 comments)

Answer: Because it is not a failed model but is the traditional life-cycle of ANY business product.

The cycle is:
- develop a product
- create demand for the product
- monetize the demand
- continue until the life-cycle is over

Part of monetizing the product is to segment the market based on willingness/ability to pay. Premium vs ad-supported is a very easy and successful way to do that with media-type products.

Where this model fails is where there is not a viable business to start with and an attempt to monetize then completely fails - that was most of the original dot-com bubble of the late '90s

What businesses are you thinking you that built up large userbases before screwing it up?

1 year,9 days
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Twitter Co-Founder Biz Stone To Facebook: Start a Premium Subscription Service

mister2au Re:Missing the point completely (156 comments)

Yikes - you butchered that analogy.

We can see where you started with the mantra "facebook (A) is not the product for users (B), but users (B) are the product for advertisers (C)" ... 3 separate entities and a reasonable concept ...

You've concluded that "ads (A) don't finance users (B), users (B) are the target of ads (A)" ... only 2 entities and logically inconsistent given the ads are there EXACTLY to finance a free subscription model

What has been proposed may actually make sense given it makes facebook the product for a group of customers:
- advertisers value the platform at $2/user per annum
- the subscription model suggested values the platform at $120/user per annum
- i'd guess that anyone who wanted ad-free would worth less $120 (ie 60x the average) to advertisers

Nothing wrong with fragmenting your market and cashing in the high-value component. Exactly what most of the media does - pay services for high value customers and throw low value advertising at the others. Think why cinemas still exist when TV viewers are the product for advertisers and that can be a free service????

1 year,9 days
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The Little Bomb-Detecting Device That Couldn't

mister2au Re:Authority Testing (217 comments)

To save you actually reading:
- yes, they tested them
- those authorities that knew how to test (i.e. blind tests) knew they didn't work
- those that didn't know how to test properly fell for the Ideomotor Effect

Disassembly of the devices showed they had NO active components - hence the lack of a power source (supposedly run on static electricity !!)

But more importantly, one can infer that there was a lot of corruption in the sales processes to a number of third-world and war-torn countries ... hardly an incentive for them to find they don't work and not buy them when you'd miss out on your kickbacks.

1 year,16 days
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Disney's Titling Problem With Its Star Wars Movies

mister2au Re:Retroactively? (279 comments)

Or in the UK in a city that debuted it after 27th December 1977 ... not really that difficult to work out !

FYI - the UK release was London only until January 1978

1 year,25 days
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Industrious Dad Finds the Genetic Culprit To His Daughters Mysterious Disease

mister2au Re:Seriously? (204 comments)

No problem there - you need to count like a journalist.

He started in 2003 (the 2000s) and stopped in 2013 (the 2010s) ... that 2 decades which more than a decade - easy !

about a year ago
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Self-Proclaimed LulzSec Leader Arrested In Australia

mister2au Re:Oh Really? (127 comments)

In senior IT roles, yes !

Age may not determine ability in technical roles ie code monkeys but experience sure as hell matters in senior roles.

about a year ago
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United States Begins Flying Stealth Bombers Over South Korea

mister2au Re:Good luck with that (567 comments)

they've gotta be getting to the point where even China isn't going to take their crap for much longer. They WERE trying to destabilize the region. NOW they're trying to destabilize the entire world.

I just hope that china is even a fifth as annoyed with him as the rest of the world is.

I think you'll find China is much more annoyed with US forces being in SE Asia and are currently working to exert their own influence in that region - particularly the South China Sea. For example: http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/03/27/china-military-south-china-sea/2023947/

I think they would be delighted if US had to pull forces out of South Korea to de-escalate the situation - which, despite reported threats against the US mainland, is actually the key thing the North Korean keep saying - "get of out Korea - none of your business"

I don't know why you'd assume China would be an ally in this battle - the US doesn't actually have many of those left after testing the limits in Iraq/Afghanistan and most of the world seeing that China is clearly the #1 superpower within the next 10-20 years.

about a year ago
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United States Begins Flying Stealth Bombers Over South Korea

mister2au Re:Perfect Analogy (567 comments)

None of their recent threats have been at South Korea, they have all been directed at the US and most specifically mention the mainland and Pacific bases. The analogy in this case is apt.

On the contrary, basically every threat has been at South Korea.

The western media is picking up on and only reporting the little bits at the end that say "Guam, Pacific an mainland US bases" ... Much like every other pre-war the media is clearly trying to sensationalise and polarise.

In reality, the North Koreans are saying get US forces out of South Korea and stop military exercises because it is none of your business. The secondary message is that is US uses exercises (and further UN sanctions) to invade or destabilse North Korea further that they will attack US forces anywhere - primarily South Korea but also the mainland US if needed.

North Kores may not be the most stable regime in the world but cut through the propaganda and you can see their point - if China started military exercises in Mexico (or Cuba) and flying stealth aircraft there, what do you think the response would be? Probably exactly the same the North Koreans now !!!

about a year ago
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North Korea Kills Phone Line, 1953 Armistice; Kim Jong Un's Funds Found In China

mister2au Re:Poor Saddam (330 comments)

Huh? That is exactly what I said along with 4 other factors that all point in the same direction.

N Korea has rocketry and air or ground deploy able nukes

Not exactly sure what you think you are disagreeing with ... you can not attack a nuclear armed opposition like USSR (or N Korea) but instead have to erode their capability - economically in both cases of USSR and N Korea.

about a year ago
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North Korea Kills Phone Line, 1953 Armistice; Kim Jong Un's Funds Found In China

mister2au Re:Poor Saddam (330 comments)

- Iraq has oil
- Bush & co had a lingering revenge motive from the Kuwait days
- US did not have allies within real striking range of Iraq
- US had a trigger with the war on terror and WMD
- Iraq has low-tech weaponns

- N Korea has no oil
- There is no personal grudges to be settled
- Seoul is only 20 miles from N Korea
- N Korea is all talk and have not triggered a real reason for invasion & no-one believes WMD arguments anymore
- N Korea has rocketry and air or ground deploy able nukes

The risk-reward trade off is quite different ... more akin to the cold war with USSR where you need to slowly erode capability not just attack.

about a year ago

Submissions

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15 Current Technologies We'll Still Be Using in 2030

mister2au mister2au writes  |  about 2 years ago

mister2au (1707664) writes "Laptop Magazine has an interesting counterpoint to the game-changing future technology predictions we are used to.

They propose a list of 15 current technologies that will still be alive and kicking (and prospering) despite being in areas to potential technological change.

Hardware: QWERTY keyboards, PCs, Clamshell-Shaped Notebooks, Local Storage, Laser Printers, TVs, Lithium-Ion Batteries
Interfaces: USB Ports, Wi-Fi, 3.5mm Audio Jacks
Software: Email, HTML-Based Websites, JPEG files, Microsoft Office
Other: Cash"

Link to Original Source

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