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UN: Renewables, Nuclear Must Triple To Save Climate

tbannist Re:Yes, Global Cooling (429 comments)

Sure when you see the list of 70 articles, it looks compelling. However, a little thought should tell you that's it's pretty thin evidence for his claims. If you average it out, it's a mere 7 articles a year spread across the entire English speaking world. That not terribly surprising that some articles would be written about it, given the combination of some unusually cold weather and the not-yet-settled debate in the climate science about whether the long-term natural cooling trend (plus aerosols) or shorter-term anthropogenic warming trend would be the primary driver for climate change in the near future.

Of course, as I often find when I look at the Watt's Up blog, the evidence only passes a friendly cursory review. Several of those 70 articles are repostings of the same article in different newpapers, and even more troubling is that some of the articles in that list aren't even about global cooling. For instance, they list a 1977 Times cover story called The Big Freeze. Apparently, it's about a cold and snowy winter, not a coming ice age.

Of course, this is not unexpected. Anthony Watts always seems to hold people who disagree with him to a much higher standard than those he agrees with. Just look at his treatment of Mueller who was an unquestionable god of climate science right up until he tried to tell Anthony Watts something he didn't want to hear, then suddenly he was a turn coat who sold out.

4 days ago
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Study Rules Out Global Warming Being a Natural Fluctuation With 99% Certainty

tbannist Re:Five hundred years? (854 comments)

Think about it. Could you predict the sentiments of every human on the planet (over 4 billion) by asking the last 500 people born?

I think you need to think about this more. You are arguing that if I want to find out what people think about an issue now, let's say slavery, I should use a sample set that is spread across the entire lifetime of humanity. Is the opinion of someone who died 6000 years ago relevant to the modern view of slavery? Similarly, why would we care about the earth's climate 4 billion years ago, when determining if recent changes are man-made or not?

4 days ago
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Study Rules Out Global Warming Being a Natural Fluctuation With 99% Certainty

tbannist Re:more pseudo science (854 comments)

When you are asked to peer review an article do you take it on faith that the author is correct, or do you check his work to see if he made any mistakes?

The claim isn't that you're perfect or all knowing, it's that you don't blindly trust your fellow scientists and instead subject their claims to scrutiny, especially when they are within your field of expertise.

4 days ago
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Study Rules Out Global Warming Being a Natural Fluctuation With 99% Certainty

tbannist Re:more pseudo science (854 comments)

I'll keep denying until somebody can explain to me why going in and out of ice ages wasn't manmade

Milankovitch cycles

but now we should freak out and spend billions over 1 or 2 degrees of "manmade" "climate change" over the last hundred years

Food security

(when it has been going back down for the last 15 years straight).

Because it hasn't "been going down for the last 15 years straight"?. The decade from 2000-2009 was warmer than any previous decade on record, 10 out of the 10 warmest years on record have all occurred since 1998 (inclusive). Globally 2005 and 2010 were actually warmer than 1998. Lastly starting with an abnormal year (like 1998 which had an exceptionally strong El Nino effect) and not accounting for it's abnormality is either foolish bungling, or a deliberate attempt to deceive and manipulate others.

This is really basic stuff, if you don't know it, you're probably not knowledgeable enough to provide meaningful contributions to this discussion.

4 days ago
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Australia Declares Homeopathy Nonsense, Urges Doctors to Inform Patients

tbannist Re:The spokesman for the AHA said... (408 comments)

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it."
- Upton Sinclair

Unfotunatetly, we see the same kind of wilful blindness is other fields too.

about a week ago
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Australia Declares Homeopathy Nonsense, Urges Doctors to Inform Patients

tbannist Re:The spokesman for the AHA said... (408 comments)

What we need is to account for the fact that the brain believing to have received a dose of medication has some effect.

Actually, there's no measurable effect from "the brain believing". Placebos have no effect on any actual measurable health outcomes, they only have an effect on self-reported health outcomes. People say they feel better. People say their hangnail is cured. People say that they can feel that their cancer is in remission. However, when the doctors take the actual measurements, there is no measurable difference between the control group (who got nothing) and the placebo group, no matter how much the placebo group claims they are feeling better and no matter how much the control groups claims they are feeling worse.

about a week ago
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Mozilla CEO Firestorm Likely Violated California Law

tbannist Re:Poor poor bigot (1111 comments)

Imagine the sstate's smoking regulation being challenged by big tobacco and no the governor decides not to defend it. Imagine the off shord drilling ban having the same circumstances. They win by default and the law is overturned even if everyone in the state unanimousely voted for it.

The governor who did that likely wouldn't get re-elected if the law was important and popular. Would you care to provide a reason why free and fair elections are not a sufficent check against that behaviour?

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:How about abortion, or the death penalty? (1746 comments)

In most cases it would dependent on the circumstances and whether the donation could be seen as compromising the figurehead's ability to lead. For example, the CEO of Chik-Fil-A will, most likely, be perfectly able to contribute to campaign against pornography, against religious freedom for non-Christians and against abortion without compromising his ability to lead, however, social conservatives would likely force him out for taking a stand on the opposite side of those issues (if they could, of course, I'm not sure how much ownership the CEO has). In this case, Eich donated money to a campaign whose sole purpose was to strip some people (including a number of the people working for him) of their rights, and it temporarily succeeded. That has to create some bad blood between him and the affected employees and that type of antagonism is not something to be taken lightly. Having done so and then having refused to recant his position, Eich had compromised his ability to lead and either they were going to go or he was going to go.

As I said, if he had been able to apologise and admit he had done something wrong, he likely would have been able to maintain the position, but if you can't publicly acknowledge that treating some of your co-workers as people deserving of fewer rights than yourself was a mistake, you aren't going to be able to lead them.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:Freedom of political activism (1746 comments)

It wasn't just his political activism from 5 years ago that was the problem. If he had disavowed that behaviour, apologized to his employees and make an act on contrition (such as donating a significant amount of money to a pro-gay marriage organization or campaign) they could have buried the hatchet. However, apparently he still does not believe that his gay employees should be fully equal to the heterosexual ones. Effectively, he chose to step down rather than admit he was wrong.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

Besides, if there really is supposed to be a "wall of separation" between church and state, why do we have a secular government recognizing a primarily religious ceremony? Not to mention that's the reason why most people oppose it.

You have it backwards, it's a religious ceremony around the secular activity of signing your marriage certificate. The religious ceremony has no legal standing if you don't sign the government's paper. Next you'll be telling us that only proper Christians should be allowed be married and that athiests, agnostics and those who worship the wrong god should also be excluded from marraige.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

There was a Constitutional amendment passed in the state that banned gay marriage, but somehow the courts decided that the amendment was unconstitutional!

This is very simple, the amendment conflicted with a part of the constitution that wasn't amended, thus the amendment was determined to be improper and tossed out. It's actually the job of the courts to do that type of thing, though it would happen less often if politicans wrote fewer stupid laws.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

Actually, I thought he was referring to the right-wingers who use the threat of a liberal bogeymen bringing back the "fairness doctrine" to cudgel you into voting for them.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

As CTO he was in charge of making technology decisions, as CEO he's in charge of making decisions that affect the gay employees he considers to be less worthy than himself.

See the difference?

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

I thought that was why we allowed them to wear the shirts in the first place without kicking up a huge fuss... It's a convenient self-applied warning label.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

Brendan Eich made a personal comment that was not representative of the views of the entire office at Mozilla.

Actually, he donated money to a campaign to strip some of his employees of the rights they had been granted by the state of California. That campaign temporarily succeed, those employees have a really good reason to oppose him. Additionally, he was put in a position where his personal views would likely be material to his performance of the office because he would be making the decision on whether his gay and lesbian employees would be treated the same as his straight employees and he is on record as opposing that equality. He has claimed he would not act on that belief in his position, instead of renouncing the view entirely so many people are (rightfully) skeptical that he would keep his personal prejudices separate from his professional decisions.

It is important to note that we did not hear any complaints about his prejudice until he was put in a position where his prejudice could materially affect the lives of his fellow Mozilla empoyees. It seems like many of the Mozilla employees were concerned not that he was a bigot but that we has a bigot who was put in a position to act on his bigotry (by design or by inconsideration).

Would it have been morally right if Brendan Eich stated in his departure speech that the 'net in general, as well as all non-LGBT persons should boycott OKCupid as a dating site due to their anti-free speech and pro-gay agenda?

Morally right? No, but that's because Eich's bigotry is morally wrong and the claim that OKCupid is anti-free speech would be a lie. He does, however, have the right to make such statements.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

If I had my way instead of recognizing same-sex marriages I would rather the government exit completely out of the marriage business altogether and no longer ask it on tax forms, etc...

I keep seeing people say that the government should get out of the marriage business, but it seems like Religions should get out of the marriage business. Religions should be in the ceremony business, not the marriage business. Which is good because that's how things generally are. Too many people don't seem to understand that the religious ceremony is intended to make the signing of a piece of paper in front of two witnesses feel special. However, the marriage licence is provided by the state and is the same no matter what religion (if any) you subscribe to. That's not a bad thing, but too many people are making the mistake of confusing the ceremony with the actual marriage. For simplicity's sake being married in front of god conveys no legal status at all until you sign the government provided piece of paper.

The reason the government is involved and should remain so, is because there are significant and important legal implications to marriage. Beyond tax implications, there are legal issues such as inheretance (particularly important if the home is not in name of both partners), end-of-life care, hospital visitations, prison access, health benefit access, and the list goes on and on. Adn that's before we get to any provisions that are supposed to provide assitance to those raising children.

It seems strange to me that someone unmarried and living together is treated differently than someone who is married and living together or is treated differently than a brother and a sister who are living together.

Actually, people who are unmarried and living together may be treated the same as someone who is married and living together (it's called common-law), though I doubt you could claim a common law status with your brother or sister, but that's because you are assumed to not be in stable long term exclusive relationship.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

In which case the board made a decision that his views were counter-productive to the organization and they did what they had to. I'd prefer to think that he had the wisdom to see that his political history was damaging to the foundation, that he was foolish enough to require the board to force him out. Of course, there were other options he could have engaged in, he could have apologized, recanted his views and made a gesture of reconciliation (like publicly donating money to a pro-gay-marriage campaign). However, while I haven't been following the story too closely, it appears he tried to take the "I won't let my prejudices influence how I deal with my should-be-less-than-equal underlings" approach, which he couldn't pull off.

about two weeks ago
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Brendan Eich Steps Down As Mozilla CEO

tbannist Re:I think this is bullshit (1746 comments)

I am always amused at the self-righteousness of those who believe the tolerant should tolerate their intolerance.

They're almost amusing as those who believe that their free speech rights should be used to stiffle the criticism of others.

about two weeks ago
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UN Report: Climate Changes Overwhelming

tbannist Re:Projections (987 comments)

I am not going to waste my time getting links for you when all you have to do is refuse to accept it for no apparent reason.

No apparent reason? Are you daft? Your primary evidence that blacklisting is happening is a handful of people complaining that it is not.

I need to have something from you that says you'll accept evidence if it meets certain standards.

It seems you have some sort of problem with actually reading and understanding what other people write.

about two weeks ago
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UN Report: Climate Changes Overwhelming

tbannist Re:Projections (987 comments)

In regards to evidence, what evidence would you accept?

First some real actual evidence of what you claim to be true, would be nice. Posting a let me Google that for you which doesn't even point to what you claim is simply foolish.

I've had similar discussions with people on different topics... one says something the other doesn't like... the One provides evidence then the other dismisses the evidence...

If this is the quality of the "evidence" that you normally present, it's no wonder you are routinely dismissed.

Here's a hint: you're wating my time, kid. Come back when you have something definitive.

YOU cannot have a rational discussion unless you have a criteria for accepting evidence. What evidence would YOU accept?

How about some actual evidence of a systematic blacklisting process? Leaks that show the censorship is going on, perhaps? Like the one from Fox News that says doubt must always be cast on climate change?

How about a credible list of people who have blacklisted from the media, science conferences, and journals? I'm only aware of the rules actually being bent or broken to publish matierial critical of climate change and no actual verified instances where the reverse happened. Every time I've seen that claim leveled by "climate skeptics" after a little digging it seems to turn out that either a) nothing was ever submitted in the first place apparently because the submitter determined it wouldn't be accepted anyway and decided not to submit at all (thus a self-fulfilling prophecy) or b) it was rejected because it failed peer review because of significant methodological errors and the author refused to make revisions.

Additionally, if there are scientific papers or authors who are being blacklisted, you'd think it would be easy enough to gather and post the papers online for all to see. We have this thing called the internet where anyone can host their own web site. However, we never see the blacklisted papers merely the claim from the advocats for the supposedly oppressed claiming that it's happening and it's big.

You cannot have a rational discussion on this topic without any actual evidence. What evidence could you produce?

about two weeks ago

Submissions

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Game of Throne Premiers

tbannist tbannist writes  |  about 3 years ago

tbannist (230135) writes "The long anticipated Game of Throne series adapted from George R. R. Martin's epic novel finally premiered last night on HBO. Like many of HBO's other dramatic series, the show seems to combine strong acting and excellent production to bring the novel to life. Personally, I was rather impressed by the first episode and hope that series will continue as strongly as it started. According to metacritic, I'm not alone. They list average ratings of 82 out of 100 from critics and 9.5 out of 10 from users."
Link to Original Source
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tbannist tbannist writes  |  more than 7 years ago

tbannist (230135) writes "According to Gamasutra, a survey of Tokyo Game Show attendees indicates the PS3 is the most anticipated system with 58.3% indicating they were most interested in it, the Wii came in second with 33.8%, and the Xbox 360 trails with a mere 7.9%. On the other hand, only 10.5% of of the respondents indicated they intended to buy a PS3 at launch, while 17.8% indicated they would buy a Wii at launch, and for some reason 1.4% indicated they would buy a Xbox 360 "at launch" as well."

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