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How Ubiquitous Autonomous Cars Could Affect Society (Video)

raygundan Re:Honest Question: (369 comments)

rare corner-cases

I don't think "stop if there is something in front of the car" is a rare corner case.

about a year ago
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How Ubiquitous Autonomous Cars Could Affect Society (Video)

raygundan Re:No thanks. (369 comments)

I just don't buy that the computers in these things are as situationally aware as a human driver.

I want proof... but that won't be that hard to provide. Google's car already has a better-than-average driving record. That's not enough data points for me, but with sufficient testing, I'd be more than happy to let the computer drive. I can only see in one direction. I blink. I look at hot chicks. I sneeze. I get tired. There is no reason a computer can't be better than me-- it has a better sensorium, faster reaction, and higher uptime than I ever will. It can actuate more controls than I can-- individual braking pressure on all four wheels, for example. Test it out in more depth, and if it turns out to be better than the average human, it's good enough for me.

about a year ago
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BlackBerry CEO: Tablet Market Is Dying

raygundan Re:I agree (564 comments)

> that doesn't mean people who own tablets don't like them.

I'm about done with mine. It was a good compromise for a while... but phones grew up and laptops grew down (and got SSDs and high-PPI touchscreens), and I find myself no longer using my iPad for anything. I'm sure they'll still be useful for other folks, though, and it's good we have lots of choices.

about a year ago
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BlackBerry CEO: Tablet Market Is Dying

raygundan Re:Not that old chestnut (564 comments)

Eh... like a lot of stuff, it may not be true for everybody, but it's true for some. If I was reading slashdot on it, and wanted to reply to your post, I'd set it down and turn on my computer. They're slow for text entry, and most content creation is still just text entry of one sort or another. I'm sure there are other things which they're great for-- but there are an awful lot of people for whom "that old chestnut" is true. If I do anything but read or watch movies on my iPad, I set it down and move to the computer.

about a year ago
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BlackBerry CEO: Tablet Market Is Dying

raygundan Re:I agree (564 comments)

"Content Creation" doesn't have to be anything as elaborate as coding or painting or musical composition. Your post and mine are both "content creation," and I don't know about you, but typing more than a couple of sentences in a row on a tablet touchscreen gets old quick.

I don't personally think tablets are going away, but I think the market may shrink going forward for a number of reasons. When the iPad first appeared, they did three amazing things that laptop users immediately noticed: they turned on instantly, they were small and light, and they had high-quality screens. Tablet UI considerations aside, those were areas in which the tablet absolutely trashed existing laptop hardware in user experience. If you just wanted to read or watch a movie, and you had a laptop and a tablet within reach, the tablet would get you there faster.

Fast-forward to now, and laptops have caught up. SSDs killed the boot advantage, and new form factors made possible by the same techniques that worked in the tablets have closed the size gap. If I can get an 11" laptop that does "real computer" stuff, boots instantly, and runs quietly and comfortably in my lap... I don't really have a use-case for the tablet anymore.

In short, it was worth the inconvenience of trying to type on a touchscreen when tablets had so many other advantages-- but those advantages have all either gone away or shrunk considerably. I imagine some folks will probably reconsider their tablet. Not all, but some.

about a year ago
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State Rep. Says Biking Is Not Earth Friendly Because Breathing Produces CO2

raygundan Re:Cars produce more (976 comments)

Aren't you supposed to have your fine single-malt neat with a small pitcher of room-temperature water to add?

about a year ago
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Apple Axes Head of Mapping Team

raygundan Re:Wrong problem? (372 comments)

Very different situations.

Siri is more comparable to the Google Maps release-- both were beta, and both had no competition with the same features. And in both cases, the launch of Siri and Google Maps did not take away any functionality you already had-- you could go right back to using MapQuest if you wanted, or simply not use Siri. Because of this, nobody's frothing-at-the-mouth mad that Siri is still pretty rough. It's new, it's labelled beta, and we didn't give up something else to get it.

Apple Maps, by comparison, replaces Google Maps. There's no way to switch back if you need missing functionality, and it was launched as a finished product, not a beta that we all understood we were helping work the kinks out of.

about a year ago
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Apple Axes Head of Mapping Team

raygundan Re:You forgot option D (372 comments)

To be fair, I have TomTom, and it has many of the exact same issues I have with Apple Maps. The data is outdated in places, and searching produces really wonky results. But more importantly, it produces the same wonkiness. You can blame at least some of the Apple Maps issues directly on the TomTom data.

about a year ago
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How Do We Program Moral Machines?

raygundan Re:Why I doubt driverless cars will ever happen (604 comments)

Great. Now all you have to do is prove your system wasn't at fault in a court of law--against the sweet old lady who's suing, with the driver testifying that it was your system and not him that caused the accident, and a jury that hates big corporations.

And you're a corporation who builds a car with a 360-degree lidar, radar, video, and audio-capture system, GPS data, and a log of vehicle telemetry. It's a hell of a lot harder for a little old lady to cry her way out of something when there's hi-resolution panoramic 3D recordings of the entire event.

about a year and a half ago
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How Do We Program Moral Machines?

raygundan Re:Why I doubt driverless cars will ever happen (604 comments)

Can you be sure the computer will handle all possible inputs correctly?

Of course not. If we get serious about licensing and permitting these vehicles, I suspect the standard will be to compare them with the vast body of statistics we have from human drivers. As long as a company's cars are averaging fewer accidents per mile than humans do, it would be hard to argue that they're not safer, even if they still get in some accidents.

People are terrible in all the ways you mention above and then some. Strokes, seizures, heart attacks, sneezing, blinking, stray eyelashes, muscle cramps, and aural migraines are just a few of the hardware failures that already cause plenty of accidents-- and that's before we get into the self-inflicted things like drinking, fatigue, and distraction. Toss in our limited sensorium, narrow field of view, crap night vision, and sluggish reflex loop, and we're really not looking good compared to hardware-- even if that hardware still has some failures and makes some mistakes. And as you point out, it certainly will. The only really important question is "does it fail less than people?"

about a year and a half ago
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Is Intel Planning To Kill Enthusiast PCs?

raygundan Re:Bad News for Repair Shops (1009 comments)

So, a $60 job now becomes a $300 job, enough to make most of my customers, with their older machines, say, "Fuck that, I'll just go to Wal-Marx and buy a new one for 100 bucks more!"

Thanks for doing your part to destroy small business, Intel.

I hope you fuckers rot.

Now I've seen everything... a post on slashdot that makes the "save the buggy whips" argument.

about a year and a half ago
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Apple CEO Tim Cook Apologizes For Maps App, Recommends Alternatives

raygundan Re:Really bad in Canada (451 comments)

I agree-- it would be nice to see a full comparison. I manually spot-checked a couple of the not-founds, and they were all on Google's map-- but a complete comparison would be much, much more informative and useful.

about 2 years ago
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Game Review: Borderlands 2

raygundan Re:Game gave me a stomach ache (117 comments)

A friend of mine is in the same boat as you. We're constantly looking for co-op games to play online, and there's precious few that have everything we want. Borderlands hit all the right gameplay notes. An FPS/RPG with simple enough gameplay that we can jump in and out of sessions but enough complexity to keep us from wearing it out in two days. After messing around for 30 minutes, he said "as great as this is, I just can't deal with the graphical style." I love it-- but there's no explaining personal tastes-- it just is what it is.

about 2 years ago
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Apple iPad 2 As Fast As the Cray-2 Supercomputer

raygundan Re:OMFG (231 comments)

> Not one of them realized it was the old iPhone 4S.

Did that really happen? It isn't mentioned in your link-- I suspect that like a lot of these segments, they canvas for a while until they have enough idiots, and then edit the footage down to just the idiots.

I'm not saying it's impossible, though.

about 2 years ago
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Apple iPad 2 As Fast As the Cray-2 Supercomputer

raygundan Re:Obviously. (231 comments)

Nah, I bet the Cray wins. The iPad is probably both denser *and* more aerodynamic.

"Cray Outperforms iPad in Crucial Terminal Speed Tests"

about 2 years ago
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Apple iPad 2 As Fast As the Cray-2 Supercomputer

raygundan Re:My wristwatch (231 comments)

Your R is not C. Carmack put the iPad 2 at roughly half the performance of the 360, which puts the "Retina iPad" right in the ballpark of the 360, although with twice the working RAM.

about 2 years ago
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Could You Hack Into Mars Curiosity Rover?

raygundan Re:230 foot dish (452 comments)

"This? It's a pool."

about 2 years ago
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Existing Solar Tech Could Power Entire US, Says NREL

raygundan Re:Scenery (589 comments)

This is a valid concern-- but until we run out of houses, wal-marts, and parking lots to put them on, it shouldn't be an issue. We have plenty of already-spoiled scenery that can do double duty. ASU is all over this-- their campus parking garages and parking lots are all growing solar covers. Intel's fab on the south side of town has solar panels on top of all their shaded parking.

about 2 years ago
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Existing Solar Tech Could Power Entire US, Says NREL

raygundan Re:Sustainability? (589 comments)

The problem is that photovoltaics have a limited lifespan.

Well, yes-- everything does. Off-the-shelf consumer photovoltaics typically come with 25-year warranties guaranteeing 80% of original capacity at year 25. They'll gradually degrade at about 0.5%-1% of original capacity per year-- they'll last more than four decades.

What's the energy input to replace a panel?

Depends on the type of panel and how much sun it gets when you hang it up, but construction energy payback is generally 1-2 years. Given the above lifetimes, you'll typically produce somewhere between 10x and 50x the input energy needed to make the panel.

about 2 years ago
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Existing Solar Tech Could Power Entire US, Says NREL

raygundan Re:Cost is important! (589 comments)

20-year life.

Standard warranty is 25 years at 80% of original capacity. More likely, they'll last for 40+.

about 2 years ago

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