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OKCupid Warns Off Mozilla Firefox Users Over Gay Rights

poopdeville Re:April Fools stories are gay (1482 comments)

People blithely unaware they're acting much the same as those who opposed civil rights laws in the first place.

Yes, except for the fact that they aren't lynching niggers.

about 9 months ago
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The Higgs Boson Re-Explained By the Mick Jagger of Physics

poopdeville Re:Still not quite correct. (94 comments)

I can see where you're coming from, but I read it as comparing the early universe to molasses, not the effect of the Higgs field as such. Soupy and homogeneous (mostly).

about 10 months ago
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Polar Vortex Sends Life-Threatening Freeze To US

poopdeville Re:Cue the climate change deniers ... (684 comments)

He's saying that the global average temperature has gone up and down in the past, without industrial levels of CO2 production, so that the correlation between temperature change and CO2 emissions is low.

And it is a valid point, so far as it goes. But it does not go far enough. Bayesian statistics are more informative than mere frequentist correlations.

about a year ago
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Polar Vortex Sends Life-Threatening Freeze To US

poopdeville Re:Cue the climate change deniers ... (684 comments)

Obviously, you don't get it. Global warming means that the average global temperature is rising. But consider, if the temperatures remain exactly the same over land, and the temperatures over the poles rise, then that is enough to bring up the average global temperature.

And for the purposes of this discussion, it is a law of physics that the coolest parts of an object will warm up most quickly.

So the proof of global warming is that the average global temperature is rising. A measurable and verifiable fact.

And that is having consequences on our weather. That is a separate issue, which does not constitute proof or evidence of any kind. It is a consequence.

about a year ago
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Asm.js Gets Faster

poopdeville Re:Or anything running in a VM (289 comments)

Maybe I'm confusing my history, but I thought Java was basically pre-Linux. Let alone pre-Linux-goes-big-on-the-server-market.

So it makes sense that somebody would want to make an environment that abstracts the machine away and works reliably on every machine. That was the whole point of POSIX, though it didn't go far enough to satisfy everybody. And it makes sense that savvy consumers would want that too, for a variety of reasons: Large market for developers, easy deployment, sunk cost fallacy, less vendor lock-in, etc.

about a year ago
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StarCraft II Gamer Receives US Pro-Athlete Visa

poopdeville Re: Doritoes and Wheaties (114 comments)

Sports contribute in the same way movies, music, games, and comedy do. They provide entertainment.

1 year,9 days
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Killer Qualities of Japanese Fault Revealed

poopdeville Re:It clearly isn't "just weird", statistically. (58 comments)

Statistically, five meters really isn't much different from ten meters, or twenty meters, or even thirty meters. It's only when you get to about 80 meters or so that we see a statistically-significant deviation from the standard probability distributions.

And you know this because you have the distribution of thicknesses and computed the standard deviation. Right?

Otherwise, you just pulled 80m out of your ass. That must have hurt.

1 year,14 days
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Get Ready For a Streaming Music Die-Off

poopdeville Re:The article is FUD (370 comments)

Yes, there's a demand. But the economy of music has apparently reached its saturation point. That is, demand is no longer growing faster than attrition. It will take long-term demographic shifts for growth. There is no room for new players and current players are scaling back their operations to the "essentials" for the business.

Pandora will be fine. Spotify will be fine. But they won't grow or make anybody rich anymore.

1 year,15 days
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Obama Praises NSA But Promises To Rein It In

poopdeville Re:Not restrained by law? (306 comments)

International law 101:

It is a sovereign's privilege to not obey other sovereign's laws. That, in effect, is what makes a sovereign a sovereign. If the other sovereign's object, they have to stop the offender.

In this case, that means stopping the intrusions through security or force. Good luck with that.

1 year,15 days
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BBC: Amazon Workers Face "Increased Risk of Mental Illness"

poopdeville Re:"similar to" (321 comments)

Correlation + proposed mechanism = scientific theory.

1 year,25 days
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Should the US Copy Switzerland and Consider a 'Maximum Wage' Ratio?

poopdeville Re: Yes. (1216 comments)

Did you know that a gallon of gasoline is capable of replacing 55 hours of manual labor?

How do you think America managed to make its economic productivity boom? By expanding its constraint horizon with oil.

That's all well and good, but I have a serious problem with people who waste gasoline on things like cars. 55 hours of toil or 20 miles.

1 year,28 days
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Why Not Fund SETI With a Lottery Bond?

poopdeville Re:The main problem in this plan... (191 comments)

There is no physical reason why intelligent life could not expand through space very fast on cosmological timescales, if it wanted to.

Except, you know, the speed of light. And the limits of biology and ecology. And the fact that space is three dimensional on the scales we're talking about (which means that they intelligent species would have to populate at a rate proportional to the distance from the home world cubed in order to meaningfully "populate" the new worlds.

about a year ago
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ATF Tests Show 3D Printed Guns Can Explode

poopdeville Re:do tell (233 comments)

That's nice and all, but... use Bayes theorem. If you get statistically significant results, let us know.

That is, the summary statistics are incomplete for the kind of inference you want to draw.

In particular, the summary statistics you give tell us that having the genetic marker makes a smoker twice as likely to experience psychosis as a smoker who does not have the marker. It does not tell us how much more or less likely psychosis is compared to a non-smoker.

Critical thinking failure.

about a year ago
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The Silk Road Is Back

poopdeville Re:YAY !! (261 comments)

Like Ayn Rand, right?

about a year ago
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The Mile Markers of Moore's Law Are Meaningless

poopdeville Re:Not a law (156 comments)

All scientific laws are predictions. Or at least abstractions over prediction. "If you drop a ball from a height h, it will accelerate at 9.8 m/s and have a velocity v."

If anything, your point supports the validity of treating Moore's law as testable science instead of delineating between science and non-science.

about a year ago
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The Luddites Are Almost Always Wrong: Why Tech Doesn't Kill Jobs

poopdeville Re:Sure, to lower paying jobs (674 comments)

Bitcoin can work in principle, but then, so can a printed fiat currency. The bitcoin system would have to be very finely tuned to inflate at the rate of "natural" wealth destruction, just like the printed fiat currency. Obviously, measuring "natural" wealth destruction is difficult on econometric grounds, and thus becomes a political issue. This would be true whether bit coin or paper money is floating around.

Here's the thing: if an economy is to remain strong, its outputs must actually be useful. But things break down over time. The rate at which they break down takes value out of the economy, as those things are no longer useful. If the supply of money does not reflect this loss of value, then the holders of money get paid scarcity rent. They would get paid more value (in terms of today's labor) for their dollar than they put in for it. Rents are market distortions!

The problems we face are n-fold. First, the post-War economy was predicated on making "disposable" goods. The value of the outputs of the post-War economy is now zero. Second, the post-War generation is still alive, and its savings are propping up the capital markets. This is a problem, because their dollar does not match up with their contribution to society now. In other words, if a dollar is supposed to be a store of value, backed by the value of their labor, their dollars "should be" worthless. It is as if they are now counterfeiters, since their dollars are backed by now worthless labor.

The result of this situation is inflation in real terms. Their money was sequestered in the capital markets, but is now being set free in the common markets as they retire. And it is a huge chunk of change.

about a year ago
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The Luddites Are Almost Always Wrong: Why Tech Doesn't Kill Jobs

poopdeville Re:Sure, to *differently skilled* jobs (674 comments)

I'm a poor in America. I bought a used 25$ tv about two years. I saved for years to buy a 300$ laptop. I'll have to save for 5 years to finish my BA in math. I haven't spent a single dollar that wasn't for food, housing, or electricity in over a year. I don't have a phone or car or an air conditioner.

The dollars are stretched, and the situation is getting worse.

about a year ago
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I'd prefer my money be made of ...

poopdeville Re:I don't care (532 comments)

Bingo!

Reintroducing the gold standard would introduce massive market distortions, due to scarcity rent. This is why the gold standard is a political position, and not an economic one.

That is a prescription for a reversion to nationalist vassalage.

Life was never easy. Globalization has made it easier for billions of people.

about a year ago
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I'd prefer my money be made of ...

poopdeville Re:I don't care (532 comments)

I read an interesting paper about gold once. The thesis was that if gold is money as defined by economic theory, then mining gold provides ZERO economic utility in the long term, and negative utility in the short term, since introducing more of the material to the market is inflationary. Of course, the conclusion was that since people mine gold and profit from it, gold is not money.

Also, using gold as money re-introduces the scarcity rent which lead to and sustained feudalism. A re-introduction of the gold standard is just a power grab.

about a year ago
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The Linux Foundation Releases Annual Linux Development Report

poopdeville Re: Vision Engraving and Wolfson ? (101 comments)

Semiconductor production is hardly a niche market. Sure, you might not hear about them much, but Sun, IBM, Lenovo, Intel, Samsung, Apple, Google, and all the others have to go somewhere for their hardware. Why re-invent the wheel at significant cost when TI and Motorola already have a production line for what you need?

about a year ago

Submissions

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YouTube to Allow Video "Rentals"

poopdeville poopdeville writes  |  more than 4 years ago

poopdeville (841677) writes "Starting Friday, Google and YouTube will allow "movie rentals". The first five films available to rent through YouTube will cost $3.99 for a 48-hour viewing period. Movie studios will be able to set their own prices, with rental viewing windows ranging from one to 90 days. YouTube will get an unspecified commission from each rental. The reason: most major advertisers are more comfortable placing their commercials next to professionally produced videos than alongside wacky — and potentially offensive — clips posted by amateurs. The strategy appears to be paying off for YouTube and its owner, Google Inc. Barclays Capital analyst Douglas Anmuch expects YouTube to generate about $700 million in revenue this year, an estimated 55 percent increase from 2009. If YouTube hits that target, it likely will turn profitable, helping to justify the $1.76 billion in stock that Google paid for the site more than three years ago."
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